I've been reconsidering some of my assumptions regarding Caylee's death, trying to apply Occam's Razor: Of several acceptable explanations for a phenomenon, the simplest is preferable.
Let's list some information we think we know and what might be the corresponding "simplest explanation":
- KC and Cindy allegedly had a very intense fight on the evening of the 15th, and Cindy may have put her hands on KCs throat. :argue: Based on other eyewitness accounts of KC / Cindy fights, this would have been highly unusual on Cindy's part, as she was not observed as to even raising her voice or confronting KC in the past, in public.
- Caylee's body was found without shoes. This indicates to me that she died during normal sleep time, possibly while napping.
- Caylee was not wearing the same clothes she wore at Mt. Dora, neither was she wearing pajamas. The simplest explanation could be, then, that she died while napping on June 16. However, I cannot rule out the possibility that Caylee wore different clothes after she and Cindy went swimming late afternoon on the 15th, and that Caylee went to sleep in those clothes. This is a common occurrence with my daughter - she often insists on wearing her clothes to bed, and it is not a battle I choose to fight.
- Caylee was not wearing the same clothes described by George (and later copied by KC in an effort to make her story consistent with someone else's). The simplest explanation is, given 5 weeks had passed, George was recalling the last time he saw both Caylee and KC together for any significant period of time.
- George saw Caylee and KC leave sometime around 1PM. Again, IMHO, he was recalling the last time he interacted with both to any degree of significance. No doubt he saw one or the other after that, but he was recalling the last time he saw them together.
- Caylee's body was found with a Winnie the Pooh blanket. The simplest explanation is that she was with the blanket when she died, implying that she was sleeping.
- Caylee's body was found double-bagged in garbage bags which were then placed in a laundry bag. :furious: I believe this bagging had to be done at the same time the bags were taken from the Anthony home. In other words, I do not believe the bags were taken from the home on one day with KC saying to herself "I might need these at a later time." She took them to "solve" an immediate problem.
- Duct tape (a "garage item") had been placed over the mouth. A heart sticker (an "inside item") was placed on the tape.
- The trunk stain indicated a body with 90 accumulated degree days worth of decomposition had been in the trunk. While perhaps not exactly accurate, I am inclined to believe that it is accurate within +/- 10%.
So how do I personally string all of these together to produce what I believe to be the simplest explanation? :waitasec:
First, I think the simplest explanation of George's recollection is he was remember event's of Friday, June 13. This was a Fusian Friday, and both Caylee and KC left the Anthony home around 12:10 PM. No doubt KC laid the groundwork for having an excuse to stay out late by telling George she would be out late working and would spend the night with the Nanny.
Whatever plans KC thought she had for Caylee never materialized, and it appears she decided to do a spur-of-the-moment drop-off of Caylee with Cindy at Gentiva around 5:25 that afternoon. George worked that evening, so a returning Caylee being put to bed by Cindy would not have registered as a significant event.
From that point forward George, IMHO, does not see Caylee and KC together, but does see one without the other.
Now, let's fast-forward to Father's Day. After returning from Mt. Dora, Cindy and Caylee go for a swim. I think it is very likely Caylee ended up in a fresh set of clothes after that swim. KC strolls in around 7:30PM, and as we have discussed and debated throughout this board, there are a lot of reasons why Cindy would be motivated to "talk to" KC that evening. KC seems rather pre-occupied with texting from 7:30 to 9:00PM, and it is quite possible KC just sat with Caylee in KC's room while she fell asleep in her clothes, more or less ignoring Caylee. Between 9 and 10PM there are several breaks in texting activity that allow for an evolving argument, including a 39-minute break from just before 9:30 to just after 10PM.
I don't think the "heated" argument had to last long...5 or 10 minutes, maybe . 10 minutes is a long time for a very heated argument when you think of it, and as I said, there were other gaps in texting prior to 9:30 that would allow for escalating conversations leading up to the truly heated portion.
So...let's say the argument ends around 9:45 and an extremely angry KC storms into her room. :furious: In the heat of the moment, she smother's Caylee.
A 9:45 to 10:00PM time of death on the 15th allows for an afternoon bagging on the 18th, using the forensic determination that the trunk stain was due to 90 accumulated degree-days worth of decomposition, plus or minus 10%.
KC spends the next several hours engaged in "pillow talk" with Tony, probably as both a distraction for what just happened as well as an attempt to firmly set the hook :trout: for her "moving in" with him.
During the morning of the 16th, neither George or Cindy see Caylee. Cindy likely left for work before KC came out of the room, and it is possible George was either outside doing yard work or even out running errands. In any event, it would have registered as a normal morning - KC on the computer while Caylee "sleeps in".
During that morning (between 9AM and 1PM??) KC creates the "zenaida" myspace page.
nline:
KC tosses the body in the trunk around 4 PM on the 16th and heads to Tony's.
On the 17th KC backs into the garage but spends most of the time either downloading or copying files to the laptop.
nline:
On the 18th KC again backs the car into the garage. Upon opening the trunk she notices the stain and makes an attempt to stem the flow by using duct tape. :idea: She carries the body through the house and places it on the rug in the screened porch, creating a small stain on the rug. Seeing the body there in the daylight with the duct tape on the mouth might have horrified KC enough to prompt her to "dress it up" with the heart sticker.
She borrows a shovel from the neighbor, but eventually gives up on burying the body. As she returns the body to the trunk she notices the body is damp and dirty, and at that point grabs a couple of garbage bags and places the body in them. :bang:
The body stays in the trunk until the 20th, when KC decides there is just too much risk keeping it there. Perhaps fearful that the garbage bags will break open as she lifts them out of the trunk to dispose of them, she drives to her parents and backs into the garage a final time. This time she selects a sturdy canvas laundry bag and places the garbage bags in that.
A quick trip to Suburban and she discards the laundry bag. :whistle:
