I am hoping that Cameron (CB) is found safe and sound. From following the search efforts, it is an ongoing, exhaustive search by many and everyone is doing the right things.
We've mentioned here that when CB's shoes were found at the waterfront some of us were reminded of a similar case. (I'll just use his initials out of respect: JB). I'm hoping that the following information might aid in the recovery of CB, if this is the worst case scenerio where the two cases may be similar.
JB was reported missing on January 13, 2014. If you look at the map below, the police believe JB fell off the Whitby pier. His shoes were found each at different times close to the 400 m mark on the map (intersection of the Heydenshore Pavillion and the shoreline). His body was found on March 29th by a member of the public that was walking their dog close to shore, approximately at the 2.85 km mark on the map.
We also mentioned that the surface currents in this area, which is close to where the search for CB is taking place, tend to flow eastward.
The weather and ice conditions at the lakefront are different now compared to when the search was on for JB. We had recently had that historic ice storm. There were ice shelves at the shore, 'ice clouds' in the water and a choppy build-up of ice on the paths close to the water. The cold conditions likely delayed the time it took for JB's body to surface and float to where it was found, or the difficult terrain hindered the recovery efforts.
This past January, we've had mostly above-average temperatures. In the past two weeks when I have been walking my dog down at the Whitby waterfront I haven't seen any build-up of ice or snow (there was only one day of heavy snow in the past 2-3 weeks, followed by rain and rising temperatures).
'Open mind and large net' is the saying of an expert tracker here on WS. I'm looking down at the waterfront, but I am hoping for a happier outcome.
ETA: JB's shoes were found approximately at the 400 m mark, not the 700 m mark as I noted on the map itself.
ETA: Added possible search map for CB, if we're looking on the shoreline. In another missing person's case, the family rented a boat to search the shore of Lake Ontario.
