Coronavirus COVID-19 - Global Health Pandemic #71

[Tadpole12]

COVID-19 #CoronaVirus Infographic Datapack — Information is Beautiful

Navigating risk in a pandemic-Chart speaks for itself
View attachment 256664

I'm surprised that "walk in busy downtown" is low risk.

 

[Tadpole12]

Bats’ genes can help them fight off coronaviruses, study suggests

GENES THAT ALLOW bats to fight off deadly diseases such as coronaviruses have been uncovered by a team of global scientists, according to a study.

Researchers generated and analysed six highly accurate genomes, which start to uncover bats’ ability as mammals to fly, survive fatal infections and navigate complete darkness using sound – known as echolocation.

The global scientists’ consortium, known as Bat1K, believes these genetic materials could be used as tools to identify the solutions evolved in bats and could be harnessed to alleviate human ageing and disease.

"Alleviate human aging",
why would ya?

 

[weepingangel]

Dr. Anthony Fauci to throw out first pitch of MLB season

 

[Footwarrior]

I'm surprised that "walk in busy downtown" is low risk.

Catching this disease is most likely when you are in less than two meters away from an infected person for a period of 10 minutes or more in an enclosed space. Dining indoors at a busy restaurant exposes you to those at your table and nearby tables. Hanging out at a busy tavern or attending a crowded church service are high risk for the same reasons. So does taking a crowded subway or bus. If another person sitting nearby is infected you are likely to catch the disease.

Walking in a busy downtown is low risk because you are outside and in close proximity to any specific person for only brief periods.

 

[Tadpole12]

I found an article saying it took 8 days for the last 2 million cases. So I guess the last 1 million took around 3 days?

"After the first COVID-19 case was reported in Wuhan, China, in early January, it took about 15 weeks to reach 2 million cases. By contrast, it took just eight days to climb above 15 million from the 13 million reached on July 13.

Health experts stress that official data almost certainly underreports both infections and deaths, particularly in countries with limited testing capacity."

Limited testing capacity would be the US I guess. The major labs are now reporting that they can't keep up with the testing capacity needed.

Global coronavirus cases exceed 15 million: Reuters tally


US lab giant warns of new Covid-19 testing crunch in autumn | Free to read

"Mr Davis said his company would be able to expand quickly were it not for a shortage of chemical reagents and machines from testing equipment makers such as Roche, ThermoFisher and Hologic, which are struggling to keep up with global demand. He added: “We would double our capacity tomorrow . . . but it’s not the labs that are the bottleneck. [It] is our ability to get physical machines and, more importantly, our ability to feed those machines with chemical reagents.” Quest is running its laboratories 24 hours a day but there are “more specimens coming in every day than our capacity can handle”, said Mr Davis."

US lab giant warns of new Covid-19 testing crunch in autumn | Free to read

13 million July 13
14 million July 17

(100 hours)

For first time, world records one million coronavirus cases in 100 hours: Reuters tally

15 million July 22
(iirc it was approaching the 15 mil by midnight the 21st)

Coronavirus cases worldwide jump from 10 million to 15 million in less than a month

 

[Tadpole12]

World's new cases on July 17: ~250,000
World's new cases two days ago ~200,000
Yesterday and today ~240,000 (today isn't finished, just guessing)

We are unlikely to see any effects from new mask measures in the US until next week. And there are hotspots all around the world (Australia, Ireland, France are the ones I've been watching).

So right now, it's about every 4 days that we'd get a new global million. However I think we're going to plateau around 250,000 a day or even 300,000 a day for the next week. We may hit 250,000 new cases today. We have issues with many places topping out their testing ability and big backlogs of tests (both inside and outside the US).

(With some nations still to turn in numbers, we're at about 240,000 new cases globally today).

I believe we really have about 1 million new cases globally today, conservatively speaking. And the numbers for the US are affected by backlogs (major) in testing, in many states. So the US is probably closer to 100,000 new cases per day (and the people who study serology and sewage etc say it's higher than that).

It will still take a very long time to reach herd immunity, with 1000 deaths per day until then? Unless people radically change their behavior.

A million globally per day?
What? If that's conservatively speaking, then ...
Wow.
Ty 10or.

 

[Tadpole12]

Yikes, can they really do that? Because if they can and my husband dies we are totally screwed.

Triple-I Blog | Are Life Insurers Denying Benefits for Deaths</BR> Related to COVID-19?


Life Insurance and Covid

 

[Rose in SC]

Catching this disease is most likely when you are in less than two meters away from an infected person for a period of 10 minutes or more in an enclosed space.

BBM - I'm glad you mentioned this. DH and I have home and auto insurance policies up for renewal and we've been asked to come in to the office for a (lengthy) appointment. We've been hesitant about going in and the agent did say we could do it over the phone. My insurance office is taking precautions, but, I dunno ... after reading this statement, I think we'll just opt for the conference call.

 

[CSIDreamer]

Just left Walmart. Southern Indiana. Walmart requires masks, our state mandate is effective the 27th. I only saw 2 people without masks.

In other news, indiana, US

954 new cases
17 new deaths 7/12-7/22
8.9% positive

So far we're good on ICU beds and tons of open ventilators.

