Theories on what happened to Haleigh

[aprilshowers]

Drug dealers don't take kids. They want money.

I think the gf put the kids to bed, left through the back door to go party somewhere close by. I think this is something she had done before. Let's face it, she's 17, doesn't work and stays home with the kids while RC is working. I'm sure she was itching to get out, party and socialize, most 17-year-olds would. I think that either:

a) word got around the neighborhood that she was doing this and one of the sex offenders that lived close by took advantage of the situation and took Haleigh while she was gone one night.

b) the gf was out partying, mentioned to others around her that she left the kids alone at home, and someone in the group of partiers decides to take advantage of the situation, leaves the party while the gf is still there and goes and takes Haleigh.

I truly believe that it was NOT a strange that took this little girl. It may not have been a friend or relative, but it was someone with knowledge about the family and their schedule. Some who knew RC worked nights, someone who knew the gf was leaving the house open with children inside. I feel it in my gut.

Both theories sound very reasonable ... also, this person could have molested Haleigh inside, in another room, and that's the reason her shirt was off? Then he took her with him, and that's when Jr. woke up?

Just thinking ...

 

[aprilshowers]

Ok theorysleuths -

if there was an intruder, which door did he come through? Both misty and ron insist that the back door is very hard to open from the inside, much less the outside. Did the perp come through a different door and leave through the back to confuse LE?

Just because Ron and Misty said the back door was always locked, doesn't mean it was. He may have forgotten to lock it that day ... Misty may have unlocked it ... were just going by what they've told us, and with the lies, who knows what to believe.

 

[Pennsolveania]

The convicted child sex predator LOUCAKIS walked out his back door, 100 Camellia Rd., Satsuma FL (Google Map it).

He followed the creek behind his house to the west, walked south along the shoreline of the St. John's River, and made a final left turn (east) straight to Haleigh's back door at 202 Green Dr., Satsuma FL (Google Map it).

He had seen her in the neighborhood, or at the schoolbus stop, or had observed that her father worked night work etc.
He Google Mapped a secluded, walkable route he could take to her house in order to not be detected. (He is very computer savy.)

Misty admittedly put Haleigh in her bed at 8:00pm (dark).

Loucakis's curfew wasn't until 10:00pm. He had two hours to snatch her.

Misty never checked on her. When Misty went to bed she didn't turn a light on in the room so she didn't realize that Haleigh was gone.

Misty woke up around 3:00am, realized she left the kitchen light on, got up to turn it off before Ron returned and realized the door open and Haleigh gone.

The search dogs followed Haleigh's scent down to the river (the route LOUCAKIS took with Haleigh back to his house).


This is a theory formulated by Pennsolveania and only based on some facts.

 

[concentric]

I'm going to throw my 2cents out there :crazy:

My theory...I have thought about this case A LOT! Bare with me lol

RC was at work. That was confirmed if I'm not mistaken.

Misty is lying about being IN the home until 3am. I believe she was either outside on the front porch smoking whether she was alone or not, I'm not sure. I believe she did this a lot...almost routine. Friends, family or whatever could have been there. I believe that the bio mom's family whether a friend or family member knew what the situation was at the Cummings home & informed them. Maybe thats where the "talk" about Misty "seeing" RC's uncle came from. Misty had visitors that day. We know that her brother and kids came over, a family member of RC (grandma maybe?)...Someone that was there could have easily unlocked that door without anyones knowledge before he/she left. Maybe Misty was doing shady things such as drugs and maybe she was impaired. Maybe it was all set up...maybe someone went there...kids went to bed...Misty stayed up and did laundry or whatever...maybe she wasn't alone at that point. Maybe while she wasn't looking..."someone" unlocked that back door for easy access later once Misty was asleep. After all...someone did steal a gun two weeks ago...I'm sure he didn't just walk in and take it...he was there with either Misty or with both Misty/Ron. My point is...maybe they didn't keep an eye on anyone...maybe whoever was in that house that night along with Misty unlocked the door after Misty locked it ...
---------------------------
Hi. Sorry I clipped your post, but "in a nutshell" (and believe me, sometimes I feel like I'm inside of there), our instincts could be right:

I said twice earlier that one of the visiting family members/friends probably slipped the lock on the back door when she wasn't looking.

Misty's statement was: "It's always locked." Meaning what? We assume it's locked because we keep it locked all the time and don't check it every day? That is a pretty vague statement.

 

[concentric]

So many clues leading to so many theories. I don't know what to theorize.

All great observations. I want to comment on "the man in black."

This reminds me of the case of missing Jacob Wetterling, where the perp. accosted the 3 children riding bikes home, took Jacob and he has never been seen again. The children said the man was dressed from head to foot in dark clothing and a mask.

 

[tiredofthis]

Or what window? Is it possible the window Misty took the blanket out of was unlocked and she just didn't notice? Did they have central air or regular AC that the AC guy was there to fix? Did he leave a window open accidentally and no one noticed? So many questions, so few answers

I'm always checking windows around our house, because my kids will open them and then forget to relock them when they are closed. I can see this happening.

