OK…not pretty, but, it is what it is. Just telling this like it came to me…I’ll sprinkle in some background info where I think it might help…everything IMHO - however, the conclusions I draw are supported by case information…some mo’ better than others
In grabbing some handwriting samples from Casey’s handwritten statement to compare to the ZG signature on the traffic appearance I notice a couple of things. First, Casey scratched out a couple of words regarding the time she dropped Caylee w/ ZG on Monday, 6/9. Second, Casey wrote her last contact w/ ZG was on Thursday, 6/12. Both of these intrigued me…why hadn’t I probed them before?
Casey scratched out the words “at one” as in o’clock, in favor of writing between 9AM and 1PM, IIRC. Now we have George’s much debated statement ‘bout Casey & Caylee leaving @ 12:50PM just like any other day. We also have cell pings for both 6/9 and 6/15, and we have computer forensics for 6/16.
We also have statements that Cindy had kept Caylee on her vacation that ended 6/8, yet, Casey skipped out on their time together. So, Casey was effectively MIA as far as Caylee-care was concerned ~6/3- 6/9. Much supports that Caylee was effectively away from G&C’s 6/10-6/14. See the 6/10-6/14 thread for a statistical analysis that supports Casey was staying at a location north of G&C’s, but, within the same cell ping area during the nights of this period. Note that there are 3 towers that sorta form a triangle around G&C’s and Lee’s (former) homes. From that analysis I conclude that Casey used Lee’s house to keep Caylee at night. This was a week of transition for Casey…from Ricardo to Tony. The relationship with Tony was still new at this point. Casey may have stolen away to Tony’s apartment for a few hours at a time in the middle of the night for rendezvous 6/10-6/14 leaving Caylee @ Lee’s, but, Casey essentially stayed nights w/ Caylee @ Lee’s.
On both Fusian Fridays, 6/6 and 6/13, Casey was calling/being called by G&C in the wee hours of the morning and subsequently went home. This behavior, plus skipping out on Cindy’s vacation, which included her 50th bday, 6/5, likely fueled fights #1 & 2, Sundays, 6/7 and 6/15.
When we look at an individual day, there aren’t enough cell ping data points to make a statistical conclusion ‘bout Casey bein’ @ G&C’s or Lee’s, but, when I looked closer @ 6/8-6/9 and 6/15-6/16 I noted that there are periods of a sometimes more than a dozen pings in a row that strike the northern tower nearer Lee’s home. Typically, the pings bounce back and forth between 2 towers – one more southern and the other more northern. For these periods when a long stretch of pings strike the northern tower, I believe Casey was taking refuge @ Lee’s. I can’t detail them here, but, suffice it to say Casey appeared to goto Lee’s 6/8PM moreso than 6/15PM…and did, indeed, appear to spend the night @ G&C’s on 6/15, which agrees with Cindy’s account.
On the computer forensics thread, JWG, used Casey’s prolific PhotoBucket upload behavior to support that Caylee was likely napping between 1PM-3PM each day. I contend that Casey’s cell call data supports the same. On both, 6/9 and 6/15 Casey’s string of northern cell pings support that she left G&C’s and went to Lee’s while Caylee napped. There Casey made long phone calls. This is in agreement w/ George’s account of Casey leaving like any other day, and, in fact, harkens back to Casey’s scratched out handwritten statement of leaving Caylee “at one”.
JUNE 9:
On 6/9 Casey took Caylee to Lee’s. Between 12:55PM and 3:17PM….15 of 16 pings hit the northern tower nearer Lee’s. Casey had an uncommon text exchange w/ Lee @ 1:24PM-1:36PM. This was perhaps a message reminding Casey to lock the house when she left.
At 3:36PM & 3:43PM Casey texted Amy ‘bout Caylee’s potting training, supporting that Caylee was awake. Interestingly, also @ 3:36 & 3:43PM Casey texts Lee & Tony …likely same potty training comment. Noteworthy that Cindy and George aren’t included in the news.
A 4:55PM a call to Tony is followed by
a 6/9 “flurry” - 5 calls to Cindy in ~3 mins! Cindy called Casey @ 5:42PM and likely delivered the “no, I’m not keeping Caylee tonight” message. Between the two Casey called Don Reid Ford (Annie)…perhaps seeking Caylee-Care.
