Great stuff!
Very interesting information about Sweden and transsexualism. I found out that Dermot's Mother was Swedish as well. Excellent assessments of this case as always, Lucy. I think we should NEVER give up hope that Dermot could have survived that day! The realist in me sadly thinks that he probably could not because of the weather. However, if that 5%-10% chave of his survival is there, we owe it to Dermot to reach out, help him, and offer support for all touched by his case. The factual information sadly, remains the affects of the weather.
The high temperature that day was 12 above zero and the average temperature was only 7 above. Wind Chill I think would be somewhere between -4 to -7 below. We know that Dermot was only dressed in a T-Shirt and jeans under his jacket with a walking distance of about 15-20 minutes in bone-chilling cold. Dermot would almost certainly have suffered from the affects of hypothermia by the time he got to the river. He would have likely had frostbite among other symptoms. Now if he would have had a huge winter jacket, winter clothes under it, long-underwear, and a face mask, it would STILL be uncomfortable.
Now, had this been a summer or fall day with normal temperatures, I think your above scenario is very likely in which Dermot COULD have met up with somebody on a boat and pulled this off with a place to go, lodgings and so fourth. However, even if Dermot got to the river, practically frozen stiff, he would certainly have to get someplace warm and fast, maybe even to a doctor or hospital for medical care for frostbite and hypothermia. You still have a negative wind chill. Very uncomfortable and painful for a gentlemen to be out in that kind of weather.
Poor Dermot would have been simply been too cold with removing has jacket, and would have certainly suffered from frostbitten feet and toes from walking barefoot on ice. Regardless of what happened, I think he certainly picked a bad weather day to start a new life. Had this happened under normal weather conditions, his chances of survival would have been higher. (assuming no suicide.) I think the weather may have caused a fatal fate for him.
Here's More Food For Thought:
1.) Is it strange that only 90 minutes passed between Dermot leaving home and the police being called? If the reports were that Dermot was "despondent" why have him leave with such an apathetic response from the father, 'Wear warm boots?" My suspicion is that Dermot's Mother showed the concern, along with the other siblings and called the police.
2.) In those days for many jurisdications, you had to be gone for something like 72 hours before you would be considered a missing person, and even than you were considered a "runaway" a lot of the time. Maybe Dermot's father's economic and legal status got the police searching faster than they normally would have. Kudos for them in doing that. But dissapointed and sad that the river was not checked after a barge past through a week later.
3.) If you check the weather report here
http://www.farmersalmanac.com/weather-history/61348/1972/01/30/
You will see how cold it was that day. But a few days later, there was a warming trend in the weather, safer to search, but determined too cold for divers to continue searching the river by the end of the week.
4.) Would still love to know what Dermot's favorite possessions were that he left behind? Were they entered into evidence? Journals or diaries? People with whom Dermot confided in and trusted?
I believe Dermot was a fascinating, empathetic, nurturing, and loving person. The stories he could tell in words and writings would fascinate for hours on end. I think Dermot envied adventurous people who followed their dreams and who kept hope alive. And that's what I hope we can do, to come together for Dermot. Never stop hoping, pursue your dreams, never stop believing.
Satch