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    AZ - Isabel Mercedes Celis, 6, Tucson, 20 April 2012 - #15

    "Sorry, if you posted these as opinion only, I must of missed your indication of that." I opened my post with: "I believe the following points are obvious..." So, yes, you did miss my indication the points are my opinion.
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    AZ - Isabel Mercedes Celis, 6, Tucson, 20 April 2012 - #15

    "Everybody is pointing the finger at SC but what about the 14 yr old? could he have done something to IC? A fight maybe why didnt she sleep with them as usual?" I found the 14 year old to be 100% credible on that 911 tape. He seemed very scared and was trying (unsuccessfully) not to cry. His...
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    AZ - Isabel Mercedes Celis, 6, Tucson, 20 April 2012 - #15

    <modsnip> arguments and theories about random sexual predators or irate drug dealers who could have sneaked into the Celis house and spirited Isabel away. The Tuscon police have done an outstanding job so far. They put a wedge between Sergio and Becky BEFORE they have lawyered up. They have...
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    AZ - Isabel Mercedes Celis, 6, Tucson, 20 April 2012 - #14

    What do you think the chances are that by July 4, Sergio Celis will be charged with something -- manslaughter, murder, etc. -- related to Isabel's diappearance? I say the odds are 80% SC will be charged by the Fourth of July.
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    AZ - Isabel Mercedes Celis, 6, Tucson, 20 April 2012 - #14

    The last few days have been good ones for all those hoping to find out what happened to Isabel Celis. First, the police have put a wedge between Isabel's parents, and have implicated Sergio by cutting him off from his sons. (I know, I know: the police have to say that CPS's involvement is the...
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    AZ - Isabel Mercedes Celis, 6, Tucson, 20 April 2012 - #13

    Boodles, great post! I agree with all your points, which are quoted below: 1. Nowhere have I seen any evidence or indication that Sergio is "depressed". 2. IMO, it's no coincidence that Becky stopped by the house yesterday and walked right into a media opportunity. It was planned...
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    AZ - Isabel Mercedes Celis, 6, Tucson, 20 April 2012 - #13

    "Yes I understand that for them to deny him contact with his kids it has to be serious but the police did basically say that we shouldnt read too much in to it wrt to it casting more suspicion on this person." The police have to say that! Plus, all that means is that the police won't indicate...
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    AZ - Isabel Mercedes Celis, 6, Tucson, 20 April 2012 - #13

    "I tend to think it is something relatively benign and by the book...perhaps the dad is having a hard time coping and bursting out in anger (drama queen)" Paximus, I disagree with you about whatever Sergio's allegedly having done being "benign". It takes something -- actual or alleged --...
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    AZ - Isabel Mercedes Celis, 6, Tucson, 20 April 2012 - #12

    PAXIMUS: "My problem with all of this is that they have not hired an attorney up to this point and that is unusual...". Your are right. However, my theory about why the Celises haven't "lawyered up" so far is that they have been waiting as long as possible to do that, hoping they wouldn't have...
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    AZ - Isabel Mercedes Celis, 6, Tucson, 20 April 2012 - #10

    I am sure the Celises love their daughter and I do not get the feeling they would intentionally hurt her. However, she disappeared when she was under their care, which means they have some explaining to do. I have thirty years of experience babysitting for hundreds of children, from infants to...
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    AZ - Isabel Mercedes Celis, 6, Tucson, 20 April 2012 - # 9

    AnaTeresa wrote: "Happened in Shasta and Dylan Groene's case - except in that case, the perp killed them. Just as many adults and dogs." When perps grab kids from their beds and kill parents and dogs as they go, it is horrifying, but it makes "sense": the intruder was killing the witnesses...
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    AZ - Isabel Mercedes Celis, 6, Tucson, 20 April 2012 - # 9

    Frayed Knot wrote, "...statistically speaking, an unknown intruder taking Isabel in the dead of night from her home is improbable...I have to stick with my gut on this and think that Isa was 'disappeared' by her parents or persons known to the family." Praise God for some common sense! My posts...
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    AZ - Isabel Mercedes Celis, 6, Tucson, 20 April 2012 - # 7

    I think the five people on the video are red herrings and it'll turn out they were just twentysomethings heading home after a night at a local bar.
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    AZ - Isabel Mercedes Celis, 6, Tucson, 20 April 2012 - # 4

    Dimples, I watched the parents' press conference and I do not think Isabel's parents are cool liars (a la Madleine McCann's parents). However, I think they know more about what happened to their daughter than they are letting on. They seem anguished and afraid, yet they don't seem to have any...
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    AZ - Isabel Mercedes Celis, 6, Tucson, 20 April 2012 - # 4

    Ocean Blue Eyes, regarding people being "unmerciful" to the parents: don't worry about that at this point. If the parents had nothing to do with Isabel's disappearance, then they are not paying any attention to peoples' opinions about them right now. Also, if they had nothing to do with her...
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    AZ - Isabel Mercedes Celis, 6, Tucson, 20 April 2012 - # 3

    It's always smart to get a warrant because, without a warrant, the people whose house is being searched could decide halfway through the search, "OK, search is over; everybody out!" Also, having a warrant could prevent defense lawyers down the road from arguinf that the family hadn't really...

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