Hi, new member here, thanks for having me and for all the info everyone shares. Apologies for the very long post. (Please feel free not to read ie TLDR
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The WT case has always deeply disturbed me. The notion that a gorgeous young boy could just disappear into thin air in such an out-of-the-way location is scary. After following the case for a while, and watching CO's documentary, I believed (MOO) that a lot of things pointed to FA (and part of the evidence that potentially supported this conclusion was the FFC's recollection of a car similar to that that allegedly belonging to RP). So this last week's turn of events has me (like everyone else!) truly shocked. Because if the FFC's testimony is to be doubted/ potentially false, then the FA scenario falls apart. However, in some way, the FFC being reported in the media (as apparently told by police) as being the sole POI is starting to make some sense. The POTENTIAL scenario of the one or more of the foster family being involved is perhaps more likely than a random opportunistic abduction, and explains the complete lack of corroboration of anyone "strange/unusual" being seen by anyone else in the street. It also fits with statistics we know about child disappearances ie that someone close to the child is statistically more likely to be involved that a random.
I also think that surely, SURELY, after the BS fiasco and the irreparable damage done to that poor man's life (including death threats, loss of his business, having his grandchildren removed, needing to move often etc etc) and the subsequent law suit he is bringing against NSWPOL, that the police would not risk going down a speculative rabbit hole a second time with another person without very concrete and reliable evidence that convinces them that this POI is responsible. Surely NSWPOL would not risk another law suit by someone who apparently is well-resourced and well-connected. And Det Chief Supt Darren Bennett was quoted as saying "This activity is.... not speculative in any way."
NSW Police set their sights on ONE suspect as ‘high intensity’ search for William Tyrrell continues
In addition:
- it cannot be denied that there are inconsistencies and holes in FFC's version of events. Like others, I had put this down to the stress and chaos involved in those first few days
- AFAIK the public are not aware of the results of the forensic investigation of the photos ie that the EXIF data times have matched up to her version of events. With a professional photographer in the family, I know that camera times are often not right, but why would there be a "corrected time" for each photograph of William that morning, with those corrected times BEFORE he went missing? I could understand if the corrected times were later that morning, for example, at a time that they were downloaded on to a computer to be emailed to police. Unless the FFC was actually on the computer downloading the images during the time William "disappeared" and then would obviously not been supervising him closely. I also don't buy that the camera was on Bali time! Who would set their camera to the local time when going on holidays?! And if the person was one to be so concerned with having the correct time on the camera, wouldn't this person have then altered the camera time back to the local time? Was the camera bought in Bali? Is that why it was on Bali time? Even so, when you buy a camera, you usually have to set the local time yourself.
- Another issue in the well-known photo of him doing a "roar", is where he is looking when the FFC took it. He is definitely looking at something or someone that is NOT HER. The way he is doing the "roar" is as if he is doing it at someone. If it was at someone, then that puts another person there at the times that they were on the deck (as we can see the FGM and the FD, then FFC would be holding the camera, and then there would be the person that WT is looking at. And why did the FFC feel the need to explain this away? Was she directly asked about this at the inquest (I wasn't there so I don't know)? This all puts further doubt on the timeline and the photos.
- My limited understanding is that there are scent detections dogs that are separately trained to detect a range of different scents. And that a scent detection dog searching for a live person would not be able to detect a cadaver and vice versa. I agree that a good scent detection dog is absolutely miraculous at detecting scents through walls, concrete etc. But they are not all as good as each other. My other understanding is that the scent detection dog brought on the day WT went missing did not go through the house or was taken to the cars, can someone please correct me if I am wrong? Hence, if WT's body had been moved in a car, say the FGM's, it would not have been detected unless the dog was actually taken up to it. My understanding, which may be incorrect, was that this was not done.
- The POTENTIAL scenario of WT perishing at the home, then being moved within a small time-frame and then a "disappearance" staged, is awfully brazen, but no less so than a random stranger entering the large, exposed yard on a quiet street and taking a small child in a brightly-coloured outfit without being seen.
- I would like to know when, exactly, the new concrete slab was laid in the garage. WS members have commented that it looks like a home-job. When was this done? Because the possibility of WT being buried under it depends on someone having access to bury his body in the garage before the concrete slab was laid. If we assume the house changed hands shortly after WT disappeared, then that gives a perp connected to the house only a short time to dig and bury a body deep enough and well enough that a new owner wouldn't notice. And to do that in the weeks that he went missing would be awfully risky as I am sure there would have been a lot of interest in what was going on at that house. Could it possibly be that a subsequent owner did notice that there was an irregularity in the dirt floor and notified police? Perhaps it wasn't acted on at the time, but after re-looking at all the evidence, this is why the sudden interest in the garage floor.
- I believe that the way the FFC described the events on that morning 12/9/14, especially during the walk-through video, is definitely odd. Her continual switching between past and present tense is, IMO, unusual. I have thought that if I was describing what I did before an event, I would be saying "I did this..., then I did that....", ie it would all be in the past tense. She uses the present tense a lot, and IMO it is odd and unnatural. However I am not a human behaviour expert or qualified to give a professional opinion on this, it just is not how I have heard other people describe their past behaviour or actions around a particular event.
- The timing of the car being taken and analysed and the other foster child being removed from the FP's care (which all happened a week before the new searches were announced), plus the AVO and the alleged assault charges against the FP being announced that week of the new searches cannot be a coincidence. This seems like a multi-pronged approach launched on the basis of firm evidence and suggests that things are close to a conclusion, but the police need more forensic evidence to secure a conviction (hence the current extensive searches). I do agree that the leaking to media and public way this is all playing out is unusual (compare the DM case) and perhaps is a political play to reassure the community that they are throwing everything at this. I also agree that this feels to me like their last chance - ie if they don't find something now, they never will and WT's case will go cold. If they don't find anything this time, at least they can say to the public "See, we clearly showed you all how incredibly hard we worked to solved this, we did our best, but couldn't find anything". I really hope, however that this is not the case!
Apologies again for such a long post, it is just that these are all the things I have been thinking about as I have read all of your posts. I just want justice and closure for WT and his family, and for the person/s responsible to be held to account, no matter what the answer is. I feel we all need closure on this - those who knew and loved WT, the community of Kendall, the hundreds of police who have worked tirelessly to find him, and most of all his sister (my thoughts and heart go out to her at the moment, what she is going through currently I can't even imagine). I pray that this doesn't all end up a dead end.
