I'm not sure what to think about the red paint transfer. One theory I’ve seen is that it could have come from a hydraulic jack a tow company used to get the Jeep upright in the ravine, I kind of like that theory. At the same time, the only reason we even know about the red paint transfer is because of the PI, not Buckeye PD. That might just be because they didn’t really inspect the Jeep, but it could also mean the mark wasn’t from a hydraulic jack at all.
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At first, I wasn’t sure what to make of the rancher’s story. Some people
(like Billy Hayes) tend to embellish to make their accounts sound more important. But after listening to the rancher’s audio and hearing him retell it, I 100% believe him. He even said Buckeye PD told him they searched that area and the Jeep wasn’t there. That’s really damning, especially when you consider how close the search grid must have started from the ravine.
Then there’s Ken’s account about following tracks through the gate, going further in, and climbing a hill to look around. That would put him roughly half a mile from where the Jeep was located. He had fresh tracks to follow, and according to the police report, you’d have to go off-road to reach the ravine, there wasn’t a road there at the time, it wasn’t made until August or September. Those tracks should have been very easy to follow, rain or not, because they were cutting a new path into the desert.
I think that's my biggest problem with Ken’s story
(which is weird because i just thought of it recently). If you were following the tracks, why stop? Did you follow them all the way to where the road ends and then decide to climb a hill, which hill? Why didn’t you see the off-road tracks? You went far enough to paint rocks red to mark where you had already gone, how far did you go? His account basically starts the search grid right next to where the Jeep was found. So why didn’t the Phoenix Fire-bird helicopter spot it? Why didn’t Civil Air Patrol? Why didn’t ground teams? And why did Buckeye PD, according to the rancher, say they had searched that area before and the Jeep wasn’t there?
All of this is before even looking at the data, which In my opinion proves the Jeep first crashed by the ravine, then drove 11 miles, and later ended up back there. And that makes a lot of sense if it was staged, they just brought it back to the site of the first crash so the data would line up.
As for motive, before even digging into the background around Daniel’s work, it was always weird that this was the one angle police never talked about, or really anyone talked about, even in theory.
The police report and media imply a whole list of other theories about what may have happened to Daniel:
- Mental illness – Police report/Media
- Accident, succumbed to injuries – Police report/Media
- Wild animals – Police report
- Left for a monastery to become a monk – David via Detective Biffin
- Cartels – David via Police Chief Larry Hall
- Katelyn’s friend – Police report
- Some random person – Police report
- Billy – Police report
The report even mentions a man who looked like Daniel but was missing his left hand instead of his right. They go through nearly every possibility, except anything related to his job. They even go out of their way to leave out Stephen’s involvement that day
(Daniel's main boss), someone David has describes as “a ghost.”