Hurricane Dean

[Beyond Belief]

Well, this is the beginning. This first wave is one to watch. It mentions the Lesser Antilles should be paying attention about August 17th.


If you live in the Lesser Antilles Islands, or plan on visiting next week, keep in mind that this forecast puts the Lesser Antilles at increased risk of a seeing a tropical cyclone beginning Friday, August 17. For the period August 17 - August 20, there is at least a 10% chance that a tropical storm or hurricane will affect these islands. Given the high uncertainties that a storm will form, or even make it across the Atlantic without recurving, should it form, one should not be canceling any travel plans at this point. However, you should be giving serious thought to your hurricane plan and what you would do if a hurricane did blow through the islands. Also, keep in minds that several of the computer models develop the next wave moving off the coast of Africa, a week later than the current wave. We are into the active part of hurricane season, and we can expect that one of these waves will develop and threaten the Lesser Antilles Islands--and points beyond--in August.
http://www.wunderground.com/blog/JeffMasters/comment.html?entrynum=743&tstamp=200708

 

[Peter Hamilton]

Dean expected to hit 105 mph by Sat morning, projected path to hit the Leewards then

 

[MissieMt]

ugh-that's all I can say-ugh!!!!!!

 

[Peter Hamilton]

Tropical Storm Dean has just formed--Another Tropical Storm expected to hit Texas tomorrow as per CNN

 

[Buzz Mills]

TROPICAL STORM DEAN ADVISORY NUMBER 5
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL042007
1100 AM AST TUE AUG 14 2007

...DEAN FORMS IN THE DEEP TROPICS...MIDWAY BETWEEN AFRICA AND THE
LESSER ANTILLES...

INTERESTS IN THE LESSER ANTILLES SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF
DEAN.

AT 1100 AM AST...1500Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM DEAN WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 11.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE 39.4 WEST OR ABOUT 1030
MILES...1660 KM...WEST OF THE SOUTHERNMOST CAPE VERDE ISLANDS AND
ABOUT 1490 MILES...2400 KM...EAST OF THE LESSER ANTILLES.

DEAN IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 23 MPH...37 KM/HR...AND THIS
MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 40 MPH...65 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. SOME GRADUAL STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24
HOURS.

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 35 MILES...55 KM
MAINLY TO THE NORTH OF THE CENTER.

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1004 MB...29.65 INCHES.

REPEATING THE 1100 AM AST POSITION...11.7 N...39.4 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD...WEST NEAR 23 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...40 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1004 MB.

http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/refresh/MIATCPAT4+shtml/141433.shtml

 

[Buzz Mills]

TROPICAL STORM DEAN ADVISORY NUMBER 6
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL042007
500 PM AST TUE AUG 14 2007

...DEAN MOVING WESTWARD ACROSS THE CENTRAL TROPICAL ATLANTIC...

INTERESTS IN THE LESSER ANTILLES SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF
DEAN.

AT 500 PM AST...2100Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM DEAN WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 11.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE 41.0 WEST OR ABOUT 1140
MILES...1830 KM...WEST OF THE SOUTHERNMOST CAPE VERDE ISLANDS AND
ABOUT 1390 MILES...2235 KM...EAST OF THE LESSER ANTILLES.

DEAN IS MOVING QUICKLY TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 21 MPH...33 KM/HR...AND
THIS GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE DURING THE NEXT 24
HOURS.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 40 MPH...65 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. SOME STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 35 MILES...55 KM
FROM THE CENTER.

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1004 MB...29.65 INCHES.

REPEATING THE 500 PM AST POSITION...11.6 N...41.0 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD...WEST NEAR 21 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...40 MPH.
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1004 MB.

THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 1100 PM AST.

http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/refresh/MIATCPAT4+shtml/141433.shtml

 

[Peter Hamilton]

Dean strengthens to 50 mph--Fox News says Dean's winds are forecast to hit 110 mph by Sunday, when it will be near Puerto Rico

 

[Buzz Mills]

TROPICAL STORM DEAN ADVISORY NUMBER 7
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL042007
1100 PM AST TUE AUG 14 2007

...DEAN A LITTLE STRONGER...

INTERESTS IN THE LESSER ANTILLES SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF
DEAN.

AT 1100 PM AST...0300Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM DEAN WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 12.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE 42.3 WEST OR ABOUT 1295
MILES...2085 KM...EAST OF THE LESSER ANTILLES.

DEAN IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 18 MPH...30 KM/HR...AND THIS
GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 50 MPH...85 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. SOME STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 50 MILES...85 KM
FROM THE CENTER.

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1000 MB...29.53 INCHES.

