CoverMeCagney
Well-Known Member
- Joined
- Nov 30, 2013
- Messages
- 13,405
- Reaction score
- 65,265
First, the mountain trails do not go as the crow flies. They zigzag, they turn, that makes the search area much bigger. Second, we don't know if she did her route as planned. She might get off the trail in the darkness, either unaware, or purposefully, trying to get faster to the refuge. She might fall off and wander away in confusion. It's not that simple. It's not that easy.
She knew the area well enough that she recognised landmarks, features and directions. I think it’s unlikely she got lost and it’s a well worn loop that she was following. She’d have been able to see where she was heading towards, she had a plan.
The SAR seem very sure they have covered every area that she could have fallen, and she’s not there. Dan seems to accept this too - he’s covered the trail multiple times and would know what risks she would or wouldn’t have taken.
An accident does still seem the most likely explanation, and yes, she could be hidden in a crevice or whatever, but those SAR guys know the area like the back of their hand and they’ve searched it very thoroughly.
As time goes on we have to look for other explanations.