Found Deceased FL - Madeline Soto, 13, Missing Child Alert, 13500 blk Town Loop Blvd, Orlando, 26 Feb 2024 *arrest* #10

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I have seen many speculate that SS was drugging MS. Unfortunately I think all of the available evidence points away from MS being drugged during her abuse.

For one, we know there are videos of MS performing oral sex on SS. See the attachment on the post below (note you'll need to go back to this post to open the attachment). I don't think a person who is sedated could be described as performing oral sex.
described as performing oral sex, also described as " appeared to be sleeping, Did they just use the wrong word to describe it? " performing?" what did they see that made them think she was performing If she appeared to be sleeping?
 
For one, we know there are videos of MS performing oral sex on SS. See the attachment on the post below (note you'll need to go back to this post to open the attachment). I don't think a person who is sedated could be described as performing oral sex.
I personally don't think we can take much from the word "perform". IMO, it's the same sort of language issue as when a minor is described as having "sex" with an adult vs. "rape". Additionally, page 104 says photos and videos show MS both awake and asleep. Page 343 also lists several photos where MS appears to be sleeping/unconscious, and none are specified where she appears awake/conscious. I think we can also infer that not all photos/videos show her face, so no conclusion could be made on consciousness.
Next, we have the search warrants with no mention of meds being searched for or confiscated. Given that the masturbation cream was taken by LE, I feel pretty certain that any meds used to drug MS would be taken as well.
As photographer4 mentioned, 3 medications belonging to MS were collected. I do think it is interesting that SS mentions taking Ativan and tranquilizers after the investigation began, but none are mentioned as evidence in the doc dump.
Lastly, it was extensively covered in an earlier thread that SS had a video on his phone of him refusing to give his phone to MS to play games with until she performs a sex act. The only MSM reference I could find to this was a transcript of a CourtTV video, and I got so disgusted by my own searches that I stopped looking. Perhaps another member can provide a link?
Page 342 describes the video you're referencing.

[snipped all over]
 
I personally don't think we can take much from the word "perform". IMO, it's the same sort of language issue as when a minor is described as having "sex" with an adult vs. "rape".
agree, wrong word used, when you're sleeping you're not performing. There have been a few times when their descriptions have thrown a wrench into our understanding. "early morning hours" was one example.
 
This just struck me. I've been trying to figure out why JS said Maddie didn't have her phone or laptop Sunday night. Now I'm wondering if this is perhaps why? That taking Maddie's things was a tactic SS employed to coerce her into sexual acts.
Sorry I read it wrong, At 13 I think it would be harder to manipulate her like that, especially when she has her own phone.
where does Maddi sleep normally? I was thinking she just plugged everything in her main floor space, and when she went to bed she didn't take it. Hard to know without knowing what Maddi normally did.
I dont think it was taken away from her. I also think it had to be somewhere for Jenn to even notice she didnt take it, how else would she know? Unless the Uber responsible routine police that reports every insignificant move he makes told her. Well, every move except the one where he killed her.
He's a pervert to begin with but the mind games he plays are equally sick
 
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Could be, but I'm thinking that's more a tactic to use on her when she was 8. (Bottom of page 342)
I agree I read it wrong, but he is super manipulative so never know what scheme he could have come up with to make her not have a phone nearby to alert someone in case of an emergency (like someone raping her :mad:)
 
That Jenn knew about that time? could be?
where does Maddi sleep normally? I was thinking she just plugged everything in her main floor space, and when she went to bed she didn't take it. Hard to know without knowing what Maddi normally did.
MS was dropped off at 8:30 pm. SS arrived about 10 minutes later. JS didn't arrive until 10:30 pm. Yet despite not being there for 2 hours, JS was confident Maddie didn't use her phone or laptop that night. That info could only be relayed to her by someone who was there and with Maddie - SS. And maybe the devices weren't used because it was a tactic SS used to facilitate the abuse. Not that SS would tell JS the real reason for this. I'm sure he fed her some halfwit lie like MS was busy with her "nighttime routine."
 
