I don't think she went missing, having fallen down a cliff while running that Sunday morning, early. I discounted almost immediately the story of her running on the Saturday night. That didn't have a lot of logic, for a runner.
I don't think she mizzled off into the bush to off herself, hiding her own body carefully. .. a difficult thing to do.
If one looks at Elisa, in the missing persons context. how big a risk was she ? as a victim of her own lack of concentration , and having an accident, that's about par, except her body isn't visible.
A non visible body, by it's very nature, of a missing person has to be considered as deliberately hidden. No one just evaporates.
Was she in a high risk category? a woman who took lifts from strangers, who picked up men passerby's, strangers, a woman who inhabited shady bars, and pubs, who's circle was tinged with parolees, drug dealers, etc.? no, obviously not.
She is a very very low risk victim. At her own home, her second home, among neighbors who know her, and socialised with her, and her with them. She drove her own car. Had her own phone, she was a runner, which signifies being out alone on deserted roads, and that element raises her level of risk to Medium Risk, low Medium because she ran in the morning, not that night, IF she ran. Even so, that is a risk element for women even though it is morning.
Her professional life was that of a stay at home mother, writing letters to newspapers, , signifying a point of view that , while somewhat irritating , wasn't outrageous ...still a very very low risk, EXCEPT from their husbands, in this your average stay at home mum is in the highest category of risk of them all, Domestic Violence Homicide. It isn't a long long improbable stretch to weigh up all these factors and it is reasonable to cast a skeptical eye on any missing woman stay at home mum's husband.
Re Tom Meagher. it was obvious from the moment he spoke that he knew nothing, ditto Aaron, Stephanie Scott's fiancé.. his body language told it all.