REPEATING THE 1100 PM AST POSITION...12.0 N...42.3 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...WEST NEAR 18 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...50 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1000 MB. THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 500 AM AST.

http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/refresh/MIATCPAT4+shtml/141433.shtml

 

[Beyond Belief]

Geez, it looks like it may turn and come up here and get us.........I think I'll close up the house for the duration of this season.

 

[Dark Knight]

Dean Forecast Eye Path ™

http://hurricane.accuweather.com/hu...atlantic&storm=Dean&imagetype=move&stormNum=3

 

[Dark Knight]

Tropical Storm Dean is forecast to become the year's first hurricane by the end of the week.

Meanwhile, a tropical wave in the Gulf of Mexico could reach tropical storm strength before bringing heavy rain to South Texas on Wednesday.

http://www.accuweather.com/news-top-headline.asp?partner=netweather&traveler=0

 

[MissieMt]

We're praying for everyone!! Time for everyone to check their supplies before the "mad rush" begins.

 

[Beyond Belief]

http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/refresh/graphics_at4+shtml/143525.shtml?5day#contents

 

[Buzz Mills]

http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/refresh/graphics_at4+shtml/143525.shtml?5day#contents

THE 1100 AM AST POSITION...12.4 N...46.0 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD...WEST NEAR 20 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...60 MPH.
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...997 MB.

 

[englishleigh]

I'm actually praying for cheering for Dean to come our way, as long as he is just a lot of rain, b/c we are dying here. 103 every day, heat index 110 or higher, everyone's yard is brown and you can barely breathe outside. I'm in east-central Alabama, 4 hours inland, and I'm yellin' "C'Mon DEAN!!!!!!!!!!"

:woohoo:

 

[Peter Hamilton]

I'm actually praying for cheering for Dean to come our way, as long as he is just a lot of rain, b/c we are dying here. 103 every day, heat index 110 or higher, everyone's yard is brown and you can barely breathe outside. I'm in east-central Alabama, 4 hours inland, and I'm yellin' "C'Mon DEAN!!!!!!!!!!"

:woohoo:

--lol--be careful what you wish for--What if Dean hits 150 mph?--anyway,we could use the break too, we'd be glad to welcome Dean if it stays a tropical storm

 

[MissieMt]

Yep-I was just telling my sister on Monday that I could really go for a tropical storm because it's so hot here. Sure enough, as soon as I got off the hone with her and turned on the t.v. there was talk of Dean

 

[Buzz Mills]

I'm actually praying for cheering for Dean to come our way, as long as he is just a lot of rain, b/c we are dying here. 103 every day, heat index 110 or higher, everyone's yard is brown and you can barely breathe outside. I'm in east-central Alabama, 4 hours inland, and I'm yellin' "C'Mon DEAN!!!!!!!!!!"

:woohoo:

Better grab a Snickers Bar; it's going to be awhile.

http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/refresh/graphics_at4+shtml/143525.shtml?5day?large#contents

 

[englishleigh]

--lol--be careful what you wish for--What if Dean hits 150 mph?--anyway,we could use the break too, we'd be glad to welcome Dean if it stays a tropical storm

We had Opal in 1995 blow through here as a Cat-2 and that wasn't very fun....Ivan in 2004 as a Cat-1......so no, I don't want that, just a tropical storm, thank you, that will suffice!!! :hand:

 

[Buzz Mills]

TROPICAL STORM DEAN ADVISORY NUMBER 10
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL042007
500 PM AST WED AUG 15 2007

...DEAN INTENSIFYING OVER THE CENTRAL TROPICAL ATLANTIC...

A HURRICANE WATCH MAY BE REQUIRED FOR PORTIONS OF THE LESSER
ANTILLES LATER TONIGHT OR EARLY THURSDAY. INTERESTS IN THE LESSER
ANTILLES SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF DEAN.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.

AT 500 PM AST...2100Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM DEAN WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 13.1 NORTH...LONGITUDE 47.9 WEST OR ABOUT 910
MILES...1465 KM...EAST OF THE LESSER ANTILLES.

DEAN IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 22 MPH...35 KM/HR...
AND A MOTION BETWEEN WEST AND WEST-NORTHWEST IS EXPECTED DURING THE
NEXT 24 HOURS.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE INCREASED TO NEAR 65 MPH...100
KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. FURTHER STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST
DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS AND DEAN COULD BECOME A HURRICANE LATER
TONIGHT OR EARLY THURSDAY.

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 70 MILES...110 KM
FROM THE CENTER.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 994 MB...29.35 INCHES.

REPEATING THE 500 PM AST POSITION...13.1 N...47.9 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 22 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...65 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...994 MB.

http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/refresh/graphics_at4+shtml/143525.shtml?5day?large#contents