Imagine if he was a little tipsy Sunday morning (slept the night off on a bush track so didn’t have to drink and drive ) maybe was outside his vehicle when Sam jogged past . Or perhaps he was riding his motorbike sober.
Alone in the bush, maybe he tried to grab her , she turned , he realised he recognised her or her age was not what he thought and then he attacked her regardless as she would now recognise him. Then killed her again as she would be a witness and seen his face . Perhaps if so then he put her body in his car > drove home and sobered up and thought of his next move . Then searched news sites or Facebook to see if any alerts for her name (he would know her name from her ID cards).
Then perhaps he formulated his plan after arriving home and either sobering up or perhaps he had a lunch with GF to attend then that afternoon made his move …, then departed south perhaps telling his GF he had to run a work errand or call in on a mate. All the while feeling invincible.
Perhaps he had to go via a bunnings for a shovel etc … (cctv?)
Then drove down south but realised the phone was needing disposal or May track the location of where he will dump the body next . Then pulled over by that dam, which he must have known was there , and threw it and the wallet out (i know we have discussed multiple times but i still don’t know why you would do this , wouldn’t you smash it ? And why dispose of the ID too as that makes it even more obvious whose phone it is if found and he would have to imagine by then this would be a news story…) anyway then he kept driving south, and then onwards to dispose of her body perhaps in a place off a motorbike trail he had once been down and knew of (near Grenville). Perhaps down a mine shaft even that he once saw and knew of.
Again very strange the wallet was located . And in such a visible place. This either spells panic from him or another thought he dumped the body first, and then later realised he hadn’t disposed of the wallet and phone and they were still in his car , and so on his way back up north he then pulled over and disposed of them in that dam (but that would involve crossing the road and I’m unsure how busy on a Sunday that road is).
And if the latter case perhaps phone data recovered from SM’s phone showed the new search site vicinity. Just a theory.
I also wonder if they had data that he had performed a search on his own phone beforehand or used Google maps of the area of where he was thinking to dispose of her . Perhaps he had searched for Grenville on maps and that’s why they’re looking there now (but you’d think they would have searched earlier as would I’m sure have seized his phone to look at data, for evidence ). But if they find nothing then perhaps he either concealed her really really well there , or he later changed his mind and went to a different location but the phone data would throw them off.
Or perhaps he had help in disposal. Perhaps they have cctv or dash am footage of someone throwing the phone and wallet . Or a witness to that act, and described a different vehicle make /model And colour . Perhaps they are only slowly piecing together what that angle looks like. Perhaps he used his GFs car even (although I doubt it) if she has one,
Who knows , but so many possibilities .
All speculation and IMOO. And I wish we knew why they targeted this new search location. There are so many forests and trails around there.
I really hope they find something in this search ! There must have been data to lead them there so you would imagine they would give it more than a few days if so
Let’s see…