This behavior suggests to me that the purpose of the “flurry” calls were, indeed, to establish Caylee-Care for the night…not S.O.S. calls. This 6/9 flurry included some 1min +/1 connects…on hold? or arguing ‘cause Casey wants to drop Caylee and Cindy had her the entire week prior on her vacation.
All of these events bear a striking resemblance to the events of 6/16…
JUNE 16:
Again, Casey went to Lee’s, only slightly earlier than 6/9. From 11:47AM until 3:04PM the duration of calls suggests Caylee was napping. 18 of 22 (not counting vmails that don’t have location associated) calls between 11:47AM and 4:14PM…which includes the “flurry” calls. Are carried by Tower 22.
This suggests Casey placed the first 6/16 flurry of calls from Lee’s and that the pool wasn’t involved in any ‘accident’.
We also have computer forensics info for 6/16 to use with the cell ping data, and it supports that Casey left G&C’s 12-2PM on Monday, 6/16, yet, she returned between 2-3PM when G&C’s computer is active again.
Casey returned to G&C’s while Caylee napped @ Lee’s. Specifically, using the cell data, Casey went to G&C’s for ~30mins 6/16 between 2:20-2:52PM. Casey
may have dosed Caylee @ Lee’s to ensure she remained ‘asleep’.
IMHO, the above suggests the timing of George’s account better describes 6/9 vs. 6/15.
Extrapolating the behavior from 6/6…now on 6/16:
“Flurry 1” 4:10=>4:25PM calls were for “Need you to keep Caylee tonight”
Failure to get Cindy to take Caylee, Casey may have dosed her to enable the trip to Tony’s
“Flurry 2” 6:31=>6:33PM Flurry of calls…prior to the Blockbuster visit… w/ no luck…
resulted in dosing Caylee to enable the Blockbuster trip alone with Tony
At 7:06PM Casey reached Cindy @ home for 1.4mins conversation…apparently another, “no”
At 7:20 & 7:21PM Casey placed 2 calls to Amy…
last ditch effort…Amy wasn’t feeling well that night…another strike out…which
resulted in another/final dosing of Caylee to enable 3-4 hrs of movie watching. The last dosage to enable Blockbuster visit may not have been enough to keep Caylee out. Perhaps Casey returned to find Caylee crying. For the next dosing, duct tape is placed over Caylee’s mouth in case she awakens. Since this is the longest duration Casey has attempted…she’s unsure of the dosage, but, perhaps ups it…this increased final dosage is alone fatal…or…the cumulative dose for the day is fatal…or…combination of different Rx’s is fatal.
After the movies were over, sometime around 11PM, Casey went to the Pontiac trunk to check on Caylee. She may already have had the chloroform bottle open ready to dose Caylee again – as she intended to spend the night and this seemed to be working so far - until she found Caylee’s body. She spilled more contents of the bottle into the trunk shaking Caylee in denial. Perhaps Casey retreated from the additional fumes, and/or, in apathy from smoking that night, combined w/ her deeply embedded victim status, Casey turned off her cell phone and went to Tony for comfort…he was none the wiser.
10:52AM 6/17…Casey powered up her phone and got an immediate text that notified her of vmail which she checked, then, she called Amy. The afternoon of 6/17 afforded Casey the opportunity to return to G&C’s, back into the garage, and survey the tragegy. Caylee had been bedded down in the trunk in her Winnie the Pooh blanket. Her body was placed in a laundry bag without thought/knowledge of the impending decomposition.
A detailed analysis of the trunk temperatures and a 6/16 7:20PM death yields ADD results that give the date & time to bag the body as 6/19 between 7-8PM.
Checking Casey’s cell log for this time period I find Casey inactive for 3 hours from 5:45PM (near Fusian) =>9:02PM (near Amscot) and may have powered off her phone since the 9:02PM ping is an incoming text.
This period is in agreement with Chris S. statement of Casey visiting him at his house 5'ish in Tony’s Jeep for an hour or so. Forensics on Tony’s Jeep indicated 2 small stains in the cargo area that were not blood, similar to the Pontiac.
Casey likely waited for sundown, then, used Tony’s black Jeep to take the now re-bagged body to the disposal location on Suburban Drive.
The alleged Thursday, 6/12, final contact with ZG per Casey’s handwritten statement was, simply, akin to Monday 6/15 => Monday 6/9 - a one-week transfer of the date Caylee’s body was bagged & disposed…outta sight…outta mind.
