Yes, non-parental event, non-paternity, rather.
It is either more common than we think, or, the commonality might be my observation bias.
So I wonder if the young man, the future perpetrator, found about having a different father from some gossips, or maybe his paternal grandmother didn’t like his mother and yapped something, or maybe he was simply mentally ill and had a delusion about having a different biofather. If that was a delusion, then, it was simply Miyazawa’s tough luck. But if indeed the perp was the case of NPE, he obviously was following totally wrong leads. Well, we know that they were wrong, because Mikio and the perp had different Ys. But if the perp was of Japanese origin but born outside of Japan, he could have been easily mistaken about the paternity. I think some initial information matched, but soon the data diverged, and he was still following the wrong lead. BTW, it often happens in genealogy.
The first time I read that the killer was looking through papers, I thought he could have been searching for some birth or marriage certificates. It could also explain the difference in the style of murders. Rei - a boy perceived as the younger brother? Whom he killed, probably, unwillingly? Yatsuko and Nina - women who took his (projected) mother’s place. Took him away from perceived father. And Mikio - still a father... About Yatsuko - looking at the sister, I can imagine a lot of inner strength in Yatsuko, how she might have fought for herself and her daughter. Maybe this further enraged the killer?
When did the perpetrator find out that he was mistaken? Sitting in the subway? That could explain the confusion. Or talking to his father? Definitely, reading the newspapers and realizing that he and his “alleged” father had different Y-haplogroups? Or was it ever published?
(I also wonder if Nina, a very European name, played some role in the overall confusion. JMO.)
If my theory is right, he probably feels badly, unless he totally suppressed the episode.
But looking at the house, it is quite symmetrical. I wonder if the tenants of the adjacent house were afraid that he merely got confused about the layout. Also possible.