OK, so I think we're all in agreement that Jacob lived on a very isolated road, one that the abductor most likely did not just "happen" upon. I think it is generally agreed upon that this would be a highly unlikely location for a perp to just stumble upon a crime of opportunity.
That being said, there have been two basic, logical scenarios discussed on this thread:
1. That DR saw the boys on their bikes on the way to the store and knew they had to come back
2. That a perp was "hunting" for a victim, and was parked near the Tom Thumb, and saw the boys coming down the street, knowing they had to return that way, and he just drove down and turned into the first driveway, knowing the boys had to bike back at least that far.
OK, makes good sense, right?
HOWEVER - I just found something that could explain why a perp could be "hunting" for a victim in the very area of Jacob's home. It turns out there was a Boy Scout overnight camping trip out there the very night before Jacob's abduction! These boys were Jacob's classmates - the same age. The perp may have known these boys were there on Saturday night, and perhaps he was out there "scouting" (no pun intended) for a victim and came back Sunday night hoping the Boy Scouts would still be camping, knowing there was no school that Monday.
Thoughts?