CANADA Canada- Eli Wood, 25, student@ Sir Wilfred Laurier Univ., missing after fire (poss. arson)@ home, Kitchener, Ont.,19 Oct., 2025, *Foul play suspected*

  • #161
More interesting tidbits. I was curious about how dark the area around 25 Major St. would have been on the night of Oct 18/19, so I looked up the environmental conditions for that date. The combination of moon phase and cloud cover gives a pretty clear picture:

HOW DARK WAS IT at 25 Major St., Kitchener October 18/19?

🌙 Moon Phase — October 18–19, 2025 (Kitchener)
Waning Crescent — extremely thin, only 5–8% illumination
• Oct 18: ~7.7% illumination
• Oct 19: ~3.2% illumination
• Moonrise:
• Oct 18 → 4:43 am
• Oct 19 → 5:47 am
• Moonset:
• Oct 18 → 5:19 pm
• Oct 19 → 5:36 pm

🌑 What this means
During the entire night of Oct 18–19, the moon was below the horizon until early morning.
Even when it rose, it was a tiny crescent with almost no usable light.
→ The night was effectively moonless.


☁️ Cloud Cover — October 18–19, 2025 (Kitchener)
From the WeatherSpark cloud‑cover history:

October 18, 2025
• Evening cloud cover: ~60–80% (mostly cloudy to overcast)
• Overnight cloud cover: ~70–90%
October 19, 2025
• Early morning cloud cover: ~80–90% (overcast)

What this means
Even if the moon had been bright, the cloud cover would have blocked it.
The night was extremely dark:🌫️
moonless + heavy cloud + unlit park + industrial zone shadows. Major Park doesn't appear to have lighting.

Taken together, these conditions suggest that the area around Major Park would have been extremely dark throughout the night, with very limited natural or artificial light. No snow on the ground, very little leaf fall.

Though we have posts asking "did you see anything?" It seems it may have been very difficult to see much in the darkness.
Just to clarify,
my links for the above were included in the formatting. If you missed the links, they are here:

Moon phases: Moonrise, Moonset, and Moon Phase in Kitchener, October 2026

Cloud cover: (scroll down for data) Kitchener October 2025 Historical Weather Data (Ontario, Canada) - Weather Spark

I think it’s reasonable to interpret the conditions based on the data. Looking at the data, it seems fair to say it would’ve been very dark. Given the cloud cover and the small crescent moon, it would have been very dark that night (is all I'm saying.)

Major Park doesn’t seem to have lighting, so visibility would have been really limited.
 
  • #162
I was curious to know when, if at all, any evidence would have become snow covered. I looked up several environmental conditions in Kitchener on those dates.

Back to October 18-19, 2025 and beyond weather:

October 2025 had essentially no measurable snow in Kitchener-Waterloo.
Historical monthly snowfall data for Kitchener-Waterloo shows 0.0 cm of snow recorded for October 2025.

The first notable snow event of the 2025–26 season came November 9–10, 2025. Accumulation throughout the day built steadily, with ~6 cm by mid-morning and around 13–14 cm by late evening.

Temperatures stayed mild through mid- to late October, not cold enough for significant snow or persistent ground frost.

When leaves actually fell in Kitchener (Fall 2025)

On Oct 18–19 (the disappearance + fire):
• Leaves were falling, but not yet deep.
• The ground would have been visible in most areas.
• Searchers would have had clear visibility.🍁

Nothing in Major Park would have been hidden by leaves during the critical early window (Oct 18–25).
The ground was still too clear.


Mid‑October (Oct 10–20)
This includes the weekend of Oct 18–19.
• Leaf fall increases significantly.

🌅 The sun set in Kitchener on October 18, 2025 at 18:32 (6:32 pm) and rose on October 19, 2025 at 07:42 (7:42 am). Link here.
As for the leaf‑fall timing, I was looking at a few everyday sources, including the City of Kitchener’s leaf‑collection schedule:
Leaf collection | City of Kitchener

and this fall‑collection update:
Explore your leaf collection options in Kitchener this fall

This snipped section is in this link: Leaf collection | City of Kitchener
1768692236990.webp


These dates usually line up with the typical fall pattern in this area and gardeners in the KW region concur (private sources). Most of the heavier leaf drop happens later in October.

WeatherSpark is just a site that shows historical weather, so I used it to check the cloud cover for that night.

