I’ve been following this thread for bit, and while I don’t have any theories, I do have one life experience which might be clarifying in some ways. I’ve seen a number of posts making statements like the above as fact, when that was not my experience in a similar timeframe/location. (Not to pick on you, Sor Juana, this was just the most recent example!
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I was in the USAF in the ‘90s, and spent several years at Kadena AFB, in Okinawa. I arrived there as a 21-year old.
There were optional language classes, but mandatory cultural sensitivity trainings for incoming personnel. (The one thing I remember from that all these years later is that it’s rude to leave your chopsticks sticking upright in the rice. Also, slurping soup is showing appreciation.)
You might be checked/asked to show your military ID coming onto base, but you definitely were not ‘monitored’ by MPs on exiting the base.
Many people lived off base (although technically you had to be married to do so.) The reality was that I had friends who lived off base, and I (and many others) often spent days and even weeks at those friends’ places. These houses were generally in otherwise local Okinawan neighborhoods (ie, there wasn’t really an American enclave off-base).
As long as you showed up to do your job, nobody was keeping track of you. (And my job involved a Top Secret security clearance.)
Many, many leisure activities took place off base - bars, restaurants, beach parties, you name it.
I, and many other airmen, bought a car and/or motorcycle while there. It really didn’t take long to get used to driving on the ‘wrong’ side of the road - it was more difficult adjusting when I got back to the States!
The NCO Club (sort of a restaurant/bar for enlisted people) served burgers and the like, but also many Japanese foods.
It doesn’t require any particular ‘patriotism’ to serve abroad - you go where you’re assigned.
People my age (and presumably younger, like minor dependents) were super into all things Japanese - brands, video games (always a big American crowd at the local arcades), foods, shops, experiences. The idea of ‘patriotic Americans’ being homesick for American brands/foods/etc doesn’t ring true to my experience.
Now, I didn’t have children and didn’t know anyone who did, so I can’t speak to any common experience there. However, if you get stationed abroad, your children are dependents (ie, the military will pay to move them, etc) only up to the age of 18.
To me, that piece speaks to a suspect, who,
if they were a member of a US military family, almost has to be, say, 19 or younger.
Tangential aside- it’s interesting that apparently the Chief of TCMP didn’t/doesn’t see this as a ‘Japanese’ crime. To me, it doesn't ‘feel’ very American either (whatever that means)!