MS was dropped off at 8:30 pm. SS arrived about 10 minutes later. JS didn't arrive until 10:30 pm. Yet despite not being there for 2 hours, JS was confident Maddie didn't use her phone or laptop that night. That info could only be relayed to her by someone who was there and with Maddie - SS. And maybe the devices weren't used because it was a tactic SS used to facilitate the abuse. Not that SS would tell JS the real reason for this. I'm sure he fed her some halfwit lie like MS was busy with her "nighttime routine."
yes sorry I read it wrong the first time, but yes I agree, some manipulative tactic, that's what he does and how he operates. Hes gotten away with it for years.
 
I personally don't think we can take much from the word "perform". IMO, it's the same sort of language issue as when a minor is described as having "sex" with an adult vs. "rape". Additionally, page 104 says photos and videos show MS both awake and asleep. Page 343 also lists several photos where MS appears to be sleeping/unconscious, and none are specified where she appears awake/conscious. I think we can also infer that not all photos/videos show her face, so no conclusion could be made on consciousness.

As photographer4 mentioned, 3 medications belonging to MS were collected. I do think it is interesting that SS mentions taking Ativan and tranquilizers after the investigation began, but none are mentioned as evidence in the doc dump.

Page 342 describes the video you're referencing.

[snipped all over]
Thank you - I cringe violently every time someone infers she “participated” in any kind of sex act. I don’t care what any document says - she was a child.
 
Decided to do a bit of a timeline comparison based on where SS said he was and where other evidence (pings, witness accounts, etc.) says he was from the start of Monday until he met up with the Soto family.

