As far as I am concerned this just cements my view it is a kidnapping by an unknown person. (or maybe family friend, neighbor etc.).
They would not have released this unless they believed it is someone out there, in fact the BAU wouldn't have even flown in imo. They do telephone and fax consults all the time and if they believed it was an inside job the local LE could handle that with the local FBI agents in concert. No need for a whole team to fly in for that. This was due to LE and FBI's belief it was an outside job.
I have read enough of these profiles from reading the books by Robert Ressler and John Douglas/Mark Olshaker to know that this is very much how they profile an unsub not a parent.
THey cant clear the parents until someone else is arrested though because there is always a 1% chance they are wrong.
The police release you are referring to is a whole lot of nothing. There is nothing there at all, some gibberish about someone changing their routine this that and the other. This tells me they dont even have a basic profile yet.
Not to mention the fact that any police statement prior to an arrest is likely to be propaganda of some sort. LE lies a lot, I know why they do it, I get it, but you cant take it all literally, for example they may be looking the parents right now to get them to relax to loosen up they release a statement like the one above talking as if they know it is an abduction by a kidnapper to get the parents thinking the attention is not on them but on someone else, they loosen up begin to talk a little more openly all the while LEO has them bugged and is listening and watching their every move.
Again there just isnt anything there so it tells me it is either propaganda to get people looking one way while LEO sneaks around in another direction or they simply GOT NOTHING not even a basic BAU profile.
When I logged on to AZStarNet this a.m., it wasn't even on the front page anymore. Just a big article about Ted Nugent. No links either to the side where they list top news. After about a minute it automatically moved from Nugent to Isa on the front picture. Really? She's been missing a week and Ted Nugent takes top stage?
Tucson isnt that big, everyone here reads the paper and they have read about this story for a week now, the fact that it isnt on the front page anymore tells me THEY HAVE NOTHING NEW TO REPORT, it isnt sound business to keep reprinting the same stuff on the front page, you can be CERTAIN the minute there is something new to report it will be on the front page. Bottom line here, LEO has nada, zilch, nothing wrt to this case and who the perp is. It is very sad because it is becoming evident that poor lil girl may not be found alive and that breaks my heart!
Would drug cartels snatch a child from their bedroom? Wouldn't they just kidnap the entire family or do a home invasion and kill them all?
Not likely! And yes, the second part of your statement is much more likely, if the cartels are involved youre talking about a lot of drugs and money, not a dime bag and a 100 bucks.
This is why I can not watch Nancy Gracy anymore...her brain just randomly fires and anyone could be hit! She appears to have no moral compass! IMO
She is all about the sensationalism, while I appreciate the fact that she focuses on missing children she often sacrifices the truth and accuracy for that which shocks and brings in more viewers and that disgusts me.
That crossed my mind too.. But more like what if Isabel was 'traded' for drugs/debt.. I can't remember the little girl's name, but anyone else remember the case where a mom gave her own daughter to a man for a drug/sex exchange? There were surveillance photos of the man carrying the little girl into a hotel elevator, where he raped and then killed the little girl. IIRC, the mother originally claimed/told police that her daughter was missing or kidnapped. I feel bad that I can't remember that sweet little girl's name... The story upset me greatly... It was such a horrific situation
If the cartels were involved everyone would know it by now, they dont take kids to molest them they take them (and it is RARE that they takes kids to begin with) but when they do they do it to SEND A MESSAGE, if this was drug related you and everyone else would know about it by now for sure, the cartels are professionals, they work for a billion dollar industry and they dont do things half-assed, if this were them they would have made it known from day one.
Yes we are in Tucson and close to the border but people make way too much about drug cartel violence here, yes it happens but this isnt El Paso folks.
Hundreds of kidnappings for ransom occur in Arizona every year. However, these mostly have to do with drugs and/or illegal aliens. And I don't think stealth is a priority. I think if a cartel had something to do with this they wouldn't have done it in this way.
This is correct,
bon ami.