Canada - Coronavirus COVID-19

LadyL · Mar 25, 2020

musicaljoke said:
There is something definitely wrong with these stats. Even our little 20 bed hospital has two ventilators and access to 2 more.

it's per 100,000 so Ontario has 14.57 million people which equals 145 ventilators?
is my math right?

LadyL · Mar 25, 2020

I found this:

In B.C., Health Minister Adrian Dix said there were 1,272 ventilators, and the Alberta government says it has 477 with another 50 on order. Nova Scotia reportedly has 240, with another 140 on order. Manitoba health officials told reporters the province has 243 ventilators with another 20 on order.

Newfoundland and Labrador officials told Global News they have 156 ventilators. Saskatchewan has 91 adult ventilators for critical care, 80 additional subacute ventilators and 250 additional ventilators ordered. P.E.I. has 19, with 15 on order.

Nunavut has seven ventilators immediately available, but all intensive care patients are transported elsewhere.

Coronavirus pandemic puts Canada’s supply of ventilators in the spotlight

LadyL · Mar 25, 2020

dbm again

Tadpole12 · Mar 26, 2020

Newmarket science teacher's model projects Ontario coronavirus cases could climb to 10,000 by April 9

Ontario's
Rate of increase 18%
"At the current rate, we can expect our 1,000th case in Ontario on March 26 and our 10,000th case on April 9."
Doubling time is 4.2 days, needs to rise above 6
Peak around April 10th?

(estimate provided as of March 22)

Daily model:
COVID-19 in Ontario

rogue ant · Mar 26, 2020

musicaljoke said:
There is something definitely wrong with these stats. Even our little 20 bed hospital has two ventilators and access to 2 more.

Note: The numbers are "per 100,000 population".
At any rate, these are the numbers provided to Radio-Canada by the provinces.

musicaljoke · Mar 26, 2020

rogue ant said:
Note: The numbers are "per 100,000 population".
At any rate, these are the numbers provided to Radio-Canada by the provinces.

That's true, except that we have 2 ventilators (plus 2 old ones in storage) with a population of about 7000. If the number 12 represents all the ventilators in Ontario, that's not even one per city. There's no way that is right.

zencompass · Mar 26, 2020

Ontario

https://www.cbc.ca/news/canada/ottawa/ontario-ventilator-covid19-coronavirus-1.5509454

"Ontario has roughly a dozen ventilators per 100,000 people, putting it near the bottom of Canada's 10 provinces during the COVID-19 pandemic."

"A spokesperson for the province's Ministry of Health told Radio-Canada Monday, after several requests, that until recently, Ontario had 1,300 hospital beds equipped with a ventilator. Another 210 beds equipped with ventilators are in its emergency reserve."

"The province received 300 more last week, which brings the total to 1,810 beds altogether."

"Given Ontario's population was about 14.7 million at the end of 2019, that works out to about 12 ventilators per 100,000 people."

musicaljoke · Mar 26, 2020

zencompass said:
Ontario

https://www.cbc.ca/news/canada/ottawa/ontario-ventilator-covid19-coronavirus-1.5509454

"Ontario has roughly a dozen ventilators per 100,000 people, putting it near the bottom of Canada's 10 provinces during the COVID-19 pandemic."

"A spokesperson for the province's Ministry of Health told Radio-Canada Monday, after several requests, that until recently, Ontario had 1,300 hospital beds equipped with a ventilator. Another 210 beds equipped with ventilators are in its emergency reserve."

"The province received 300 more last week, which brings the total to 1,810 beds altogether."

"Given Ontario's population was about 14.7 million at the end of 2019, that works out to about 12 ventilators per 100,000 people."

A 2009 survey of the country's ICUs and emergency medical equipment revealed Canada has about 5,000 ventilators spread out across 286 hospitals.

https://www.cbc.ca/news/canada/london/pandemic-ventilator-coronvirus-hospitals-1.5493830

That's an old stat, but that number should still be accurate, if not higher. I wonder if the above article stating there are 1810 includes only those that are attached to beds, and not the free standing ones.

Tadpole12 · Mar 26, 2020

https://www.cbc.ca/news/canada/toronto/covid-19-coronavirus-thursday-new-cases-1.5510534

170 new cases of COVID-19 in Ontario, provincial tally rises to 858

Backlog of 4 days on average for tests

"At a news conference Wednesday Ontario's associate chief medical officer of health, Dr. Barbara Yaffe said that the backlog on coronavirus tests has made that criteria untenable. Instead a case will be marked resolved if the infected person feels fine after a 2 week isolation period."

musicaljoke · Mar 26, 2020

Tadpole12 said:
https://www.cbc.ca/news/canada/toronto/covid-19-coronavirus-thursday-new-cases-1.5510534

170 new cases of COVID-19 in Ontario provincial tally rises to 858

Backlog of 4 days on average for tests

"At a news conference Wednesday Ontario's associate chief medical officer of health, Dr. Barbara Yaffe said that the backlog on coronavirus tests has made that criteria untenable. Instead a case will be marked resolved if the infected person feels fine after a 2 week isolation period."

Good grief! And we have barely started into the curve. Someone needs to fix this.

Tadpole12 · Mar 26, 2020

Ontario premier Ford, announcement

Premier Doug Ford to make announcement Thursday amid coronavirus pandemic

? Will the curve flatten June or July?

DF: If I had a crystal ball...