Hurricane Dorian - August/September 2019 #1

[Skittles]

I’m just wondering about the flooding part of things. That appears to have been unanticipated in the OBX.

The outer banks were under storm surge watches/warnings. Unfortunately people tend to focus on only the hurricane category and not the surge. Below is an excerpt from Wednesday's 8 AM bulletin. I have bolded the part that covers Ocracoke which experienced about 6 feet of surge. When the eye passes on or close to the outer banks they are vulnerable to surge on the back side of the storm coming from the sounds in addition to surge from the ocean when the storm is approaching. On the back side of the storm the northwest or west winds will push the water from the sound.


STORM SURGE: The combination of a dangerous storm surge and the
tide will cause normally dry areas near the coast to be flooded by
rising waters moving inland from the shoreline. The water could
reach the following heights above ground somewhere in the indicated
areas if the peak surge occurs at the time of high tide...

Isle of Palms to Myrtle Beach SC...5 to 8 ft
Savannah River to Isle of Palms SC...4 to 7 ft
Myrtle Beach SC to Cape Lookout NC...4 to 7 ft
Cape Lookout NC to Duck NC, including Pamlico and Albemarle Sounds
and the Neuse and Pamlico Rivers...4 to 6 ft
Volusia/Brevard County Line FL to Savannah River...3 to 5 ft
Sebastian Inlet FL to Volusia/Brevard County Line FL...2 to 4 ft
Duck NC to Poquoson VA, including Hampton Roads...2 to 4 ft.

Here is the complete 8 AM bulletin from Wednesday

If anyone wants to trace back through the bulletins to find when the first storm surge watch was issued here is the full list of bulletins for Dorian

 

[mickey2942]

I’m just wondering about the flooding part of things. That appears to have been unanticipated in the OBX.

There was a lot of information about flooding, high tide, storm surge. And most people who live in those coastal areas know that a slow moving tropical storm is actually much worse than a hurricane. The rain bands just keep coming, and because there is little to no wind velocity, the storm just keeps spinning and churning out the rain.

I remember this storm, "Tropical storm Fay". The rain never stopped, for 2 days. It was horizontal rain.
Tropical Storm Fay (2008) - Wikipedia.

 

[MsFacetious]

I’m talking about being worried about the horses with the water, not the humans. I know they know how to survive storms I just worry about so much water. However since it came and went fairly quickly I’m sure they are good.

 

[MsFacetious]

It isn’t that I don’t care about the humans in the OBX.... I just know they were told to evacuate and the horses were not. That’s all.

We have wild horses on Sable Island off the south shore of Nova Scotia that may be affected by Dorian.

Happy to hear they know what to do! (And it explains where almost all of the birds went in my yard-change in air pressure).

I’ll have to tell my daughter about this. She is an equestrian and cat lover, with an affinity for wild horses and a cat named Sable. She will love this island with wild horses.

There is a documentary called Chasing Wild Horses on Netflix about the horses on Sable Island.

 

[MsFacetious]

North Western Nova Scotia here (right on the Bay of Fundy)

It’s supposed to hit us around 5:00 pm tomorrow. I think PEI might be hit between 10:00pm -12:00am.

Concentrating taking slow, deep breaths.

View attachment 202749

Source: National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration

Okay so you are one hour ahead of Eastern time right?

5pm your time
4pm eastern
3pm central
2pm mountain
1pm pacific

It looks like the estimates might have moved up a little with PEI being around 7pm. But who knows!

Dorian will track close enough to bring a period of rain and some tropical storm-force winds to southeastern New England Saturday morning before it quickly races toward parts of Nova Scotia and Newfoundland later Saturday into Sunday. Dorian is expected to strike Nova Scotia as either a hurricane or a strong ocean storm with hurricane-force winds by Saturday afternoon.

Hurricane Dorian Now Racing Toward Southeastern Canada; Heavy Rain, Wind, Storm Surge Threats Continue | The Weather Channel

Do I have that right? I’ll be here with you! Just let me know if you hear anything about the horses.

 

[cocomisty]

In my Facebook memories today up popped my post from Irma 2 years ago. I was asking for prayers for the island people, and especially my daughter. I cannot stress to you how much it bothers me when I hear of people stating “oh, I’m staying. I’ll be fine.” Then, you find out they have little ones who have no concept of the danger their parents have put them in. These children are traumatized forever from the howling winds and sounds of objects bouncing off their homes. Their screams are drown out by the sounds they hear. I often wonder if their parents thought about their decision later, and realized it wasn’t worth it. Just my opinion of course.

I nearly lost my daughter in Irma, and she was 24, at grad school at UVI. They closed the airport 3 days beforehand and no one could evacuate. Only the tourists were allowed to board the cruise ships. She huddled under a twin mattress, wrapped her body around the toilet, and wedged herself next to the tub. She screamed, sobbed, and prayed while the roof lifted and slammed back down multiple times. Drywall pieces from the ceiling falling on her. When the eye crossed 20 miles from her, she crawled down the stairs and peeked out a window. The vegetation was literally shaved clean from the ground. The debris was everywhere, windows blown out, doors blown off. She was so scared she ran back up the stairs and crawled back under the mattress. She stayed there for hours praying asking God to spare her - why? Because she was supposed to fly home in 2 weeks, to take care of ME, during my bone marrow transplant. She wanted to live, to take care of her mother.

My adult child has PTSD from a stupid hurricane. The aftermath was a war zone. That’s another part of the story I’ve shared a little bit of in a previous post on this thread.

