CH disappeared without his wallet, his car, his keys, in which scenario is walking away without these item(s) least likely?
1. Leaving, walking away to start a new life?
2. Self harm?
3. Abduction?
4. Planned meet up?
5. Death by misadventure?
I would rule out planned meet up.
Walking away to start a new life is a toss up.
Self harm, abduction and death my misadventure are most likely in this scenario.
MOO.
All great points!
I personally think #2 is NOT a factor in this case- my gut feeling on many levels including closeness to family and friends, strong support, no retrospective red flags for this (verbalized paranoia or known depression) -no prior mental episodes of which his family or friends are aware, thriving and outwardly happy/ smiling/ joking/ jovial -planning for anticipated future adventures the next day and over the summer…..
Originally I was team #5 - closeness of the water which takes so many lives, possible impairment from drinking and/or drugs, crazy late hour of his disappearance- possible walk to the water/water accident (this scenario fits Occam’s razor in many ways still)
#5 to me is still one of the strongest possibilities -but if he was indeed barefoot (and I tend to think he was) this seems somewhat less likely now after initial ground searches
I’m now team 3-4 or possibly team #6 - if I can take the liberty of adding
-#6 Unplanned / chance meet up with previous acquaintance?
Basing my conclusion partially on what has NOT been verbalized (that certain things have NOT been ruled out verbally despite numerous lengthy verbal interviews)
I think that Caleb possibly met someone who he had met before (either through verbal confirmation at a previous meeting) or by chance - and that he willingly entered a vehicle without realizing the immediate danger. Caleb put the dog away and ventured back out/then either turned his phone off purposely or had it turned off before the Uber Eats delivery arrived.
I personally don’t think there is a digital trail for said meeting/ abduction-even if communications were perceived to be hidden through DM or similar- a bad actor who has not yet been identified would be sure to NOT have a digital trail leading to him.
My gut at this point tells me this was a nefarious act where the bad actor capitalized on the poor visibility/ fog - knowing his license plates would not be picked up/ any cameras would basically be of no use in the fog.
This could be someone who met Caleb a long time ago and possibly stalked him/ had him in mind or who met him by chance when cruising that evening- someone Caleb recognized.
The longer that this goes on without an arrest though, I think that there is still a chance of a complete stranger abduction- someone Caleb didn’t recognize- and possibly just a crime of opportunity where Caleb was simply in the wrong place at the wrong time. Huge numbers of registered sex offenders were in the area. Sometimes there are things
so rare and odd that it’s not even on our radar- like the Mark Kilroy case.
I think that a good use of the $100k donation money from the two Go Fund Me accounts would be to:
1) hire a good private detective(s) to investigate all the registered offenders in the area whose profiles would possibly target Caleb and to thoroughly investigate anyone who Caleb communicated with within the many months before his disappearance - hire privately anyone who could assist police detectives in their work and research
2) hire a good CIA consultant to inform about nefarious activity surrounding drugs/ gangs/ cartels/ satanism and such within the immediate Corpus Christi area and surrounding - at this point nothing can be ruled out
It’s really frustrating to me that there are no viable leads/ that there is no given direction in this case. Hoping the police know a lot more than we do!
All IMHO