I don’t see Charlie flipping if he gets a second chance.
There is a degree of loyalty in the family, if CA does flip, it would be very reluctantly and I doubt he'd do anything that would ensure his parents ended up in prison. However if he gets a second trial, what is his strategy going to be? There is no plausible defence. The double extortion theory is gonski, as is his credibility. So any other potential defence would fail because he is a proven liar and I think he knows this. Perhaps cooperating is just not on his radar and he's accepted spending the rest of his life in prison, a new trial is just a roll of the dice and hope for the best? But he's a strategist who looks for solutions hence the moniker, "The Maestro!" Which makes me think he would be trying to formulate some kind of plan.
He can flip on WA and potentially not draw the ire of his family. He's had time to think and reflect on the crime he and his family committed. He is utterly repentant and full of remorse, disgusted at all their actions. Co-operating is CA simply doing the right thing, not some kind of self-serving act to reduce his sentence.
He can convince himself of the above, making it easier to reconcile himself with him ratting out his sister.
I think you are putting too much stock in ‘a lot more evidence’ that the state has on Wendi. We know they have more ‘information’ that hasn’t been made public, but it can’t be anything that removes all ‘reasonable doubt’ or gives the prosecution ‘reasonable assurances' that they can meet the burden of proof otherwise they would have already charged Wendi.
Contradicting myself here, but yeah I think they have more evidence, but not a lot more.
I’m not sure where the belief that the state ‘needs’ Wendi’s testimony to win the case against Donna and the reason she hasn’t been arrested is because they ‘need’ her started, but that doesn’t add up to me.
I agree. I think if the case against her was strong, she would have been arrested irrespective of whether she was needed for DA's trial. And whilst she may be of use in her Mum's trial, the verdict will not be influenced by her testimony.
I do think WA will be arrested. Perhaps that's just because I'm thinking with my heart not my head. I can't fathom how someone so obviously complicit with so much incriminating circumstantial evidence against them can walk free. But ultimately any competent lawyer could dismiss a lot of the evidence that implicates WA.
The cases against CA and DA are strong because of smoking guns such as the Bump phone calls, various text messages and recorded conversations between the co-conspirators. The case against WA lacks those smoking guns. She drove past the crime scene, so what, it's a shortcut. She lied about it, so what, she was scared, nervous, panicked...
Once DA is convicted, the case against WA will naturally be stronger. i.e how can she not know DanM was going to be killed now that her brother and mother have been convicted? I think there will be evidence that shows she had knowledge - was an accessory, but not necessarily enough to prove she was a conspirator. I think that's the content of her email to Sara Yousef, admitting she knew her family was involved and had planned to kill DanM. If that's true, proving the offence of accessory is easier.
So i think the State will get WA on accessory before/after the fact and will probably offer her a plea deal. That way she gets to avoid an expensive, ugly and public trial and also gets to still keep her hands clean. She can maintain to her sons and supporters that her evil family plotted to kill DanM, she was totally against it, but didn't stop it as she was naive and did not think they were serious or was scared of her family or something else. She does 5 years, despite doing nothing wrong and remains a hero in her kids eyes.
This is where things could get interesting and it's a timing thing. If the State can offer WA accessory before/after and 5 years she would literally bite their hand off rather than go to trial. But if DA and/or CA are aware that she is going to cooperate before their trial, appeals, 2nd trial etc then they might flip on her. WA will not hesitate to throw DA and CA under the bus for a lighter sentence. Not for a second. They are pretty much done anyway, her cooperation simply seals their fate.
If the State plan on arresting WA for accessory, it makes much more sense that they wait till after DA's trial. There will be more evidence that is produced in DA's trial that demonstrates accessory in comparison to conspiracy.