While in general I view this whole situation as yet another political circus with an odious main player, I wonder if the decision to prosecute Trump might backfire. I grew up in the country where the cult of martyrs had created several historical cataclysms, and even observed one such situation. (It was Yeltsin, a lousy politician single-handedly turned into a martyr by Gorbachev, and remember what came out of it. I always thought it was a typical Russian mentality, to almost deify martyrs, but maybe it is a human one, too). From this standpoint, arresting Trump might be a faux pas. We can have rules here, not to discuss this or that, but one cannot forbid the electorate to do the same, and that is the problem.
There are two things that stand in the way of Trump making the most of it. First, he is getting old, and so does his electoral base. (No big deal in using Twitter, but now, it is the time of ChatGPT, for example). Second, any martyrdom requires a core group supporting you, and Trump is anything but a team player. I think it might be related to his main psychological trait, but any election needs organizers, and who would dedicate his life to a man known to publicly throw his staunchest supporters to the wolves, and many times?
Let’s watch how it turns out. I am not thinking of prior presidents as “precedents”, but of the fact that in the group who once pecked Al Franken, no one made it a big political stride, later.