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Here is a possibility that hasn't been discussed before: it has been ridiculously hot in New England this summer. VM was probably used to running in the evening after work and, if she was mostly running the High Line and Chelsea area, she may have benefitted from a breeze off the river. Fast...

If she headed north, she would have reached the cart path in 5-6 minutes. If she headed south, she would have reached the Mtn Barn in a little over a half hour and the cart path in approx one hour. She may have spent a couple of minutes stretching before she left the house so you could add that...

Thanks kayaker; though I wasn't physically damaged, it was an eye opener for my "what could possibly go wrong" teenage mind. I believe Tempura stated that VM's MapMyRun app showed her always heading north from her Mom's. This is slightly surprising to me as I would think it would be easier to...

Given the narrow shoulder on that road, I assume VM was running against traffic which would put her on the side of the road opposite the cart path. While it is possible he ambushed her from behind and even incapacitated her, it seems hard to imagine him dragging her across two lanes of traffic...