Time on 2024-02-26Based on evidenceBased on SS's account
Around 07:00 or 07:15Venetian Bay Villages
SS says he and MS woke up.
29 & 874
07:35Venetian Bay Villages trash compactor
Surveillance footage shows SS discarding something in the apartment complex trash compactor while a presumably-MS is visible in the passenger seat of the Lincoln MKZ.
58
Prior to 7:45A roommate who always leaves by 07:45 did not see MS leave by the time she left. Implies she did not see MS at all that morning.874 & 876
Between 07:35 and 07:45Driving toward McDonald's
SS says he and MS left the house to go get McDonald's before school drop off
29 & 874
07:50Venetian Bay Villages
Surveillance footage shows Lincoln MKZ leaving the through the rear gate with presumably-SS driving and presumably-MS (likely deceased) in the passenger seat.
31
Before drop off, unclear if before or after McDonald's discussionVenetian Bay Villages
SS says he forgot his key fob/gate clicker but had plenty of time so he drove back to get it.
31
08:00 or 08:15Near McDonald's
SS says he drove north on John Young Pkwy (JYP) and turned left at the McDonald's on Town Loop Blvd (TLB), then continued past McDonald's toward Peace United Methodist Church. Before reaching the church, he performed a u-turn around the median by Lilac Cove Ln. on TLB to go back toward McDonald's, then headed back toward the school. (Some of this description, either from SS or detectives, does not make geographical sense to me regarding the directions that were turned.)
31
Around 08:00 OR "7:00 or 8:00"Venetian Bay Villages
JS said she heard people in the kitchen and figured it was MS.
32 & 872
Around "08:00 or 08:15" OR "07:00 or 8:00"Venetian Bay Villages
JS woke up and said SS came in to put a leash on the dog and fell back asleep shortly after.
32 & 872
08:10Hunter's Creek Middle School
A license plate reader captured SS's Lincoln MKZ driving away from the school.
585 & 891
08:11Westbound on John Young Pkwy and Thacker586
08:19Venetian Bay Villages
Surveillance footage shows Lincoln MKZ entering through the front gate with presumably-SS driving and presumably-MS (likely deceased) in the passenger seat.
31 & 58
08:31Venetian Bay Villages
Surveillance footage shows Lincoln MKZ leaving through the rear gate with presumably-SS driving and presumably-MS (likely deceased) in the passenger seat.
31 & 58
08:39Eastbound at Osceola Pkwy and Thacker588
Around 08:25 or 08:40Near Peace United Methodist Church
SS says he dropped MS off near school.
28
08:31Northbound on John Young Pkwy and Thacker589
08:48Northbound John Young Pkwy and Town Center Blvd590
08:58Westbound Central Florida Pkwy and John Young Pkwy592
09:01Northbound on International Dr and Central Florida Pkwy593
09:02Northbound on International Dr and Aquatica (Rear entrance)594
09:02Northbound on International Dr and Sea Harbor Dr595
09:03Southbound on International Dr and Sea Harbor Dr596
09:04Southbound on International Dr and Aquatica (Rear entrance)597
09:05Eastbound on Central Florida Pkwy and International Dr598
09:13Near Venetian Bay Villages
Phone presumed to belong to SS pings
599
Between 09:00 and 10:00Witness WC observes man he believes is SS pulled over with a flat tire.17
After dropping MS off at 8:40eSmokerOnline Vape Shop
SS says he went directly to the vape shop after dropping MS off and found it was closed. He said he waited there for 5-10 minutes for it to open. He has many conflicting statements on this, saying: he went there directly, he was probably cruising around a bit, he was there 15-20 minutes before open, he waited just 5-10 minutes, he waited until after they opened at 10:00, he was home again at 10:00, it was 10 minutes from his house, it was 15-20 minutes from his house, etc.
33
09:165051 Gateway Avenue, Orlando
Surveillance footage from an Exxon gas station shows a silver sedan traveling eastbound.
600 & 781
09:25Northbound Central Florida Pkwy and John Young Pkwy602
09:352405 Commerce Park Dr, Orlando (near Holiday Inn Club Vacations)
What is this symbol?
604
09:412405 Commerce Park Dr, Orlando (near Holiday Inn Club Vacations)
What is this symbol?
606
09:40-09:44Holiday Inn Club Vacations parking structure
Surveillance footage shows a Lincoln MKZ pulling into the structure, then presumably-SS moving a limp body from the front passenger seat to the trunk before leaving.
87
09:449295 S John Young Pkwy, Orlando608
09:49Southbound on John Young Pkwy and Central Florida Pkwy610
09:50Southbound on John Young Pkwy and Whisper Lakes Blvd611
10:00Southbound on John Young Parkway
SS's vehicle is seen
34
10:03Southbound John Young Pkwy and Town Center Blvd618
Around 10:00Venetian Bay Villages
SS says he returned home from the closed vape shop.
29 & 872
10:0528.34797, -81.419??
License plate reader
620
10:06Westbound on John Young Pkwy and Thacker621
Around 10:15Venetian Bay Villages
SS says he returned home from the closed vape shop and hung out with JS who had just woken up.
874
10:18Venetian Bay Villages
JS says SS called her at this point to report on his morning. He had forgotten his phone at home, and had just returned home from errands.
32 & 872
10:16-10:44Near Venetian Bay Villages
Phone presumed to belong to SS pings
623
10:46Near Venetian Bay Villages
Phone presumed to belong to SS pings
626
10:47-11:03Near Venetian Bay Villages
Phone presumed to belong to SS pings
632
11:03Moving east of Venetian Bay Villages
Phone presumed to belong to SS begins pinging on towers east of previous pings
634
11:04Moving north
Phone presumed to belong to SS begins pinging towers north of previous pings
638
Around 11:00eSmokerOnline Vape Shop
SS says he went to the vape shop, which is only 10 minutes away from his home.
30 & 874
Around 11:00Venetian Bay Villages
SS says he returned home from the open vape shop.
29
Around 11:00 or 11:15Venetian Bay Villages
JS arrives home from her appointment and says SS was home. (It's not entirely clear if she means he was home already or just generally this period of time.)
32 & 872
11:16S John Young Pkwy and Hunter’s Creek Blvd
Phone presumed to belong to SS pings repeatedly
648
11:20-11:25eSmokerOnline Vape Shop
Phone presumed to belong to SS pings repeatedly near this shop
651
No time giveneSmokerOnline Vape Shop
Surveillance footage shows presumably-SS in a blue shirt purchasing items and leaving shortly after.
eSmokerOnline Vape Shop
SS says he went to the vape shop, which is only 10 minutes away from his home.
104
11:26Phone presumed to belong to SS appears to start moving654
11:29-11:31Phone presumed to belong to SS begins pinging towers north of previous pinngs658
11:31-11:43North of Central Florida Pkwy on S John Young Pkwy
Phone presumed to belong to SS repeatedly pings in the same location. There is no official information or speculation on this are, but there is a self storage here.
663
11:44-11:51Phone presumed to belong to SS beging pinging on towers south of previous pings671
11:57-12:47Near Venetian Bay Villages
Phone presumed to belong to SS pings
690
After 12:45Coliseum of Comics
SS says he left the house around 12:45 to run errands, including visiting Coliseum of Comics and a couple of Targets.
29
After 12:45US-192 before House Rules Gaming
SS says he intended to go to House Rules Gaming but got a flat tire before that and pulled into a plaza off US-192.
29
12:49-14:39Near Venetian Bay Villages
Phone presumed to belong to SS pings repeatedly at home while his vehicle is sighted moving to Old Hickory Tree Rd and back
691
13:10-13:15Continued eastbound movements on US-192692
13:12Southbound past Hickory Tree Elementary School
Surveillance footage shows SS’s Lincoln MKZ traveling south toward Nolte Rd. past Hickory Tree Elementary School on 2355 Old Hickory Tree Rd., Saint Cloud.
97
13:16Southbound on Old Hickory Tree Rd and Creative Inspiration Gate707
Between 12:00 to 14:00Somewhere along US-192
SS said he got a flat tire.
874
About 13:2028.191031, -81.202160
Witness TC observes a silver sedan pulled over on Hickory Tree Road
10
Between 13:56 and 14:054171-3985 Hickory Tree Rd
Footage taken from 4085 Malawi Trl, Saint Cloud, shows a match on the suspect vehicle traveling north on Hickory Tree Road
10
14:11Westbound on US-192 and Old Hickory Tree Rd708
14:17Northbound past Hickory Tree Elementary School
Surveillance footage shows SS’s Lincoln MKZ traveling north toward I-192 past Hickory Tree Elementary School on 2355 Old Hickory Tree Rd., Saint Cloud.
14:12-43Continued westbound movements on US-192 and then on the route to Venetian Bay Villages726
14:30JS said she usually leaves for school pick up by this time, and left without SS because he was not yet home.32 & 872
14:35Venetian Bay Villages
SS returns home after changing his flat tire.
34
Between 14:50 and 15:15Witness WC observes man he believes is SS still pulled over with a flat tire and with red headed man assisting.17
14:52Near Venetian Bay Villages
Phone presumed to belong to SS pings
734
14:59-15:24Near Venetian Bay Villages
Phone presumed to belong to SS pings
739
15:25-16:38Near Venetian Bay Villages
Phone presumed to belong to SS pings at the home and occasionally at a few other towers just north and east
740-749
16:35Venetian Bay Villages trash compactor
Surveillance footage shows SS (now wearing a blue shirt) removing a tire/tire tread from a Lincoln MKZ and discarding it in the apartment complex trash compactor.
58
16:38-16:53Phone presumed to belong to SS pings at towers indicating he was driving to join JS and the rest of the family at grandma's office to look for MS.750

