Great video
@warp3dwing!
I assume it was quite dark when Thomas is supposedly at the bridge (7:09pm) since the sun set at 4:46pm in NY on that day, and probably quite deserted.
I can imagine how Thomas would be able to jump the fence without no one seeing him.
I still think that a splash in the water is not enough to assume the worst, but the fact that his phone last pinged at 7:09, a minute before the splash is quite ominous.
I have an issue with the phone though: it was reported at the beginning that it was found in lower Manhattan. If the phone last pinged at 7:09pm and the splash was heard at 7:10pm this means that Thomas would have to turn off his phone, leave it somewhere then go up the bridge and jump in less than 1 minute.
The only way this would work is if he left the phone on the bridge where he jumped and the location that has generally been reported as "lower Manhattan" is actually the bridge itself. And if this is the case and it was so clear to police that everything fits with him having jumped, why not just say it?
One other thing, is he not seen on camera because the location he potentially jumped from is a blind spot or because it's too dark to see?
I would think that if they have so many jumpers on that bridge, the cameras would cover the whole of it.