Atlantic 2013 Tropical Weather and Maps

Welcome to Websleuths!
Click to learn how to make a missing person's thread

DNA Solves
DNA Solves
DNA Solves

New Posts

Well then...great (NOT)

uploadfromtaptalk1374828341436.jpg

Sent from my LG Spirit using Tapatalk 2
 
Show Me said:
Where are you at in Florida lisalei? Will the storm/possible hurricane affect you?
Click to expand...

I'm dead central state, halfway between both coast's...

Sent from my LG Spirit using Tapatalk 2
 
picture.php


From wunderground at 5am 7/27:

Dorian is forecast to experience 15-20 kt of vertical wind shear
during the forecast period...as well as move through a dry
mid-/upper-level air mass. This combination should cause
additional weakening...with the cyclone degenerating to a remnant
low by 36 hr. An alternative scenario is that the system could
degenerate to a tropical wave at any time during the next 72 hr...
and thus dissipate earlier than currently forecast. Upper-level
winds in the area west of the forecast Point of dissipation are not
expected to be conducive for re-generation at this time.

http://www.wunderground.com/tropical/at201304.disc.html
 
Update: Erin is now classified as a TS but the path has not changed so far.

Just wanted to post this info on the unnamed system in the southwest GOM since CNN said yesterday it could 'explode'.

http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/gtwo_atl.shtml

DISORGANIZED SHOWER AND THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY HAS INCREASED NEAR THE
AREA OF LOW PRESSURE OVER THE SOUTHWESTERN GULF OF MEXICO.
HOWEVER...THE LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION HAS BECOME ELONGATED AND LESS
DEFINED DURING THE PAST FEW HOURS AND SURFACE PRESSURES REMAIN
HIGH. UPPER-LEVEL WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO REMAIN ONLY MARGINALLY
CONDUCIVE FOR DEVELOPMENT AS THIS SYSTEM BEGINS TO MOVE
NORTHWESTWARD TO WEST-NORTHWESTWARD OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS.
AFTER 48 HOURS...DEVELOPMENT IS LESS LIKELY DUE TO INTERACTION WITH
LAND. INTERESTS IN THE CENTRAL AND WESTERN GULF OF MEXICO SHOULD
MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF THE SYSTEM THROUGH EARLY NEXT WEEK. THIS
SYSTEM HAS A MEDIUM CHANCE...30 PERCENT...OF BECOMING A TROPICAL
CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS...AND A MEDIUM CHANCE...30
PERCENT...OF BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS.
THE AIR FORCE RESERVE RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT MISSION SCHEDULED FOR
THIS AFTERNOON HAS BEEN CANCELLED.

If it does get stronger, likely will go into Mexico and Texas, which I understand needs a little rain...
 
Tropical Depression 7 forms; unlikely to threaten Florida

http://www.sun-sentinel.com/news/we...fl-tropics-wednesday-20130903,0,7569576.story

OUTLOOK: After emerging in the Caribbean near Puerto Rico, TD-7 is projected to grow into Tropical Storm Gabrielle, possibly as early as tonight. It is forecast to move over Puerto Rico and the Dominican Republic on Thursday and then curve northeast out to sea.........
 
picture.php


TS Jerry is shown turning to the E and staying in the Atlantic.

Here's the prediction for #1:

1. SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ASSOCIATED WITH AN AREA OF LOW PRESSURE
OVER THE NORTHWESTERN CARIBBEAN SEA HAVE BECOME BETTER ORGANIZED
OVER THE PAST SEVERAL HOURS...AND THE SYSTEM HAS THE POTENTIAL TO
DEVELOP INTO A TROPICAL DEPRESSION AT ANY TIME DURING THE NEXT DAY
OR TWO. THE LOW IS EXPECTED TO MOVE NORTHWESTWARD TO NORTH-
NORTHWESTWARD NEAR OR OVER THE NORTHEASTERN PORTION OF THE YUCATAN
PENINSULA LATER TODAY...AND INTO THE SOUTHERN GULF OF MEXICO
TONIGHT OR THURSDAY. THIS SYSTEM HAS A HIGH CHANCE...70 PERCENT...
OF BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. AFTER
THAT...STRONG UPPER-LEVEL WINDS ARE LIKELY TO LIMIT DEVELOPMENT AS
THE SYSTEM APPROACHES THE NORTHERN GULF OF MEXICO BY THE WEEKEND.
THIS SYSTEM HAS A HIGH CHANCE...70 PERCENT...OF BECOMING A TROPICAL
CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS. LOCALLY HEAVY RAINS COULD AFFECT
THE CAYMAN ISLANDS...PORTIONS OF CUBA...AND PORTIONS OF THE YUCATAN
PENINSULA DURING THE NEXT DAY OR TWO. AN AIR FORCE RESERVE UNIT
HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT IS ON ITS WAY TO INVESTIGATE THE
DISTURBANCE.
 
