gitana1
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Easy to take that out of the context of the entire forecast discussion. This was just a few paragraphs later, in the same forecast discussion:
“Inspection of RAP forecast soundings indicates that supercell structures (possibly splitting) are in play this afternoon and this evening across central Missouri. Thus, large hail would be a concern if this panned out. High 0-3 km theta-e differentials (30-35 Kelvin) will also support strong cold pool conglomeration and a damaging wind threat with storms that congeal into line segments and move southeast across the region.”
They nailed it! Think they could have done that in the 1800s? Heck no! You seem to be defending the boat company here and bashing meteorologists. Several weather experts are all saying the boat company screwed up, and these 17 people died needlessly. They are right.
Look, weather is at its face powerful and in a lot of ways unpredictable, and sometimes forecasts do not pan out, but the weather forecasting technology we have today is unreal, and usually more accurate than not. There was a severe thunderstorm warning issued. That means the storm had formed and was on its way. That cannot be ignored.
For anyone who enjoys history, but not the boring kind, there's a very engaging non fiction book called The Children's Blizzard which is about a catastrophic blizzard that killed many people, many of whom were kids, in the upper mid-west/west in the late 1800's. (Might have been 1888).
It discusses meteorology and how that evolved. (I promise it's not boring).
Regardless, there seems to have been plenty of warning that there were storms coming. I don't think those boats should ever take a chance due to how un-seaworthy they are.
Other boats? Different story.