The odds.
Please refer to these two posts by JWG which speak to the rarity of the tape found with Caylee's skeletonized body:
Websleuths Crime Sleuthing Community - View Single Post - The Duct Tape Match #3 and
Websleuths Crime Sleuthing Community - View Single Post - The Duct Tape Match #3
"Bottom line is, we are probably looking at fewer than 20,000 rolls being produced that look like the Caylee tape. These rolls were distributed to over 1400 Lowes in North America, or about 14 rolls per Lowes (1.4 rolls per year)."
I believe JWG's observations and math will be borne out by a highly respected expert in the appropriate field.
But the observation cannot be isolated to the duct tape alone. We also have to consider (along with the access to the rare duct tape) who had access to Caylee at the time she went missing. The Anthony household (three, possibly four people) had access to the tape but only one of those people also had access to Caylee before anyone realized she was missing. Cindy, George and Lee were pretty upset and later even frantic about trying to find Caylee and Casey.
And yes, Wudge, I know you like to depreciate a person's actions after the fact of the crime because of your legal philosophy. But I have to tell you, after raising my children and grandchildren that it was usually how they acted
after they had done something wrong that led me to the right culprit!
So when I combine the facts, as I have available to me now, it looks like Casey is guilty. I must concede, though, I am more a Judge Judy person and not Supreme Court Justice ~ and most likely that's what our FL jury will be, too. But I cannot end this post without thanking you for always making me stretch my brain in the most uncomfortable ways!! I need the exercise ~ obviously!!