I am pretty confident I have determined when the zenaida Myspace page was created.
As I mentioned in a previous post, the range 389715668 to 389972021 represents all people who signed up for a myspace account on June 16, 2008. That's
256,353 people world-wide.
The zenaida page has ID 389838213, which is 122,545 after the first on June 16. It seems unreasonable to believe that the zenaida page would be created in the 12AM to 1AM window that someone was on the computer at the Anthony's. After all, can we believe that nearly half of those who signed up on June 16 did so before 1AM? Naw... :snooty:
It turns out that we can use
"false starts" to nail down when the zenaida page was created. What is a "false start", you ask? :waitasec:
A false start occurs when a person signs up for Myspace, but never follows through on the email confirmation. :bang: It turns out Myspace goes ahead and creates the basic page when you first sign-up, not when you click on the email confirmation. I tested that this morning and, although I never confirmed, I could see the Myspace page by just using the ID number that was part of the confirmation link included in the email to me from Myspace.
Now, if one has a Myspace account and adds a false start as a favorite, one can see exactly when the profile was automatically created (last updated) by Myspace as a result of the sign-up. Things get a little flaky with Myspace in that the "last updated" field for a favorite is given in PST. :doh:
I noticed first that the ~250,000 new members on June 16, 2008 equates to just over 10,000 per hour. The first thing I did was look at the first few false starts in that ID range, then every 10,000th ID, to see if the sign-up rate was just over 10,000 an hour. The answer is yes. The rate drops down unsurprisingly in the early morning hours and rises in the late afternoon and evening, but the distribution across the day is fairly even.
The first false start sign-up of June 16 occurred at 9:00 PM PST on June 15. This is one of the first June 16 sign-ups overall. I was able to find pretty easily some number of false starts roughly every 10,000th sign up, including false starts very close to the zenaida ID, on either side. :dance:
Recall from posts 7 weeks or so ago that adding zenaida as a favorite showed us that the last profile update was made at 11:31 AM PST on June 16. Interestingly, there are a number of false starts on either side of the zenaida page.
All of these false starts have a time stamp of 11:29 PST.
My conclusion is that KC
signed up for the page at 2:29 PM EST (11:29 PST) and, after confirming the account,
spent all of two minutes to upload a
profile picture - Dora the Explorer. That last update is recorded at 11:31 PST.
Note that KC ends a call with Amy at 2:21 PM, and starts a call with Jesse at 2:53 PM, so creation of this Myspace page fits nicely within that window of time. :thumb:
ETA: The zenaida myspace ID is 389838213.
For completeness, here is a false start ID 68 sign-ups
before zenaida: 389838145
And here is a false start ID 36 sign-ups
after zenaida: 389838249
For those with a Myspace page, you can add them as a favorite and confirm that the last profile update for each was 11:29 AM (PST). There are a number of false starts in between that all show the
same 11:29 AM time.