I was Googling, last night, for random highway shootings when I came across this piece,
U.S. Shooting Deaths Since Sandy Hook Top 100, in the Huffington Post, by Jason Cherkis from 12/21/12:
"This week, as mourners gathered in Newtown, Conn., to bury Sandy Hook Elementary's dead, and a nation renewed its debate over guns, the shootings did not stop. The Huffington Post spent the week tracking gun-related homicides and accidents throughout the U.S., logging more than 100 from Google and Nexis searches. This is by no means a definitive tally. In 2010, there were more than twice that many homicides alone in an average week."
Sound familiar? I've been getting my data from Google searches, and sometimes wondering whether the rise I've been seeing in nationwide incidents of random highway shootings has something to do with the way I've been searching for them. How well did the Huffington Post do? They were reporting "more than twice that many homicides alone in an average week" (so an increase of more than 100%.) The real numbers for 2010, since released by the CDC (Centers for Disease Control and Prevention), only show a slight
decrease in homicides in 2010.
Why the difference between what the Huffington Post was seeing in the news, and what was really happening? Were they missing a greater proportion of older reports than newer ones? Had there been in increase in the likely hood that a homicide would get reported in 2010 as compared to 2009? Were they kidding themselves into seeing the story they wanted to see?
I'm asking myself the same questions about my work, and not coming up with solid answers. Take my numbers with a grain of salt, please, until I understand them better.