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I don't have a person of interest. I just think that it was someone who walked the area, possibly looking in windows. Someone who watched Audery and knew she was alone. There was a recent rape in my area where a teen waited until the woman parked her car, then rushed her as she was getting out. Maybe Audery had gone out for a quick ride and was rushed in her garage before the door was closed.
LE probably has no clue and no evidence to link the killer at this point.
Stranger is a possible scenario, but with two Shepherds having pretty much free rein of the house/property, i really think they would have picked up on any strangers nearby. IIRC, LE initially announced they thought the perp was a stranger but they later changed to someone who knew AG, and it does seem they are leaning on some of those who did know her.
As for having taken a drive, her purse was apparently found inside, so i couldn't see her going without her licence/wallet, etc. However, your suggestion that Audrey was being watched might fit with her stated fear about going outside at night without her dogs. Maybe she had recently noted strange behaviour from the dogs (thus her fear), but maybe she did just let her guard down for a minute or so to collect something from the garage and ...