Reader I've been waiting for this post, I think you might post in "up to the minute" where more people can follow the warnings. I'm not sure this area is followed closely.

Peace

A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* GRAND ISLE LOUISIANA TO WEST OF DESTIN FLORIDA

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* GRAND ISLE LOUISIANA TO THE MOUTH OF THE PEARL RIVER

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* WEST OF GRAND ISLE TO EAST OF MORGAN CITY LOUISIANA
* METROPOLITAN NEW ORLEANS
* LAKE MAUREPAS
* LAKE PONTCHARTRAIN
* DESTIN TO INDIAN PASS FLORIDA
 
Thanks, Peliman. I'll ask a mod about having it both places. This morning Karen seems to have moved a little more to the west.

picture.php


picture.php


I can't save this graphic at CNN that shows it even more to the west landing around Mobile:

http://www.cnn.com/2013/10/04/world/americas/tropical-storm-karen/index.html?hpt=hp_t2

The National Hurricane Center issued a hurricane watch for the area from Grand Isle, Louisiana, to west of Destin, Florida. The center of the storm is forecast to be near the coast within that area Saturday........

The storm, centered about 275 miles south-southwest of the mouth of the Mississippi River about 8 a.m. ET Friday, prompted the Federal Emergency Management Agency to recall some of its workers furloughed during the government shutdown. The agency also reactivated its Hurricane Liaison Team at the National Hurricane Center in Miami. FEMA officials in the Atlanta and Denton, Texas, offices are monitoring Karen........

"Karen is expected to produce rainfall amounts of 4 to 8 inches over portions of the central and eastern Gulf Coast through Sunday night," the hurricane center said. "Isolated storm total amounts of 12 inches are possible.".......
Click to expand...
 
Is FEMA Ready for Tropical Storm Karen?
October 4-13

State emergency management officials on the U.S. Gulf Coast have been assured that the recent shutdown of the federal government will not affect the Federal Emergency Management Administration's response to Tropical Storm Karen.

The storm is expected to come ashore late Saturday or early Sunday on the Gulf Coast. A hurricane watch has been issued from southern Louisiana to the western Florida Panhandle.
Click to expand...

http://news.nationalgeographic.com/news/2013/10/131004-tropical-storm-karen-hurricane-fema-shutdown/
 
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/gtwo_atl.shtml

picture.php


TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
700 AM EST MON NOV 18 2013

FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO...

1. DURING THE PAST SEVERAL HOURS...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS HAVE
INCREASED AND BECOME MORE CONCENTRATED NEAR THE WELL-DEFINED CENTER
OF A NON-TROPICAL LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM...LOCATED ABOUT 740 MILES
EAST-SOUTHEAST OF BERMUDA. SATELLITE AND SHIP DATA INDICATE THAT
THIS SYSTEM IS PRODUCING GALE-FORCE WINDS...AND ENVIRONMENTAL
CONDITIONS ARE BECOMING MORE CONDUCIVE FOR A SUBTROPICAL OR
TROPICAL STORM TO FORM LATER TODAY OR ON TUESDAY. THIS SYSTEM HAS A
HIGH CHANCE...90 PERCENT...OF BECOMING A SUBTROPICAL OR TROPICAL
CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS....AND A HIGH CHANCE...90
PERCENT...OF BECOMING A SUBTROPICAL OR TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE
NEXT 5 DAYS WHILE THE SYSTEM MOVES NORTHWARD TO NORTHWESTWARD
AT AROUND 10 MPH. ADDITIONAL INFORMATION ON THIS SYSTEM
CAN BE FOUND IN HIGH SEAS FORECASTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL
WEATHER SERVICE.
 
You must log in or register to reply here.

DNASolves

Who is Fairfield County Jane Doe (1993)?

Members online

... and 169 more.
Total: 1,910 (members: 170, guests: 1,740)

Online statistics

Members online
170
Guests online
1,740
Total visitors
1,910
Totals may include hidden visitors.

Forum statistics

Threads
606,839
Messages
18,211,854
Members
233,975
Latest member
lamonara
Back
Top