Coronavirus COVID-19 - Global Health Pandemic #53

[Cool Cats]

The COVID-19 Riddle: Why Does the Virus Wallop Some Places and Spare Others?

The coronavirus has killed so many people in Iran that the country has resorted to mass burials, but in neighboring Iraq, the body count is fewer than 100.

The Dominican Republic has reported nearly 7,600 cases of the virus. Just across the border, Haiti has recorded about 85.

In Indonesia, thousands are believed to have died of the coronavirus. In nearby Malaysia, a strict lockdown has kept fatalities to about 100.

The coronavirus has touched almost every country on earth, but its impact has seemed capricious.

Global metropolises like New York, Paris and London have been devastated, while teeming cities like Bangkok, Baghdad, New Delhi and Lagos have, so far, largely been spared.

WOW...

 

[nhmemorymaker]

Idle Musing - I wonder if all this "stay-at-home quarantine" stuff is gonna lead to a new "bumper crop" of babies in the future ?.....Or an increase in the divorce rate ?.....moo

Pretty sure we discussed this back a while... and one person noted "only first time parents maybe, those of us, living with kids in quarantine, will know better"

 

[CoverMeCagney]

The COVID-19 Riddle: Why Does the Virus Wallop Some Places and Spare Others?

The coronavirus has killed so many people in Iran that the country has resorted to mass burials, but in neighboring Iraq, the body count is fewer than 100.

The Dominican Republic has reported nearly 7,600 cases of the virus. Just across the border, Haiti has recorded about 85.

In Indonesia, thousands are believed to have died of the coronavirus. In nearby Malaysia, a strict lockdown has kept fatalities to about 100.

The coronavirus has touched almost every country on earth, but its impact has seemed capricious.

Global metropolises like New York, Paris and London have been devastated, while teeming cities like Bangkok, Baghdad, New Delhi and Lagos have, so far, largely been spared.

WOW...

The demography of the virus is fascinating and it'll be years before this is all figured out properly. Meantime, I don't think any country can claim to have the death numbers completely correct amid all the chaos; we are all under- or over-reporting, and all reporting slightly differently, it's very inconsistent.

I suppose native residents of Bangkok, Baghdad, New Delhi and Lagos are less likely to have visited Wuhan province, or been on skiing holidays in the Alps this year, or been at multinational conferences in financial districts. Of course there are exceptions but as a general rule it appears to be the wealthier European countries, who headed for the snow in February half term, that have suffered the most on this side of the pond.

 

[Simply Southern]

Excellent article on CV model forecasts by the always excellent FiveThirtyEight.

One of their more sober tasks is predicting the number of Americans who will die due to COVID-19. FiveThirtyEight — with the help of the Reich Labat the University of Massachusetts Amherst — has assembled six models published by infectious disease researchers to illustrate possible trajectories of the pandemic’s death toll. In doing so, we hope to make them more accessible, as well as highlight how the assumptions underlying the models can lead to vastly different estimates. Here are the models’ U.S. fatality projections for the coming weeks.

The biggest point I see is that some models don't not show a significant drop in the U.S. death over the next month.

View attachment 245615

Where The Latest COVID-19 Models Think We're Headed — And Why They Disagree

Reich lab is my friends husband. YEA, Nick!!!

We've been listening and following Reich for months.

 

[24Roses]

Iowa news today: May 4: 534 new COVID-19 cases in Iowa, 4 additional deaths (WATCH Gov. Reynolds)
534 new confirmed cases today and 4 more have passed away. We now have a total of 9,703 confirmed cases and 188 have passed away. 3,486 have recovered (36%).
COVID-19 Deaths Nearly Double Influenza Deaths in Iowa in Much Shorter Period This article was posted last night before the 4 new deaths were released today.

 

[tresir2012]

Encouraging. Lowest daily death figures for a MONTH.


Coronavirus updates: UK to test contact tracing app on Isle of Wight - BBC News

Posted at 17:2517:25
Analysis: Positive signs in latest UK virus stats

Nick Triggle

Health Correspondent

Lots of positive signs in the latest figures released by the government. Another 288 deaths have been announced - the lowest 24-hour toll reported in a month.

Reporting numbers do fall at the weekend - these figures relate to Sunday - but England's deputy chief medical officer Jonathan Van Tam says it is “now very clear we are past the peak”.

When you look at hospital deaths by date, that peak seems to have happened in the second week of April. The numbers are now around a third of what they were then.

Numbers in hospital are down as well - to below 14,000, down from over 20,000 at the peak.

 

[Cool Cats]

The demography of the virus is fascinating and it'll be years before this is all figured out properly. Meantime, I don't think any country can claim to have the death numbers completely correct amid all the chaos; we are all under- or over-reporting, and all reporting slightly differently, it's very inconsistent.

I suppose native residents of Bangkok, Baghdad, New Delhi and Lagos are less likely to have visited Wuhan province, or been on skiing holidays in the Alps this year, or been at multinational conferences in financial districts. Of course there are exceptions but as a general rule it appears to be the wealthier European countries, who headed for the snow in February half term, that have suffered the most on this side of the pond.

YES!!!

In the beginning when I looked at the world map of cases, they were all centered on the wealthy nations and it was very obvious why. People in the wealthy nations travel and fly ALOT and go back and forth amongst themselves and this was very obvious in the mapping.

Good catch....

 

[CoverMeCagney]

Encouraging. Lowest daily death figures for a MONTH.