My callouts:
  • When and why did SS change his shirt? He is wearing the red shirt in the morning, and the blue shirt by the time he gets to the vape store
  • Why on earth did he risk going back to the apartment complex (before school) with the dead body of a resident in the front seat? I have a bit of a hypothesis that perhaps when JS woke up to SS in the room getting the dog leash, he was looking for MS's other white croc (which was later collected in the downstairs bedroom which I believe is JS's), and he had driven back home not (just) because of the gate clicker/key fob, but because he realized he had only dressed MS in one croc, and no one would think she left the home of her own free will with just one shoe
    • And on that, she says she helped him put the leash on the dog, but no one else ever mentions the dog at all? Is that just him putting the leash on the dog to go pee in the morning, then back in? Was it the leash in her bedroom or the dog? Presumably he goes back into the house with the leash and the dog, but he doesn't wake JS again?
  • I think witness WC who observed who he believed to be SS with a flat tire (and then with a flat tire and a redheaded helper) is incorrect, or some way or another. The time window is way too huge.
  • The car is spotted moving until 13:16 and starting at 13:56, so it seems that has to be the time window that SS got a flat tire. That also appears to be the time he must have dumped MS's body. So maybe he got a flat tire and decided to dump her body there, or he got the flat tire from pulling off to a rough shoulder where he had planned to dump her body.
    • SS told detectives it had been a while since he changed a flat tire and so he made rookie mistakes, but 40 minutes to get a flat, change a flat, and dump a body seems pretty quick to me.
  • He left the phone at the house in the morning for "school drop off," but took it when he went to the vape shop at 11, then left it again on his "errands" when he got a flat tire
    • This means he wouldn't have had it at 14:30 when he was supposed to be home so he and JS could go pick up MS from school. Did she call him looking for him?
  • On that vape shop trip at 11, he goes north past the vape shop. I haven't heard any speculation on what this is, but there is a self-storage right there. In this case though, I don't know how a self storage might tie in
  • Edit: oh also why is he saying JS was home at 10? Is he just confused? I see no benefit from it, and I'd bet he really did call her at 10:18, which he should remember.
 

