GutFeeling!
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http://www.ktva.com/home/top-stories/Person-of-Interest-in-Koenig-Abduction-Back-in-Anchorage-144396285.html
Interesting. So they can't have irrefutable proof it is Keyes on the tape. If they are tying him to the abduction based on the video it must be based on the disguise used, which would seem flimsy to me.
My opinions and thoughts...
And/Or the weapon. The robbery photo shows a weapon as clear as day.