ISDH - Novel Coronavirus: Indiana COVID-19 Dashboard

 

[ilovewings]

I'm surprised that "walk in busy downtown" is low risk.

i would move casino, movie theatre, subway, from medium to hi risk--
i am on tbe fence about indoor dining, small dinner party and kids going
to school--these activities could be high risk-- any time you have people
getting together indoors it could be high risk- if the people are not social
distancing and no masks--- sending kids to school could be very high risk
depending on different variables

 

[24Roses]

Iowa news today: As of 10:00 a.m. today, we had 716 new confirmed cases for a total of 40,509 confirmed cases of which 28,863 have recovered. 7 more have passed away for a total of 815. July 23: Iowa passes 40,000 positive COVID-19 cases with over 700 new cases from 8,000+ tests – KWWL IMO-it appears that the IDPH total case counts, deaths, and age groups have not updated at 11:00 a.m. as it says they have, but I will also include this link. I appears that individual county counts have updated. Iowa COVID-19 Information
Iowa Supreme Court issues policies and procedures for resumption of jury trials – KWWL
Iowa Public Health Association calls for statewide mask mandate – KWWL
Iowa care facility reports 6 deaths, more than 30 residents & staff have COVID-19

 

[ilovewings]

Yup. That seems to be how my FIL probably got it. His daughter went out on a date. (She’s in her 20’s). Developed strep throat a couple days after the date. Then her dad got sick. He got tested. She hasn’t yet.

It’s super hard to control teens and young adults. I think about myself in my early 20’s. I don’t think I would’ve stayed home. I lived for hanging out.

in my 20s and 30s i was out every night

 

[oviedo]

Of course it is good news. The cases look like they have peaked for now anyway.

UPDATE: See Florida’s curve when it comes to coronavirus cases

Cases were first reported in early March
Jon Jankowski, Digital journalist

Published: July 13, 2020, 7:41 pmUpdated: July 22, 2020, 10:36 pm
Tags: Coronavirus, Florida, Trending

The state of Florida saw 9,785 new cases of coronavirus on Wednesday. (WKMG)

• ORANGE COUNTY, Fla. – July 22 2020
  
  The state of Florida saw 9,785 new cases of coronavirus on Wednesday.
  
  The Florida Department of Health reports there are 140 new deaths from COVID-19 since Tuesday.
  
  The state now has a total of 379,619 cases of COVID-19.
  
  The DOH reports 5,459 people have died from coronavirus in Florida.
  
  July 21, 2020
  
  The state of Florida saw 9,440 new cases of coronavirus on Tuesday.
  
  The Florida Department of Health reports there are 136 new deaths from COVID-19 since Monday. The state now has a total of 369,834 cases of coronavirus.

living here, seeing so many ignore the local mask orders - and social distancing - watching the hoop players at the park every day as I drive home and now the young ones gathering for soccer and football practice - without social distancing - it doesn't feel like good news at all. I think FL is in trouble.
JMO

 

[oviedo]

That’s very scary. It is unfathomable how this disease can make some feel they’re getting better or only have mild symptoms and then -bam.

I don’t understand how a 25 year old dies suddenly from this but a woman in her 60’s on the transplant list, with an immune disorder, sails through (one of my spouse’s aunts).

I don’t get it. It’s scary.

me either and that is what is most frightening to me. how it manifests itself in the host and wreaks havoc in some but not others - so much we don't know it seems and yet there is a vaccine on the horizon?? scary.
JMO

 

[Rose in SC]

Just left Walmart. Southern Indiana. Walmart requires masks, our state mandate is effective the 27th. I only saw 2 people without masks.

In other news, indiana, US

954 new cases
17 new deaths 7/12-7/22
8.9% positive

So far we're good on ICU beds and tons of open ventilators.

BBM - DH went to Walmart early this morning. Saw a guy, 30ish maybe, who walked in the store wearing a mask then promptly stuffed it in his pocket when he got inside. Infuriating!

 

[CSIDreamer]

living here, seeing so many ignore the local mask orders - and social distancing - watching the hoop players at the park every day as I drive home and now the young ones gathering for soccer and football practice - without social distancing - it doesn't feel like good news at all. I think FL is in trouble.
JMO

Do you have a sports mandate? I think Indiana has one. I'll see if I can find it.

Ours is included in other events. Crowd size 260, masks if appropriate.

 

[CSIDreamer]

BBM - DH went to Walmart early this morning. Saw a guy, 30ish maybe, who walked in the store wearing a mask then promptly stuffed it in his pocket when he got inside. Infuriating!

There are hourly employees sitting outside with walkies. I didn't see anyone challenge it so I dunno how they handle it. I'm sure that walkie is for security.

 

[MrX]

There are hourly employees sitting outside with walkies. I didn't see anyone challenge it so I dunno how they handle it. I'm sure that walkie is for security.

The only people I ever see not wearing masks at Walmart have been employees with them pulled down under their noses. Saw an employee with one pulled down at grocery store, last night, as well.

 

[jjenny]

Catching this disease is most likely when you are in less than two meters away from an infected person for a period of 10 minutes or more in an enclosed space. Dining indoors at a busy restaurant exposes you to those at your table and nearby tables. Hanging out at a busy tavern or attending a crowded church service are high risk for the same reasons. So does taking a crowded subway or bus. If another person sitting nearby is infected you are likely to catch the disease.

Walking in a busy downtown is low risk because you are outside and in close proximity to any specific person for only brief periods.

Being outside generally seems to lower risk of transmission because even if infected persons releases their virus particles, all that outside air quickly dilutes it. Sun also seems to kill the virus. Doesn't mean it can't happen though.

 

[epiphany]

i would move casino, movie theatre, subway, from medium to hi risk--
i am on tbe fence about indoor dining, small dinner party and kids going
to school--these activities could be high risk-- any time you have people
getting together indoors it could be high risk- if the people are not social
distancing and no masks--- sending kids to school could be very high risk
depending on different variables

No one could convince me that riding a subway, especially in NYC, is a medium risk even with masks, distancing, etc.

My adult son's physicians (internist & a specialist) both told him that he would likely be fine if he wears a mask, washes hands, socially distances, etc.

But BOTH physicians did tell him: Do Not Ride NYC Subways!