Manwel
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Given the likelihood that this UID had been at a concert, and given the height, weight, and type of clothing, I feel like the age range of 12-18 seems a bit low. I would think at least 16-22 given the boot blouser. That almost feels very specific to someone in military, to have that with you.She too fits the profile, although 4 years is a long time for someone her age to still be alive and missing until 2000; but it's possible. She certainly has the biracial "look", and going off comments suggesting that she might be lesbian I or a "tomboy" she looks like she could be either one. Only knock is In 2000 she would be 20-21. I don't know if the age range is always accurate- they do update them sometimes. Would a year or 2 more be that noticeable?
There was a Perfect Thyroid concert on Friday, April 14, 2000 at THE HAUNT in Ithaca. But that's probably too close to the May 2000 UID discovery as the details say the post-mortem interval was several months. On December 9, 1999 there was an article in the Marist College student newspaper about a Pilfers show stolen by the opening act Perfect Thyroid ("this last Saturday night," so probably Saturday the 4th as the Internet says the 9th was a Thursday). Poughkeepsie is right along the Hudson River and is where Vassar is located. December of 1999 would also match the "deceased for several months" requirement mentioned in the Jane Doe details.
What is the likelihood that the UID was put into the Hudson River in Poughkeepsie and carried downstream until currents pushed her into East River? How likely is that?
Alternatively, it's only a two-hour drive to NYC. How common/likely is it that someone in NYC would drive/take a train to Poughkeepsie for a show and come back? (I am keeping in mind the one time when I was a young person and I took a bus two hours to Portland, OR to see a show and then literally stayed awake overnight at a 24-hour cafe by myself until 6 am to take a bus back to where I was living. The stupid things we do for live music.) All of this still makes me think this was not a 12-year-old. The clothing and potential last known whereabouts make me think older teen or over 18.