Atlantic 2013 Tropical Weather and Maps

[raine1212]

A spin with some wrap around. Is that what I am seeing here

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/east/gmex/flash-vis.html

 

[ctkid]

A spin with some wrap around. Is that what I am seeing here

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/east/gmex/flash-vis.html

I see that too. We can see if recon verifies it.

 

[ctkid]

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/floaters/91L/imagery/rgb_lalo-animated.gif

We now have a Tropical Depression.

 

[ctkid]

 

[ctkid]

Tampa Radar.

http://radar.weather.gov/radar.php?product=N0Z&rid=TBW&loop=yes

 

[ctkid]

Wind shift at 24.7N, 88.4W

 

[ctkid]

http://www.fallsky.com/91/10.gif

 

[raine1212]

CT you think NHC will name her today at the 5pm update

 

[raine1212]

She is getting her act together... Shear has relaxed some. I don't see that much dry air. What do you think CT?

 

[ctkid]

I don't think they will name it by 5.

 

[ctkid]

Waiting on the recon. Looks like they are doing another pass.

 

[raine1212]

Time: 19:49:00Z
Coordinates: 25.7833N 85.6333W
Acft. Static Air Press: 970.4 mb (~ 28.66 inHg)
Acft. Geopotential Hgt: 328 meters (~ 1,076 feet)
Extrap. Sfc. Press: 1008.1 mb (~ 29.77 inHg)
D-value: -
Flt. Lvl. Wind (30s): From 135° at 43 knots (From the SE at ~ 49.4 mph)
Air Temp: 20.0°C (~ 68.0°F)
Dew Pt: 20.0°C (~ 68.0°F)
Peak (10s) Flt. Lvl. Wind: 44 knots (~ 50.6 mph)
SFMR Peak (10s) Sfc. Wind: 53 knots (~ 60.9 mph)
SFMR Rain Rate: 34 mm/hr (~ 1.34 in/hr)

bbm

 

[raine1212]

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/floaters/91L/flash-vis-long.html

Looks like large storms (towers) firing near the coc, ne and east side

 

[raine1212]

Waiting on the recon. Looks like they are doing another pass.

You think they are looking for the LLC

 

[raine1212]

We need a track map...

 

[ctkid]

Yes on the LLC. In the picture above, the X looked like it.

From Joe Bastardi

High Density obs from recon indicating gales. if vortex message comes NHC can upgrade at anytime

New Raging Weatherbull on looking at 91L and its track up east coast tomorrow and Friday.

 

[ctkid]

Closed LLC, is what is being reported.

 

[ctkid]

It has been renumbered!

BEGIN
NHC_ATCF
invest_RENUMBER_al912013_al012013.ren
FSTDA
R
U
040
010
0000
201306052121
NONE
NOTIFY=ATRP
END
INVEST, AL, L, , , , , 01, 2013, DB, O, 2013060300, 9999999999, , , , , , WARNING, 1, AL012013
AL, 01, 2013060418, , BEST, 0, 239N, 870W, 25, 1009, DB, 0, , 0, 0, 0, 0, 1010, 225, 150, 0, 0, L, 0, , 0, 0, INVEST, S,
AL, 01, 2013060500, , BEST, 0, 243N, 870W, 25, 1008, DB, 0, , 0, 0, 0, 0, 1009, 210, 150, 0, 0, L, 0, , 0, 0, INVEST, S,
AL, 01, 2013060506, , BEST, 0, 246N, 870W, 25, 1008, DB, 0, , 0, 0, 0, 0, 1009, 210, 150, 0, 0, L, 0, , 0, 0, INVEST, S,
AL, 01, 2013060512, , BEST, 0, 249N, 869W, 30, 1007, DB, 0, , 0, 0, 0, 0, 1009, 250, 200, 40, 0, L, 0, , 0, 0, INVEST, M,
AL, 01, 2013060518, , BEST, 0, 253N, 866W, 35, 1006, DB, 34, NEQ, 50, 120, 0, 0, 1010, 250, 120, 45, 0, L, 0, , 0, 0, INVEST, M,

 

[ctkid]

Special tropical weather outlook
nws national hurricane center miami fl
530 pm edt wed jun 5 2013
special outlook issued to update discussion on the low pressure area
in the gulf of mexico
for the north atlantic...caribbean sea and the gulf of mexico...
An air force reconnaissance aircraft was able to identify a
well-defined circulation in the low pressure area over the east-
central gulf of mexico late this afternoon. Based on this
finding...the national hurricane center will initiate advisories on
tropical storm andrea within the next hour or so. This system has a
high chance...near 100 percent...of becoming a tropical cyclone
during the next 48 hours.
Elsewhere...tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the
next 48 hours.
&&
$$
forecaster kimberlain/franklin

 

[ctkid]

http://www.nrlmry.navy.mil/tc_pages/tc_home.html

Ok you have Andrea.