It's interesting to read about all the theories about how VT could have been in Joanna's flat prior to her arrival at home, but the problem with these scenarios is that no evidence was presented in court to support the theory - not from the prosecution, not from the defence. The beauty of the theory is that it provides a neat package for explaining the reason behind the assault: he was prowling, got caught, attacked her, panicked, hid her body. This theory also seems to completely support the manslaughter charge. That is, it suggests that he was in the apartment for unknown reasons, was surprised by her when she arrived at home and the murder was spontaneous.
I don't think this murder falls into a neat package like that. I think there was something wrong with VT's head that night. My gut feeling is that he was in a rage for some reason, that he went to her door and attacked her. I keep coming back to Joran v.d. Sloot, whom I believe went into spontaneous, violent rages; attacked women and was then quite instantly again calm. That said, I think that VT has very cleverly wrapped his testimony around known facts in order to explain the evidence and that he has made a good argument for manslaughter. I see one of the main weaknesses in his defence being that he provided a new explanation during testimony - making it very obvious that he looked at the facts and concocted a story.
Thanks for reminding us how gratuitous and improbable the lurking in the flat theory is Otto. But I'm still failing to understand why so many of us are reluctant to accept that the motive was essentially sexual.
Most of us, I think, accept that although he is a barefaced liar his story does in fact contain some elements of truth. Our mole in the courtroom who heard things she can't disclose while the jury were out was strengthened in this view by what she heard.
So let's remember :
1. Young man on his own kills pretty girl on her own - there is already a 99% chance the motive is sex.
2. Immediately afterwards, when his web searches were a complete give-away, he started looking up information about sex crimes.
3. He voluntarily states that he made a pass at her.
4. He voluntarily states that he wanted to kiss her on the lips.
5. He voluntarily states that he placed a hand uninvited on her lower back.
6. He alleges that she made a flirtatious remark. Some have conjectured, quite credibly I think, that such a remark might more probably have been made by
him.
7. His refusal to admit in words that his motive was sexual is directly contrary to 3, 4 and 5 above and can be dismissed as an incoherent denial of what is already conceded.
Once we recognise that the motive was sexual most known details fit in without difficulty.
We still don't know whether he rang the doorbell on a pretext or whether she spontaneously invited him in, but either is more probable than the idea that he was lying in wait for her. She had time to do a few things in the house before he arrived, but not much.
It seems unlikely that he went round intending to rape her but not kill her as she would have recognised him. It seems unlikely that he intended to kill her to use her for sexual purposes once dead as there is very little sign that he did so.
The best fit for me is that the pass story and the misreading of the situation is correct in rough outline. But, probably imitating someone in a book or a film, he went in much harder than he said and tried to force himself on her. He convinced himself, like Mr Collins in Pride and Prejudice that when women say no they mean yes. His pass developed rapidly into a sexual assault which caused her to resist and scream. Terrified of the consequences he seized her by the throat to shut her up (as he stated) but knowing full well that he had to shut her up for good by death, to stop her from ever telling the story, not merely calm down an unreasonable bout of hysteria.