Source for this post:
Murder Accountability Project
https://www.murderdata.org
I would like to share some interesting findings from a report prepared by Thomas Hargrove, from the “Murder Accountability Project”. You can find his entire powerpoint presentation at:
Murder Accountability Project
In this study, Thomas Hargrove is looking at potential serial clusters in the Chicago area
While Ypsilanti has much different demographics than Chicago, there are some learnings for us to ponder in Mr. Hargrove’s data study of potential serial killer clusters in the Chicago area. It helps us when considering Julia’s case, and whether her murder was perpetrated by a serial killer, or not.
While we don’t know if Julia’s killer is a serial killer, I have always had an amateur speculation that the Perp is. However, there are some interesting points made in this report to consider when pondering that amateur speculation. The big caveat here, is that the area studied (Chicago) includes a high percentage of victims that fall in the realm of having participated in illegal work and activities. None the less, the study's author suggest that at least in the Chicago area, serial killers choose victims who fall in to that category as they are easy prey, and likely for other reasons as well.
Here are some findings from Mr. Hargrove’s report that I think are valuable to consider:
In his study of 1,012 potential serial cases that may be part of a serial killer cluster, strangulations or asphyxiations represented approx. 6% of cases, or 61 deaths. Firearms was ranked #1 at 478 cases, and knife or cutting instrument as number two at 185 cases. Drowning was the lowest at 1 case. Combined, as in Julia’s case (asphyxiation and drowning), it would appear that murder signature ranks low in potential serial clusters, at least in this study.
In serial aspects, 94% of victims were recovered outdoors or in abandoned buildings.
3/4 of homicides had clear sexual components; signs of sexual activity, ripped clothes, etc.
In this serial cluster study, victims disproportionately had histories of sex work, illicit drug use, or both. Serial killers have historically recognized preference for victims who fit this profile.
Recovery sites are typically abandoned buildings, vacant lots, trash receptacles
Recommendations from the Murder Accountability Project
-Additional testing of evidence
-“Murder books” from cases should be assembled in one location; assume cases are linked; look for commonalities
-Methodical review of DNA. All samples must be reviewed; not just swabs from private areas
-Skin under victims fingernails must be tested quickly
-Strongly encourage attempting familial DNA matches using open source databases
-In consultation with FBI, consider new techniques to pull DNA from difficult materials and surfaces. Consider M-Vac* and other technologies
-Aggressive review of CODIS hits, esp. homicides that link to other crimes like sexual assaults. Some police departments have made errors in following up on CODIS data
-Killer likely already know to L.E. Look for survivors who can provide description
*M-Vac: It is a sterile wet-vacuum. Collection solution is sprayed onto the surface while simultaneously being vacuumed off of the surface. It creates a "mini-hurricane" that loosens the DNA material which is transferred to the collection bottle and later concentrated onto a filter. Here is a short video describing the M-Vac™
Source:
https://www.m-vac.com/why-mvac/how-it-works#:~:text=It%20is%20a%20sterile%20wet,describing%20the%20M%2DVac™.
What does all this mean? I don’t have all the facts and evidence to review in Julia’s case, nor do I have the expertise to draw any professional conclusions. My amateur opinion, if we isolate the study from the Murder Accountability project, is that at face value, Julia’s case doesn’t fit within the profile of a serial killer. What gives me pause, is the extent of the brutality of her murder (as I understand it), as well as the reported time he took and the methodical approach. That doesn’t sound like a novice to me.
Regardless, I hope those of you who remain committed to seeing JUSTICE FOR JULIA, will have found this info interesting, and will visit the Murder Accountability page to dig in to more data and info.
Amateur opinion and speculation