Recent content by Ocalasunrise

I strongly suspect that the police knew where they were for periods of time, especially recently, but were mindful of the child's safety. As we know, their father was armed and willing to use firearms. Suspect there were times when they were being sheltered so further individuals were involved...

https://www.stuff.co.nz/nz-news/360816322/live-updates-suspect-killed-significant-police-operation-waikato Remaining two children found safe and uninjured. No mention of a baby. There's enough in the police statements to suggest they has a reasonably good idea about the area where the family...

https://www.rnz.co.nz/news/national/571442/what-we-know-about-the-suspected-break-in-by-marokopa-fugitive-tom-phillips Some interesting info. The store alarm went off and the only thing stolen was milk. A bigger haul might have given an indication of where they are at (e.g. food that needed...

I think that's very likely the case. Even the prevailing mood amongst those locals who have been interviewed by the media has been that they don't support his actions but that they want the authorities to 'go away'.

Interesting developments. Confirms that they're not out there in the bush living off the land. ATV's don't fuel themselves. They're not hiking around carrying an angle grinder 24/7. But their support system isn't strong enough to maintain them without resorting to crime to obtain supplies...

Police appear to basing this on probability rather than certainty. Heights of the individuals, perceived gender of the smaller individual. Also, the rarity of events like these in rural NZ would limit potential suspects. Police also seem to know more about their movements at times than they are...

Police searching the area for the next three days. No specific intelligence to support why it's happening now and allegedly just part of the ongoing investigation. https://www.theguardian.com/world/2025/mar/12/tom-phillips-new-zealand-police-search-marokopa-three-children-ntwnfb

I think it's really unlikely they've got to Australia. There are passport checks between there and NZ. Maybe he could evade it somehow but smuggling the three children with him would be so difficult. Key is that he's been able to stay out there in that local area because of his family and the...

Really interesting case this. I am full of admiration for the diligent, even-handed way that her daughter has approached this. She seems convinced that she knows who did this and why, and i have no reason to doubt that. It must be so frustrating for her that this never seemed to be pursued by...

And that's a very good point. CCTV isn't like the movies. It's set up to capture any potential criminal activity around a premises, it's not there to set up onto the street/path to film everyone going past. Absence of evidence isn't, evidence of absence etc.

The nautical map of Aberdeen Harbour and area suggests a direct flow from the River Dee into Aberdeen Bay. However, having worked alongside the Maritime and Coastguard Agency a few years back on a similar case (different area of the UK) there are a lot of aspects to consider that influence drift...

I think that's correct. The police seem very assured about that belief. It's very sad, these women seem to have lived low-key, self-contained lives and yet find themselves the objects of a scrutiny that is very much at odds with that.

Low tide was at 12.16am (1.7m) , high tide was at 6.50a. (3.69m)

It's not heavily trafficked, largely rowing boats and motorised inflatables used by the coaches at the rowing club. I don’t know the depth but it doesn't support commercial traffic. Aberdeen Harbour is a significant fishing port for the North Sea and that could theoretically be a place someone...

I think that's a normal procedural step and i'm not sure we should read too much into it. In the unlikely event (one that we'd all love to happen) that the sisters reappeared back safe at the property without any idea of the search that had been going on or that they'd been missed, you'd want...