Outstanding work! I can clear up one thing I think is known: the "clicker" claim SS made was in direct response to the officer saying that they saw his vehicle heading back to the condo at 8:10, so those two things may go together (obviously the clicker reason is bunk, but that is what he said it in response to).

Thank you for putting this together!
 
Decided to do a bit of a timeline comparison based on where SS said he was and where other evidence (pings, witness accounts, etc.) says he was from the start of Monday until he met up with the Soto family.

Time on 2024-02-26Based on evidenceBased on SS's account
Around 07:00 or 07:15Venetian Bay Villages
SS says he and MS woke up.
29 & 874
07:35Venetian Bay Villages trash compactor
Surveillance footage shows SS discarding something in the apartment complex trash compactor while a presumably-MS is visible in the passenger seat of the Lincoln MKZ.
58
Prior to 7:45A roommate who always leaves by 07:45 did not see MS leave by the time she left. Implies she did not see MS at all that morning.874 & 876
Between 07:35 and 07:45Driving toward McDonald's
SS says he and MS left the house to go get McDonald's before school drop off
29 & 874
07:50Venetian Bay Villages
Surveillance footage shows Lincoln MKZ leaving the through the rear gate with presumably-SS driving and presumably-MS (likely deceased) in the passenger seat.
31
Before drop off, unclear if before or after McDonald's discussionVenetian Bay Villages
SS says he forgot his key fob/gate clicker but had plenty of time so he drove back to get it.
31
08:00 or 08:15Near McDonald's
SS says he drove north on John Young Pkwy (JYP) and turned left at the McDonald's on Town Loop Blvd (TLB), then continued past McDonald's toward Peace United Methodist Church. Before reaching the church, he performed a u-turn around the median by Lilac Cove Ln. on TLB to go back toward McDonald's, then headed back toward the school. (Some of this description, either from SS or detectives, does not make geographical sense to me regarding the directions that were turned.)
31
Around 08:00 OR "7:00 or 8:00"Venetian Bay Villages
JS said she heard people in the kitchen and figured it was MS.
32 & 872
Around "08:00 or 08:15" OR "07:00 or 8:00"Venetian Bay Villages
JS woke up and said SS came in to put a leash on the dog and fell back asleep shortly after.
32 & 872
08:10Hunter's Creek Middle School
A license plate reader captured SS's Lincoln MKZ driving away from the school.
585 & 891
08:11Westbound on John Young Pkwy and Thacker586
08:19Venetian Bay Villages
Surveillance footage shows Lincoln MKZ entering through the front gate with presumably-SS driving and presumably-MS (likely deceased) in the passenger seat.
31 & 58
08:31Venetian Bay Villages
Surveillance footage shows Lincoln MKZ leaving through the rear gate with presumably-SS driving and presumably-MS (likely deceased) in the passenger seat.
31 & 58
08:39Eastbound at Osceola Pkwy and Thacker588
Around 08:25 or 08:40Near Peace United Methodist Church
SS says he dropped MS off near school.
28
08:31Northbound on John Young Pkwy and Thacker589
08:48Northbound John Young Pkwy and Town Center Blvd590
08:58Westbound Central Florida Pkwy and John Young Pkwy592
09:01Northbound on International Dr and Central Florida Pkwy593
09:02Northbound on International Dr and Aquatica (Rear entrance)594
09:02Northbound on International Dr and Sea Harbor Dr595
09:03Southbound on International Dr and Sea Harbor Dr596
09:04Southbound on International Dr and Aquatica (Rear entrance)597
09:05Eastbound on Central Florida Pkwy and International Dr598
09:13Near Venetian Bay Villages
Phone presumed to belong to SS pings
599
Between 09:00 and 10:00Witness WC observes man he believes is SS pulled over with a flat tire.17
After dropping MS off at 8:40eSmokerOnline Vape Shop
SS says he went directly to the vape shop after dropping MS off and found it was closed. He said he waited there for 5-10 minutes for it to open. He has many conflicting statements on this, saying: he went there directly, he was probably cruising around a bit, he was there 15-20 minutes before open, he waited just 5-10 minutes, he waited until after they opened at 10:00, he was home again at 10:00, it was 10 minutes from his house, it was 15-20 minutes from his house, etc.
33
09:165051 Gateway Avenue, Orlando
Surveillance footage from an Exxon gas station shows a silver sedan traveling eastbound.
600 & 781
09:25Northbound Central Florida Pkwy and John Young Pkwy602
09:352405 Commerce Park Dr, Orlando (near Holiday Inn Club Vacations)
What is this symbol?
604
09:412405 Commerce Park Dr, Orlando (near Holiday Inn Club Vacations)
What is this symbol?
606
09:40-09:44Holiday Inn Club Vacations parking structure
Surveillance footage shows a Lincoln MKZ pulling into the structure, then presumably-SS moving a limp body from the front passenger seat to the trunk before leaving.
87
09:449295 S John Young Pkwy, Orlando608
09:49Southbound on John Young Pkwy and Central Florida Pkwy610
09:50Southbound on John Young Pkwy and Whisper Lakes Blvd611
