I think the case will "come down to" the State NOT being able to prove beyond reasonable doubt that OP did not genuinely believe there was an intruder, leaving a situation where the Judge has to consider OP's actions in the context of OP firing at an intruder.
Nel has barely, if at all, addressed the issues surrounding OP firing at what he thought was an intruder, and so Nel has not yet made much of a case at all. I would suggest that as things stand OP should be acquitted, but from what I read, under the SA system, Nel still has a chance to make some sort of a case during cross examination of defense witnesses, even though the State has rested it's case. He does though (IMO) need to put down his cup of tea, and get up on his hind legs and start making some sort of a case.
:scared:
IMO Nel doesn't need to do anything more than he has about the burglar, and albeit probably not in the case of a home intruder, in the US you have "transferred intent" too so there could also be cases where if shooting unlawfully and killing another by accident an accused could be found guilty too.
In any case, in a bench system the judge is obliged to strictly follow the laws and only when not covered and there is no jurisprudence to use as guidance either will a judge be able to resort to a new interpretation. IMBW, but from how I see it Masipa will be reasoning as if ticking boxes, i.e. was it
unlawful for OP to shoot an intruder ?(IDK for sure but it appears under SA law and the constitution it was: no gun, no imminent threat, other options to avert danger, etc.); if yes to the previous, is there evidence OP "
intended" to kill the intruder ? (I reckon 4 shots into the door of a reduced area, knowing someone is inside will summarily deal with that); if yes, was OP's a "
reasonable response" in all of the circumstances ? (imo this one may be where OP may be given a little leeway); if no, would it be "
reasonable" for OP to know that shooting through a door could possibly, and yes it is "possibly", result in death ? (again I reckon shooting 4 times through the door of a reduced area knowing someone was inside should deal with that one super quick too). There are more conundrums the judge will have to pose herself I am sure but as I see it this would be the basic idea. JMO