The tracking dogs lose scent of Asha outside the house....IMO, that tells me she entered a vehicle, but whose? So I assume it was planned...backpack ready to go. This might put a crimp in the theory of how a young girl would have the courage to walk alone in the dark, cold, and light rain...she wasn't planning too. Would explain lack of coat also. Maybe, in the car, she began to feel something wasn't right, and was able to get out. Then being spotted by 2 people and hiding in the shed. But then what occurred??