LaurelTedytamer
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Boxer
Registered User
Join DateSep 2017Posts367
LE agencies seem to believe BG is local to 30-40 miles. Here are my thoughts:
Carrol County and the 5 surrounding counties (White,Tippecanoe,Howard, Clinton,Cass) have a combined population of 377,000.
Half the population are women, so that leaves approximately186,000 males.
Those counties particular are almost entirely white so no subtraction for other races.The proportion of males age 30-65 is about 36% so that means .36 x 186000.
There are about 67,000 men in those counties in the 30-65 age range.
http://www.stats.indiana.edu/populat...-estimates.asp
https://suburbanstats.org/population...ive-in-indiana
67,000 men to sort through.
Exclusion = bald men, black haired men, blonde men, men shorter or taller than the 5'6" to 5'10 description. Men with verifable alibis: at work, incarcerated, a prohibitive disability, away in the military.
This would bring the number down quite a bit.
Then another working preliminary filter that could also be applied that BG is not a recent felon (he would have DNA on filer.)
Inclusion = Men off work that day. Men with unverifiable alibi.
I also think that a voluntary DNA test for the willing citizens in those counties to create a database for the single purpose of solving this crime would lead to an arrest.
The single use database created could be destroyed after its purpose was achieved.
If they have DNA .. then there is hope they will catch the guy. What Boxer says reminds me of an old case in the UK when they first started using DNA to exclude guys in Leicestershire in the murders of Linda Mann and Dawn Ashworth. I was a teenager in Derbyshire that is very close to Leicestershire - the fear in the community over the murders .. the heartache of the families of Linda and Dawn. They got the guy in the end.
Our threads we complain about lack information released etc but to me if the police have the DNA profile they will never stop until they get him.