Coronavirus updates: UK to test contact tracing app on Isle of Wight - BBC News

Posted at 17:2517:25
Analysis: Positive signs in latest UK virus stats

Nick Triggle

Health Correspondent

Lots of positive signs in the latest figures released by the government. Another 288 deaths have been announced - the lowest 24-hour toll reported in a month.

Reporting numbers do fall at the weekend - these figures relate to Sunday - but England's deputy chief medical officer Jonathan Van Tam says it is “now very clear we are past the peak”.

When you look at hospital deaths by date, that peak seems to have happened in the second week of April. The numbers are now around a third of what they were then.

Numbers in hospital are down as well - to below 14,000, down from over 20,000 at the peak.

It seems we are on the 'down' but as you say this happens every week - Sunday and Monday figures plummet only to catch up again on Tuesday. An encouraging number for tomorrow would be around the 600-700 mark, which would show a gradual cumulative decline consistent with previous weeks.

(can't quite believe 600-700 deaths per day is even an acceptable number, but y'all know what I mean)

 

[firebird]

These Arizona sheriffs say they won't enforce governor's stay-at-home order. But they don't expect a free-for-all

Two Arizona county sheriffs, one on the western edge of the state and another just south of Phoenix, say they won't enforce the stay-at-home order imposed by Gov. Doug Ducey in part because they think it is unconstitutional.

The sheriffs, Doug Schuster of Mohave County, tucked along the Colorado River, and Mark Lamb of Pinal County, made their comments separately. But Schuster said in a Friday phone interview that he had spoken with Lamb about their mutual feelings regarding the governor's order.

Both said they would speak to residents violating the order. But neither would arrest anyone for not obeying.

Lamb said it had already been the unstated policy of the Pinal County Sheriff’s Office to not arrest anybody for violating the order. The preference, he said, was to talk to people about compliance, not jail them.
* * *
But a television station in Phoenix asked Lamb to address Ducey’s comments as he announced the extension of his stay-at-home order. Ducey, in response to a question about bars and restaurants that might re-open in defiance of his order, mentioned a jail term, a fine and the possible loss of a liquor license.
Lamb said during an interview with The Republic on Friday that he felt he had no choice but to make his unstated policy a stated one.

“I think people want to know that we’re going to support their constitutional rights,” he said. “I felt (Ducey) pushed me into a position where I needed to make our stance clear.”

 

[Tadpole12]

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US gearing up for vaccine by end of year.

No one is saying this is a synthesized virus.

This is not a synthesized warfare virus.
Possible that Lab worker may have caught virus in lab while experimenting,
Wuhan Institute of Virology.

Reported...
In the first wave in China, the actual number of cases
were 4 x higher than the Chinese were reporting.
They were reporting 25% of the cases.
Numbers were being under reported by a factor of 2.5.
Chinese knew this was person to person transmission in early December.
They admitted it was person to person transmission on Jan 20th.

This news will create international tensions.

ETA
China's lack of transparency and
WHO's failure, by encouraging continued international travel,
is why we have this pandemic.

 

[margarita25]

Three Russian doctors fall from hospital windows, raising questions amid coronavirus pandemic - CNN

 

[Henry2326]

Miami Beach closes popular spot after crowds refuse to follow rules

 

[Tadpole12]

Three Russian doctors fall from hospital windows, raising questions amid coronavirus pandemic - CNN

What the ... ?

 

[LadyL]

As President Trump presses for states to reopen their economies, his administration is privately projecting a steady rise in the number of cases and deaths from the coronavirus over the next several weeks, reaching about 3,000 daily deaths on June 1, according to an internal document obtained by The New York Times, nearly double from the current level of about 1,750.

Coronavirus Live Updates: Trump Administration Models Predict Near Doubling of Daily Death Toll by June

 

[Tadpole12]

Pretty sure we discussed this back a while... and one person noted "only first time parents maybe, those of us, living with kids in quarantine, will know better"

Ty nhmm
Or at least should know better!

 

[LadyL]

Michigan State Police investigators are looking into reports that a Flint dollar store security guard was fatally shot Friday after an argument with a customer who refused to wear a mask in the store.

The 43-year-old guard was shot in the head at about 2:15 p.m. Friday at the Family Dollar store at 877 Fifth Ave. He later died in an area hospital. Police are not yet releasing the name of the guard.

Police probe shooting of Flint security guard in confrontation over mask at Family Dollar

unreal

 

[Trino]

As President Trump presses for states to reopen their economies, his administration is privately projecting a steady rise in the number of cases and deaths from the coronavirus over the next several weeks, reaching about 3,000 daily deaths on June 1, according to an internal document obtained by The New York Times, nearly double from the current level of about 1,750.

Coronavirus Live Updates: Trump Administration Models Predict Near Doubling of Daily Death Toll by June

Have we, as a country, become immune to feelings? 3000 per day. Said it loud and clear - 3000 per day. Do people care?

 

[Tadpole12]

This has been happening to me for at least 3 years. It is pretty annoying when an ad follows you for months. I clicked on a towel radiator that I liked and it was in my ads for about 6 months after that.

Yep.
My 2 warnings,
Never look for men's cotton underware online.
And never youtube your favorite choreographer, Bob Fosse.
'Cause the 'you might like' changes dramatically.

 

[ilovewings]

unreal

just horrible and so very sad for that security guard who was just doing his job (and sad for his family)

 

[LadyL]

Three Russian doctors fall from hospital windows, raising questions amid coronavirus pandemic - CNN

wow. just wow
it doesn't really sound like they are suicides either