10:00Southbound on John Young Parkway
SS's vehicle is seen
34
10:03Southbound John Young Pkwy and Town Center Blvd618
Around 10:00Venetian Bay Villages
SS says he returned home from the closed vape shop.
29 & 872
10:0528.34797, -81.419??
License plate reader
620
10:06Westbound on John Young Pkwy and Thacker621
Around 10:15Venetian Bay Villages
SS says he returned home from the closed vape shop and hung out with JS who had just woken up.
874
10:18Venetian Bay Villages
JS says SS called her at this point to report on his morning. He had forgotten his phone at home, and had just returned home from errands.
32 & 872
10:16-10:44Near Venetian Bay Villages
Phone presumed to belong to SS pings
623
10:46Near Venetian Bay Villages
Phone presumed to belong to SS pings
626
10:47-11:03Near Venetian Bay Villages
Phone presumed to belong to SS pings
632
11:03Moving east of Venetian Bay Villages
Phone presumed to belong to SS begins pinging on towers east of previous pings
634
11:04Moving north
Phone presumed to belong to SS begins pinging towers north of previous pings
638
Around 11:00eSmokerOnline Vape Shop
SS says he went to the vape shop, which is only 10 minutes away from his home.
30 & 874
Around 11:00Venetian Bay Villages
SS says he returned home from the open vape shop.
29
Around 11:00 or 11:15Venetian Bay Villages
JS arrives home from her appointment and says SS was home. (It's not entirely clear if she means he was home already or just generally this period of time.)
32 & 872
11:16S John Young Pkwy and Hunter’s Creek Blvd
Phone presumed to belong to SS pings repeatedly
648
11:20-11:25eSmokerOnline Vape Shop
Phone presumed to belong to SS pings repeatedly near this shop
651
No time giveneSmokerOnline Vape Shop
Surveillance footage shows presumably-SS in a blue shirt purchasing items and leaving shortly after.
eSmokerOnline Vape Shop
SS says he went to the vape shop, which is only 10 minutes away from his home.
104
11:26Phone presumed to belong to SS appears to start moving654
11:29-11:31Phone presumed to belong to SS begins pinging towers north of previous pinngs658
11:31-11:43North of Central Florida Pkwy on S John Young Pkwy
Phone presumed to belong to SS repeatedly pings in the same location. There is no official information or speculation on this are, but there is a self storage here.
663
11:44-11:51Phone presumed to belong to SS beging pinging on towers south of previous pings671
11:57-12:47Near Venetian Bay Villages
Phone presumed to belong to SS pings
690
After 12:45Coliseum of Comics
SS says he left the house around 12:45 to run errands, including visiting Coliseum of Comics and a couple of Targets.
29
After 12:45US-192 before House Rules Gaming
SS says he intended to go to House Rules Gaming but got a flat tire before that and pulled into a plaza off US-192.
29
12:49-14:39Near Venetian Bay Villages
Phone presumed to belong to SS pings repeatedly at home while his vehicle is sighted moving to Old Hickory Tree Rd and back
691
13:10-13:15Continued eastbound movements on US-192692
13:12Southbound past Hickory Tree Elementary School
Surveillance footage shows SS’s Lincoln MKZ traveling south toward Nolte Rd. past Hickory Tree Elementary School on 2355 Old Hickory Tree Rd., Saint Cloud.
97
13:16Southbound on Old Hickory Tree Rd and Creative Inspiration Gate707
Between 12:00 to 14:00Somewhere along US-192
SS said he got a flat tire.
874
About 13:2028.191031, -81.202160
Witness TC observes a silver sedan pulled over on Hickory Tree Road
10
Between 13:56 and 14:054171-3985 Hickory Tree Rd
Footage taken from 4085 Malawi Trl, Saint Cloud, shows a match on the suspect vehicle traveling north on Hickory Tree Road
10
14:11Westbound on US-192 and Old Hickory Tree Rd708
14:17Northbound past Hickory Tree Elementary School
Surveillance footage shows SS’s Lincoln MKZ traveling north toward I-192 past Hickory Tree Elementary School on 2355 Old Hickory Tree Rd., Saint Cloud.
14:12-43Continued westbound movements on US-192 and then on the route to Venetian Bay Villages726
14:30JS said she usually leaves for school pick up by this time, and left without SS because he was not yet home.32 & 872
14:35Venetian Bay Villages
SS returns home after changing his flat tire.
34
Between 14:50 and 15:15Witness WC observes man he believes is SS still pulled over with a flat tire and with red headed man assisting.17
14:52Near Venetian Bay Villages
Phone presumed to belong to SS pings
734
14:59-15:24Near Venetian Bay Villages
Phone presumed to belong to SS pings
739
15:25-16:38Near Venetian Bay Villages
Phone presumed to belong to SS pings at the home and occasionally at a few other towers just north and east
740-749
16:35Venetian Bay Villages trash compactor
Surveillance footage shows SS (now wearing a blue shirt) removing a tire/tire tread from a Lincoln MKZ and discarding it in the apartment complex trash compactor.
58
16:38-16:53Phone presumed to belong to SS pings at towers indicating he was driving to join JS and the rest of the family at grandma's office to look for MS.750

