Ayla was with JD for 2 months. That would basically only leave 2 weeks of the time she was with him that she did not have the soft cast.
Also the temperature from October 2011-December 16, 2011 had a few warm days but mostly daytime temperatures that I would think (from a mother's standpoint) would require long sleeves, a sweater or a coat.
http://www.almanac.com/weather/history/ME/Waterville/2011-11-05
I searched pictures on Ayla and found these with long sleeves, sweater or coat:
one picture where she has on a pink long sleeved outfit going down a slide - no soft cast;
(can't find a good link for this one but if you search google images you will see it)
the pictures where she has a striped coat/sweater over a pink shirt and is playing in the yard at PD's house (I can see neighbors house in the pics) - no soft cast;
http://www.ksdk.com/news/local/story.aspx?storyid=300148
a couple of pictures where she has on a pink/white coat but you can't see if her arm is in the sleeve;
http://nancygrace.blogs.cnn.com/category/ayla-reynolds/
long sleeve pj's - no soft cast;
http://www.hlntv.com/article/2012/01/17/report-aylas-mom-wants-polygraph-test
then the video of her dancing in long sleeve pj's - no soft cast.
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=v8jvwsJ1dIE&feature=channel_video_title
So are we to assume these pictures were taken prior to November 5th when she was taken to the ER? Not one picture after the accident?
No 1st Thanksgiving pictures ? - this was JD's 1st holidays with Ayla. I remember PD showing a red dress for Ayla for Christmas but where are the pics with a Christmas tree, sitting in Santa's lap, was she only getting a dress and no toys ?
She was reported missing 9 days before Christmas. Had anybody anywhere gotten gifts more than a red dress for Ayla? In most cases there would be a pile of presents waiting for the missing child to come home.
I am really starting to wonder if she was gone before December 16th like some of you have mentioned.
I'd like to know what the Dp's have done in holidays past and how it compares to this last season.
I notice TR has provided info to personalize Ayla such as favorite cartoons, food, etc. Have the Dp's given any info such as that? Have they talked about anything they did with Ayla in the month leading up to her disappearance?