Sorry for overposting; I'm getting settled in and backreading from what I missed. Plus a couple glasses of wine.
I really think this is a slam dunk. I hope I'm not wrong, and maybe I'm biased, but I think people downplay circumstantial cases way too much. For me, direct evidence is overrated. Look at how many of us have been here, following this case for 5 years. Admittedly, most of us have are having a difficult time remembering the details we all once knew so vividly. Now imagine you were an eyewitness 5 years ago and didn't realize the gravity of what you were witnessing. For the most part, that's what direct evidence is, and as long as human beings are the source of that evidence, you have to account for human error and human memory lapse. I'm currently out of state to testify as a material witness to something that happened 5 years ago (coincidentally). I can tell you that most of what I'll be saying on the stand tomorrow is "I don't recall," and that's the honest truth.
On the other hand, circumstantial evidence is all about the circumstances surrounding the crime. Circumstantial evidence includes things like fingerprints at a crime scene. If there's enough circumstantial evidence, you would have to be in a state of severe denial to not see what happened. I keep trying to see the circumstantial evidence with fresh eyes, like the jury is doing right now. Think about all the things that, individually, could be coincidences. Fine. If only one of those things were brought up in this trial, then sure - they could be coincidences. But where do you draw the line? TM harassing Heather. The purchase of the pregnancy test. TM's and SM's phone being at Longbeard's hours before Heather's phone. TM telling Heather's manager to fire her. The neighbor overhearing TM telling SM that the tattoo is his punishment for his relationship with Heather. TM not having keys to the truck. All of the old lies we know about the evolving alibis from that night. The case of the missing surveillance system vs. the brand new one purchased to replace it. Heather's phone and car ending up at PTL (if you aren't from here, it might not seem like a big deal, but if you are from here, you know how close that is to the M's house and how far out of the way it would be from Heather's apartment).
I mean, I'm not going to keep listing the circumstantial evidence, but how much does it take for the jury to realize exactly what happened? At the very least, conspiracy to commit kidnapping is a slam dunk for me.
Sorry for the super-long, rambling post.
TL;DR = Circumstantial evidence shows TM is guilty of conspiracy to kidnap.