My callouts:
  • When and why did SS change his shirt? He is wearing the red shirt in the morning, and the blue shirt by the time he gets to the vape store
  • Why on earth did he risk going back to the apartment complex (before school) with the dead body of a resident in the front seat? I have a bit of a hypothesis that perhaps when JS woke up to SS in the room getting the dog leash, he was looking for MS's other white croc (which was later collected in the downstairs bedroom which I believe is JS's), and he had driven back home not (just) because of the gate clicker/key fob, but because he realized he had only dressed MS in one croc, and no one would think she left the home of her own free will with just one shoe
    • And on that, she says she helped him put the leash on the dog, but no one else ever mentions the dog at all? Is that just him putting the leash on the dog to go pee in the morning, then back in? Was it the leash in her bedroom or the dog? Presumably he goes back into the house with the leash and the dog, but he doesn't wake JS again?
  • I think witness WC who observed who he believed to be SS with a flat tire (and then with a flat tire and a redheaded helper) is incorrect, or some way or another. The time window is way too huge.
  • The car is spotted moving until 13:16 and starting at 13:56, so it seems that has to be the time window that SS got a flat tire. That also appears to be the time he must have dumped MS's body. So maybe he got a flat tire and decided to dump her body there, or he got the flat tire from pulling off to a rough shoulder where he had planned to dump her body.
    • SS told detectives it had been a while since he changed a flat tire and so he made rookie mistakes, but 40 minutes to get a flat, change a flat, and dump a body seems pretty quick to me.
  • He left the phone at the house in the morning for "school drop off," but took it when he went to the vape shop at 11, then left it again on his "errands" when he got a flat tire
    • This means he wouldn't have had it at 14:30 when he was supposed to be home so he and JS could go pick up MS from school. Did she call him looking for him?
  • On that vape shop trip at 11, he goes north past the vape shop. I haven't heard any speculation on what this is, but there is a self-storage right there. In this case though, I don't know how a self storage might tie in
  • Edit: oh also why is he saying JS was home at 10? Is he just confused? I see no benefit from it, and I'd bet he really did call her at 10:18, which he should remember.
Brilliant! Really helpful to see it laid out like that!

I think the icon st 9:41am is a generic building, high rise type.