Since leaf‑drop here tends to peak later in the month, (which is why the region didn't pick up until November), the ground around the 18th would still have been fairly visible (and there was no snowfall yet).
Kitchener October 2025 Historical Weather Data (Ontario, Canada) - Weather Spark

(the point of this post was to determine search condition in my mind)
 
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  • #163
Just to clarify,
my links for the above were included in the formatting. If you missed the links, they are here:

Moon phases: Moonrise, Moonset, and Moon Phase in Kitchener, October 2026

Cloud cover: (scroll down for data) Kitchener October 2025 Historical Weather Data (Ontario, Canada) - Weather Spark

I think it’s reasonable to interpret the conditions based on the data. Looking at the data, it seems fair to say it would’ve been very dark. Given the cloud cover and the small crescent moon, it would have been very dark that night (is all I'm saying.)

Major Park doesn’t seem to have lighting, so visibility would have been really limited.

very useful info re: dark sky and lack of lighting
 
  • #164
As for the leaf‑fall timing, I was looking at a few everyday sources, including the City of Kitchener’s leaf‑collection schedule:
Leaf collection | City of Kitchener

and this fall‑collection update:
Explore your leaf collection options in Kitchener this fall

This snipped section is in this link: Leaf collection | City of Kitchener View attachment 637896

These dates usually line up with the typical fall pattern in this area and gardeners in the KW region concur (private sources). Most of the heavier leaf drop happens later in October.

WeatherSpark is just a site that shows historical weather, so I used it to check the cloud cover for that night.

Since leaf‑drop here tends to peak later in the month, (which is why the region didn't pick up until November), the ground around the 18th would still have been fairly visible (and there was no snowfall yet).
Kitchener October 2025 Historical Weather Data (Ontario, Canada) - Weather Spark

(the point of this post was to determine search condition in my mind)

Yes no big piles of leaves present in initial news footage about the fire.

Front of home from news footage clip

IMG_2438.webp
 
  • #165
Yes no big piles of leaves present in initial news footage about the fire.

Front of home from news footage clip

View attachment 637917
Yes! Good way to show the leaves and no snow. I understand with the trees still full, it blocks views of some homeowners too, like a neighbour looking out their window.
 
  • #166
On another point, I don't know if anyone here shared that Canadian Thanksgiving was Mon, Oct 13, 2025? Do we want to discuss that? Family holidays can be emotionally triggering to some people.
 
  • #167
very useful info re: dark sky and lack of lighting

Something I didn't think of until now is regarding doorbell cameras. I've never used one but how are they at night especially a very dark night? I'm wondering how obscured any capture might be?
 
  • #168
On another point, I don't know if anyone here shared that Canadian Thanksgiving was Mon, Oct 13, 2025? Do we want to discuss that? Family holidays can be emotionally triggering to some people.

I missed that hoiliday completely. It may have been a busy time on the street.

Hopefully LE have looked into this to find out from neighbours if there had been any unusual incidences on the street over Thanksgiving weekend and the days leading up to October 19th.

For example: (all speculation)

An unknown vehicle that was only parked on the street during that week then gone on the 19th.

Night time gatherings in the park the house backs onto.

Unknown person(s) walking into the backyard of 25 Major St and looking into windows etc.
 
  • #169
Something I didn't think of until now is regarding doorbell cameras. I've never used one but how are they at night especially a very dark night? I'm wondering how obscured any capture might be?

Most of the ring cameras use infra red to capture Black and White footage at night.

More details on the cameras here
 
  • #170
1768705895992.webp


DATES of Note:
The 6th is the date of EW's GofundMe post on FB.
The 13th is Canadian Thanksgiving. But the entire weekend could be considered since some celebrate on Sat or Sunday.
The week of Oct. 13-17 2025 was Laurier reading week. No in person classes.
The 18th was the last night of Octoberfest
The 18th was the last known whereabouts of EW.
The 19th is the day the fire call came (06:00) well before sunrise (07:42).

It would be helpful, IMO, that anyone who spoke/texted/messaged with EW during this timeframe contact the Waterloo Regional Police Service at 519-570-9777, extension 8191. This would include peers, classmates, clients, neighbours.

Anonymous tips can be provided to Crime Stoppers at 1-800-222-8477 or online at www.waterloocrimestoppers.com.
 

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  • #171
In the news today - a friend of EW’s urges the public to keep sharing the missing person posters.

IMG_2337.webp
 

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