 

[concentric]

I'm always checking windows around our house, because my kids will open them and then forget to relock them when they are closed. I can see this happening.

felineforlorn could be right about a window being left open. And then once the perp. was inside, the propped cinder block on the screen door helped him make the escape through the back door in a more hasty fashion.

If the window was left open, then it could also be because of smoke in the trailer that the friends/family, etc. wanted to dissipate and it was forgotten.

 

[Pennsolveania]

So many clues leading to so many theories. I don't know what to theorize.

All great observations. I want to comment on "the man in black."

This reminds me of the case of missing Jacob Wetterling, where the perp. accosted the 3 children riding bikes home, took Jacob and he has never been seen again. The children said the man was dressed from head to foot in dark clothing and a mask.

___________
I think that Misty put the kids in bed at 8:00 and Timothy Randolph Loucakis slipped in sometime after that (dressed in black) but before his court appointed curfew of 10:00pm.

Misty could have been anywhere, even just on the front porch smoking a cigarette or whatever (and she wouldn't consider that "leaving the house").
Loucakis slips in, the 2 kids are awake, he grabs the girl & scoots, and the boy gets a glimpse of a man in black.

By the time Misty comes to bed (in the dark room), the boy is asleep & Misty doesn't even check Haleigh's bed.

Loucakis could have been aiming for Misty even. A young little babysitter, home alone with 2 defenseless kids - but he grabbed Haleigh instead.

Track his possible walking route along the river shoreline from his backdoor to Haleigh's backdoor:
100 camellia rd., satsuma fl
202 green ln., satsuma fl

 

[KR2tonenow]

___________
I think that Misty put the kids in bed at 8:00 and Timothy Randolph Loucakis slipped in sometime after that (dressed in black) but before his court appointed curfew of 10:00pm.

Misty could have been anywhere, even just on the front porch smoking a cigarette or whatever (and she wouldn't consider that "leaving the house").
Loucakis slips in, the 2 kids are awake, he grabs the girl & scoots, and the boy gets a glimpse of a man in black.

By the time Misty comes to bed (in the dark room), the boy is asleep & Misty doesn't even check Haleigh's bed.

Loucakis could have been aiming for Misty even. A young little babysitter, home alone with 2 defenseless kids - but he grabbed Haleigh instead.

Track his possible walking route along the river shoreline from his backdoor to Haleigh's backdoor:
100 camellia rd., satsuma fl
202 green ln., satsuma fl

Your scenario seems plausible. But wasn't the Pedo home that night?
I would place Chad there myself.

I thought LE said he was not a suspect.

 

[KR2tonenow]

Or what window? Is it possible the window Misty took the blanket out of was unlocked and she just didn't notice? Did they have central air or regular AC that the AC guy was there to fix? Did he leave a window open accidentally and no one noticed? So many questions, so few answers

Also, was it ever stated why the AC guy was there?? Someone said that the weather was 57 that day Haleigh disappeared.

Did the AC guy have a Pedophile friend?

 

[yosande]

Just because a 3/4 year old boy says a man in black took his sissy, doesn't mean that happened. How easy it would be to put that in his mind, so he could repeat it to police, mommy, anyone else who asks. This is as easy as placing a cinderblock at the back door, and saying the door was locked when I went to bed.
I think the better question to ask the child is, "Do you and Haleigh like to run up that ramp and go insided and outside?"
jmo

 

[yosande]

Your scenario seems plausible. But wasn't the Pedo home that night?
I would place Chad there myself.

I thought LE said he was not a suspect.

From what I can understand, a one mile radius is within his home zone, so Haleigh's house would be in his home zone, and walking the neighborhood at any time day or night would be in his home zone. Please someone tell me I'm wrong!
Otherwise that wouldn't have been the first place LE went, at 5 am, and again at 10 am. that day, and arrested him a couple days later. This is so Standard Operating Procedure for LE with a suspect. But he could have sold her to someone else at had it all prearranged. He certainly lived close enough to know that those kids were left alone, or not watched closely. I'd like to know if the neighbors have been questioned as to seeing him takes walks and walk by their house, and if so how often. jmo
I think they got to his house before Haleigh's mom got to Green Lane! They were on him like peanut butter on bread.

 

[suspicious mind]

I was brainstorming today and came up with this theory:

RC gets off work early. Comes home and MC is gone, kids sleeping. He presses Hayleigh for answers. She has no idea where MC is. He doesn't believe her, thinks MC told her to lie to him if he came home. He takes it too far threatening Hayleigh for answers and in the process really does hurt her, bad enough to where RC thinks she is either dead/dying. Wraps her in a blanket, props the door open, loads her in the truck. Drives around the neighborhood to see if MC is at her friend/relatives place. Finds her, tells her to get her *advertiser censored* home he will be back in a minute. She comes home finds the door open and Hayleigh gone. She is frantic, calls RC to see if Hayleigh is with him. No, he tells her, Hayleigh is not with him. He dumps Hayleigh someplace, comes home to find MC waiting. Tells her to call 911, puts all the blame on MC for not being there. Says don't worry , he won't tell the cops she wasn't home, long as she tells the cops she was sleeping with the children when Hayleigh was abducted.

