Tortoise
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It's much more than exclusion.I hope the jury get full access to that chart - obviously for privacy reasons we never will, but I'd really ike to know if any staff members presence matches up with specific types of incident, eg, was anyone else present for all the insulin cases?
I think a defence strategy could well be claiming natural causes for the less clear cases, and blaming A.N. Other for those which seem clearly deliberate (they don't even need to pick a name if there's few enough of those cases to have a few other staff in the frame).
I tend to find the air embolus cases a bit speculative; it fits, yes, but it seems so rare and without clear diagnostic process other than one of exclusion, that I could see natural causes being possible too. The insulin on the other hand seems clear to me that it couldn't have happened naturally (and as the nurses caring for baby F have confirmed he wasn't given insulin, accidental overdose by someone putting a decimal point in the wrong place appears also excluded). So perhaps a combined approach to the defence is the best they can aim for.
(edit for spelling, even after reading over it I still can't spell embolus...)
Two of the babies had x-rays showing air, which Professor Owen Arthurs testified about. All five babies (A to E) had sudden colourful blotches and patches flitting around their bodies that none of the doctors or consultants at the hospital had seen before. All of the collapses were sudden and unexpected, in babies who had been stable at that point. Some of the babies improved between collapses which did not fit with infection status.
I have no reason to think that the medical experts are not independent, very qualified and experienced in neonatology, and objective. We've heard from Dr Sandie Bohin that she was even researching exceedingly rare conditions to try to explain spontaneous bleeding. Dr Evans has shown that he was not working with police information, but just the medical files, because he didn't know about A's discoloured abdomen when he diagnosed air embolus. He reviewed all the deaths and collapses on the unit and obviously there were some from natural causes. What he was left with was 7 deaths and 17 collapses which he deemed unnatural. His opinions were peer reviewed by two experts who agreed with him, but one of the experts died before trial. The ALLEGED unnatural unexplained deaths would explain why the hospital had sufficient concerns about its neonatal mortality rates that they asked for independent review by the Royal College and then called in the police.
If we take Dr Evans at his word, he highlighted the ALLEGED unnatural deaths and collapses, and it happened that police identified that LL was present for all of them. No other staff member was. He testified he hadn't heard the name Lucy Letby until she was arrested. Police review (evidence now heard from LL's colleagues) has indeed shown that LL was in rooms she was asked not to be in, and involved with the babies who died/collapsed at the relevant time, but she was not always on duty with the same mix of nurses.
I don't know why anyone here feels sufficiently qualified to argue these experts' findings, which are backed up by other experts in their fields from Great Ormond Street Hospital, in radiology and diabetes. The defence has NOT put alternative explanations to the experts that they haven't been able to dismiss with reasons why.
It keeps being said that the doctors weren't suspicious at the time. Well actually they did become suspicious over time and the hospital did think those staff had no evidence, (the police uncovered the ALLEGED evidence over years of investigation) they did move LL to admin and ask for independent review. To me it seems unsurprising, with different consultants on call, one doctor finishing his placement and leaving, air embolus not being something they had seen before, different methods of sabotage being ALLEGED, babies ALLEGEDLY being set up to collapse when LL went off duty, a mixture of LL's designated and non-designated babies collapsing, and cognitive dissonance being such that it would be the last thing in the world to suspect that a nurse who has been there a few years by now has ALLEGEDLY begun to deliberately harm and try to kill the babies. Post mortems were carried out for babies A, C and D, and doctors would have had that information to work with at the time.
Unless we hear from the defence on this, I have no reason to think the prosecution experts are not credible. A few people here who have expressed doubts about the experts' opinions aren't even following the trial reports and have stated that the experts aren't certain and haven't said it was deliberate. This is incorrect.
All MOO