Thank you! I've been thinking that for awhile too. While I agree JW and random abduction should be considered, IMO, for JW to have motive, JW would need to be aware of LS' whereabouts and/or the rumored rocky patch in their relationship would need to be true. I do not think that motive is a given for JW without speculating at least that their relationship always had some kind of element of abuse/controlling nature to it and/or at the current moment JW and LS were experiencing a rough patch and/or JW believed LS had feelings for CR. For JW to be lurking around 5N, someone would need to alert earlier and JW would need to be patient enough to wait around. During this time, JW would not have calmed down or had a change of heart about confronting LS right then and there. This would be kind of weird too -- if he was upset LS lied to him and was out with another dude, it seems more plausible that, if that angry, he would have stormed CR's place to confront the both of them. I mean, that's what JW and his dad did the next day, right? It just seems like that would be the more natural response for a hot headed dude, especially if he does exactly that the next day.
Question for anyone familiar with controlling relationships: Are the bfs more likely to confront a dude encroaching on their "territory" or would they lurk around to confront their girlfriend after the fact, possibly for hours? It would be my own guess that, in the heat of the moment, confronting both CR & LS and taking LS back with him would be the more "controlling" bf type of thing to do. I just don't see the controlling bf as waiting around, unless, as VeryVeritas has pointed out, the situation has turned from a controlling relationship to premeditated murder.
For 5N, they were already there and had a hand in the night's events. It's not as hard to put them at the scene or come up with possible motives. For JW, you could have to place him there and speculate on relationship drama giving rise to motive (whether it's finding out she lied, being told she was hooking up with CR, general relationship problems, etc.). I guess LS could have gone there too if you believe JR's account that she left, but even then, you'd have to speculate that LS made it, LS did not wake up JW's roomies and was not seen by them, and that whatever confrontation between the two was quiet enough not to wake them or neighbors up. Honestly, random abduction seems more plausible, imo. At least then you just have to take JR's word for it and assume it was bad timing that at that moment LS would stumble onto the path of her abductor.
That said, I wish it was clearer why the Spierers seem to be less supportive of JW now. I'm wondering if someone did alert him
If someone was with Lauren at Kilroys and snapped cell pics of her with CR
on her phone getting cozy this could make CR seem much more guilty to the parents, and make JW really mad if they then sent the pics to him. CS says Lauren last used her phone between 12-12:30 a.m. Again, she never states that it's the last time the phone was used. If someone was messing with her by taking her phone, people have stated that it might've been a set up by mean friends,
that could have triggered her dogged sense of purpose in getting that phone back before the pics went viral.
The idea that HT and friends didn't step in to help Lauren points to this.
And when she said that Lauren went too far this time, maybe she should have said, "WE all like to party and this time one of us went too far."
Lauren couldn't defend herself without her phone: she couldn't call for help, and she couldn't refute any accusations.
If the bartender witness is not lying about the time, then a possibly wasted Lauren wanted to backtrack from JRs down to 10th and College (2 min)
because she knew the person that had her phone, or might have her phone, was there--and, they wouldn't let her in, make that, her FRIEND wouldn't even let her in.
Or, she might've left the phone at Kilroy's, but then someone at SW, or at JR's, showed her pics that had been sent from it so she wasn't sure it was at Kilroy's, but she was sure who had it. But IMO, someone had compromised her phone.
It takes a long time to get complete phone records and I believe you need a court order. Once the Spiers got the records, if they did, then the suspicions could shift to the people phoning and texting around about Lauren.
I realize that my scenarios shift all the time, that is because I am willing to
entertain any scenario someone comes up with and follow that line of reasoning to see what could have happened.
I respect the posters that cannot fathom anything except the POIs or JW being guilty. But the POIs could just be guilty of being the worst friends ever--lazy, selfish and callous. The rumors of how messed up on drugs Lauren was came from Kilroys, started there, from people who had a lot to lose if she turned up deceased. We have not seen the videos! Because we want to believe we continually exaggerate how inebriated/high she was and then from there, we assert she couldn't possibly have left when we don't have any proof of that really.
All these self-centered, self-indulgent POIs and friends, including her roommates, could have been each in their own way contributing to the end result of Lauren being alone on a
really sketchycorner at just the wrong time when someone evil who had been out at the bars, or in the sex shops a block from JR's, or working at any of these places, drove by. People think it is almost an impossibility when really, if she could leave JR's, it's very possible that someone snatched her right off the street.
During the day, the area is a business area. But just like in Mickey's case, the area becomes unsafe at night. These kids just assume it's safe, but they are never safe in that area at night if they are alone.
I am going to try to discuss this with LE, not Lauren's case specifically because they might not comment, but just in general the safety of that area and get back to everyone on that.