I believe this scenerio would account for the changes in MC's story as well as the feeling I get that RC is controlling MC and her answers she is giving LE and the media. I don't how to account for the younger brother during all of this, it would not be unheard of for a child his age to sleep through all the events I described, and if he didn't sleep through it, it might give RC motive to convince him that "a man in black" took his sister.

 

[yosande]

what if? Lancelot is correct and Haleigh has been stashed the other child that RC "possibly" has...?
still hoping for a positive outcome here.

 

[Pennsolveania]

Your scenario seems plausible. But wasn't the Pedo home that night?
I would place Chad there myself.

I thought LE said he was not a suspect.

Yes LE reported that the SO Timothy Randolph Loucakis was home during the time that Misty says Haleigh was abducted (between 10:30ish and 2:30ish).

Problem is, from what I've been reading about those state issued GPS home monitoring devices used on criminals..... they leave a LOT to be desired.
Not accurate at all and the alerts are not even taken that seriously because the units give off false alerts all the time.

So what is FL LE to do? Announce to the whole country that their GPS home monitoring units are really not that reliable & that criminals are really not under strict surveillence??

I think TIMOTHY RANDOLPH LOUCAKIS should be charged as a suspect, & a search warrant issued on his house. Take his shoes, any black clothing, mail, paperwork that may contain; maps, email addresses, names, times, etc., flashlights, gloves, cameras, toys, fishing rods, handkerchieves, rubbing alcohol, his dirty laundry, lint from his dryer, any kind of tape, any kind of rope, receipts, photos, cd's, knives, locks, police scanners, newspapers, tinfoil, tools, cell phone....

They better hurry up - how long can they hold someone on a curfew violation?

 

[CajunGirl]

I don't know if Joe ever did anything to her,he could be being used as a scapegoat.She's told so many stories and keeps coming up w/more.First she said RC and Joe had a fight and he stoled a gun,this week she said she had the fight and he tried to steal a gun.
If it was proven he stoled the gun and it was found in the ditch,why was he not charged?LE interviewed him.Was it Misty who said a gun was found in the ditch.LE has not said that.So far,it's all her word and that's not looking too good right now.

btw..i didn't mean that Joe tho lol was just the first "fake" name that came to mind when giving an example

 

[tehcloser]

Yes LE reported that the SO Timothy Randolph Loucakis was home during the time that Misty says Haleigh was abducted (between 10:30ish and 2:30ish).

Problem is, from what I've been reading about those state issued GPS home monitoring devices used on criminals..... they leave a LOT to be desired.
Not accurate at all and the alerts are not even taken that seriously because the units give off false alerts all the time.

So what is FL LE to do? Announce to the whole country that their GPS home monitoring units are really not that reliable & that criminals are really not under strict surveillence??

I think TIMOTHY RANDOLPH LOUCAKIS should be charged as a suspect, & a search warrant issued on his house. Take his shoes, any black clothing, mail, paperwork that may contain; maps, email addresses, names, times, etc., flashlights, gloves, cameras, toys, fishing rods, handkerchieves, rubbing alcohol, his dirty laundry, lint from his dryer, any kind of tape, any kind of rope, receipts, photos, cd's, knives, locks, police scanners, newspapers, tinfoil, tools, cell phone....

They better hurry up - how long can they hold someone on a curfew violation?

His curfew was a condition of his parole. So in essence he didn't just violate his curfew...he broke parole. They can keep him awhile..........


ETA Oh lawd someone messed these quotes up.....!!!!!!!!!!!!!! lol There it's fixed.....

 

[winterrose]

btw..i didn't mean that Joe tho lol was just the first "fake" name that came to mind when giving an example

LOL,Shoot,there's so many names going on in this case,I can hardly keep up with them all.It' s making my headspin and we have to figure out which Brandon,Crystal or Chad.:crazy:

 

[Pennsolveania]

His curfew was a condition of his parole. So in essence he didn't just violate his curfew...he broke parole. They can keep him awhile..........


.....

Did you know 2 criminals sued the state because they contested the findings of the GPS units? They had enough evidence to prove that the units gave thousands of false alerts.

But that won't help Loucakis if LE physically found him "where he wasn't supposed to be" and weren't just relying on the GPS report.

I wonder where they found him and what his excuse was.

 

[winterrose]

I've wondered,if Grandma said on NGrace that she "sent relatives to check on the kids",I wonder if RC checked on her during a break,like phone calls?I wish we could see the cellphone records,do you think there will be any since there's been no charges so far?