I think SS realized he needed to hide/do/remove something from the house BEFORE JS woke up. Something in her bedroom. Either MS's phone (in which case he was not successful, hence returning after JS left for her appt, all so he could delete messages. Returning to get the second croc makes sense too. Accidentally wakes JS up so he has to lie about why he's there.

You asked about why SS said he saw JS at 10 am. He's an idiot. I think he just got caught, trying to stretch time. But goofed it up something fierce. JS's appointment was a fixed time. His leaving early, no McDonald's, return for clicker, drop off st school, two vape runs, then blah blah blah and then a bunch of vague meaningless errands before profuse apologies....his timing makes no sense because HE makes no sense. He's got lots of unaccounted for time. A lot of pre-splaining, trying to mold his answers, while they just keep poking holes in his ridiculous timeliness.

JMO
 
At 9:02-9:03 did he drive to sea world and turn around and come back? Thats what it looks like on a map.
 
Outstanding work! I can clear up one thing I think is known: the "clicker" claim SS made was in direct response to the officer saying that they saw his vehicle heading back to the condo at 8:10, so those two things may go together (obviously the clicker reason is bunk, but that is what he said it in response to).

Thank you for putting this together!
I think he actually did forget his clicker because he re-entered the complex through the front gate (ie. a security guard approved his entry) which he wouldn’t have to do if he had his clicker and didn’t do at any other time we know about. So I do think he went back and retrieved his clicker.

But I don’t think that can possibly be the reason he actually went back. Like, it’s already implausible that he would go back in his fictional scenario of dropping MS off because he didn’t want to wait in the security line to get in an hour later, but it’s especially unlikely that he would go back just to get his clicker when he had a dead body in the front seat.

I don’t expect him to have been making actually rational decisions but I don’t see even a twisted logic there
 
At 9:02-9:03 did he drive to sea world and turn around and come back? Thats what it looks like on a map.
Hypothesis, and this is total speculation: he had a plan to fake dropping MS off at school, so he buckled her in and drove to the school area to get caught on cameras because he knew his story would be checked out. But then he does that and starts freaking out because it’s not actually a good plan because there is no good plan for how to cover this, and he realizes wow I’ve got a corpse next to me in my car, holy crap what am I doing, so he drives around trying to figure out how to make it so he doesn’t have a dead body visibly next to him, and he’s thinking okay maybe Sea World, but doesn’t find a good spot there, and he’s panicking, and eventually he ends up at the parking structure and moving the body to the trunk . He no longer has to actually look at the body of the little girl he murdered, which is a huge psychological relief, so he goes home to avoid the problem for a little bit longer. He gets back home and sees JS has called a bunch of times, so he calls her back and either (depending on if you think she knew or not) conspires with her about hiding her daughter’s body or lays the groundwork for the lie he’s going to tell about what happened that morning.
 
I think he actually did forget his clicker because he re-entered the complex through the front gate (ie. a security guard approved his entry) which he wouldn’t have to do if he had his clicker and didn’t do at any other time we know about. So I do think he went back and retrieved his clicker.
While that very well may be (that he didn't have his clicker) the question in my mind is is THAT why he returned? I'm thinking that's not what we went back to retrieve (the missing croc perhaps? Something else?). It was too risky to drive through the manned gate with a dead body slumped over with her mouth agape IMO. Whatever it was was IMPORTANT to SS, and the clicker wasn't important at that moment IMO. Something was, but what?
 
While that very well may be (that he didn't have his clicker) the question in my mind is is THAT why he returned? I'm thinking that's not what we went back to retrieve (the missing croc perhaps? Something else?). It was too risky to drive through the manned gate with a dead body slumped over with her mouth agape IMO. Whatever it was was IMPORTANT to SS, and the clicker wasn't important at that moment IMO. Something was, but what?
External hard drive or something similar? He's 38, he's been in Madeline's life only since he was around 31. I doubt Madeline is the only child he molested and recorded. Perhaps he thought, like many of us here, that Madeline's school would be contacting Jen about her unexplained absence much earlier in the day and as a result, he anticipated LE would be involved & searching their condo much earlier than they ended up being involved, so he grabbed the thing(s) that he KNEW could definitely get him charged with a crime even if he miraculously got away with what he did to Madeline. But like many perverts, he couldn't handle the idea of destroying it in the trash compactor. So he hid it somewhere.
 
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