Can you even imagine what the Bahamian people are going thru? Do you know someone who is keeping their child with them and “riding it out?” Please encourage them to leave, evacuate, let you take their kids, whatever. Just don't stay. Please don't stay.

What a nightmare for your daughter thanks for sharing your story. Prayers for everyone affected by the hurricane xx

 

[imstilla.grandma]

 

[CharlestonGal]

The horses of the outer banks are all okay!

"The storm has passed and things at the farm are good! No major damage. Lots of water but it should drain off quickly. Nothing these beach ponies aren’t used to. Major thanks to Lower Currituck Fire Rescue for swinging by and making sure our driveway was clear after the weather improved.



https://www.facebook.com/corollawildhorses.org/

 

[CharlestonGal]

North Western Nova Scotia here (right on the Bay of Fundy)

It’s supposed to hit us around 5:00 pm tomorrow. I think PEI might be hit between 10:00pm -12:00am.

Concentrating taking slow, deep breaths.

View attachment 202749

Source: National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration

@Lexiintoronto - Please report in so we know you are safe! Thinking of you here in Charleston!

 

[PayrollNerd]

What a nightmare for your daughter thanks for sharing your story. Prayers for everyone affected by the hurricane xx

I was watching all these videos and hearing the anguish the Bahamian people are feeling makes all Irma memories come flooding back. My daughter woke up yesterday and quietly said, "It's been 2 years today." She is now a marine scientist. It takes her offshore for days at a time.

Here is today's Facebook memory, that time period I hadn't heard from her was gut wrenching. I thought I was going to lose my mind back then.

 

[CharlestonGal]

Thank you! I'm hoping that we'll be able to get fully stocked up with at least 3 days worth of emergency supplies. My anxiety is through the roof. The news of the devastation so far is absolutely horrible.

@pugmom - Please report in so we know you are safe!

 

[pugmom]

@pugmom - Please report in so we know you are safe!

So far, so good! It's really dark and dreary here and everything is so quiet. I think it's supposed to get bad later this evening (it's about 9 AM here now), but we're staying put inside. I'm still pretty scared but I'm trying to take comfort in the fact that this old farmhouse has been standing for at least 125 years, so I'm sure it has seen it's share of storms. Everything that could be blown around on our property is secured and I've got emergency supplies all ready to go in case of an outage. We're pretty rural, so whenever we lose power we aren't really top priority to get back on the grid...so we're ready for the long haul. Thanks for thinking of me! <3

 

[CharlestonGal]

So far, so good! It's really dark and dreary here and everything is so quiet. I think it's supposed to get bad later this evening (it's about 9 AM here now), but we're staying put inside. I'm still pretty scared but I'm trying to take comfort in the fact that this old farmhouse has been standing for at least 125 years, so I'm sure it has seen it's share of storms. Everything that could be blown around on our property is secured and I've got emergency supplies all ready to go in case of an outage. We're pretty rural, so whenever we lose power we aren't really top priority to get back on the grid...so we're ready for the long haul. Thanks for thinking of me! <3

It sounds like you've done all you can for now. The waiting is nerve wracking, I know. I was scared, too.

Once it passes, please, please let us know you are okay. We will worry for you until we hear!

 

[pugmom]

It sounds like you've done all you can for now. The waiting is nerve wracking, I know. I was scared, too.

Once it passes, please, please let us know you are okay. We will worry for you until we hear!

Thank you! I'll be sure to check in and let you know how everything turned out! Thanks again for your concern, I really appreciate it!

 

[CharlestonGal]

"We are just as anxious as you to know for sure that everyone is safe and sound - horses and humans alike. Our staff will be out and about in Swan/Carova later today checking on the horses but at this juncture we have no reason to believe that the herd suffered any injuries. All the horses we’ve seen so far have been just fine. Thank you for your support, and for understanding!"

Corolla Wild Horse Fund

 

[Skittles]

Good Samaritan rescues cat from the storm on Hatteras Island.

 

[CharlestonGal]

From the Bahamas:

"When we were driving up, we could smell ... death," CNN's Patrick Oppmann said about Bevans Town on the island of Grand Bahama.
The area is in ruins, he said. "Every house, every structure, every life has been essentially destroyed in this area."
Estimated death tolls have been "harrowing and deeply distressing," said Jibrilu of the tourism and aviation ministry.
The public should prepare for "unimaginable information about the death toll and the human suffering," Health Minister Duane Sands told Guardian Radio 96.9 FM."

Bahamas death toll rises as 70,000 are left homeless from Hurricane Dorian - CNN

 

[CharlestonGal]

I know I'm fixated on the horses, but this is really interesting:

"DNA testing was conducted in 1992 and 2007 and analyzed by renowned equine geneticist, Dr. E. Gus Cothran of Texas A&M University. A physical inspection was also conducted by the Horse of the Americas Registry and the American Livestock Conservancy. The results of both tests determined that the Corolla wild horses are of Spanish origin and are eligible for registration as Colonial Spanish Mustangs. They are one of the oldest and rarest strains left in the world and are listed as a critically endangered/nearly extinct breed."

https://www.visitcurrituck.com/blog/the-corolla-wild-horses-12-things-you-may-not-know/

 

[Gardener1850]

Hurricane evacuees on cruise ship to Florida
From CNN's Rosa Flores

More than 1,550 Hurricane Dorian evacuees from the Bahamas are on board the Grand Celebration Humanitarian Cruise ship sailing back to West Palm Beach, Florida, according to the Bahamas Paradise Cruise Line Facebook page.

"Bahamas, we're still with you," the cruise line said on Facebook.

"Every donation we’ve received so far has significantly helped in our mission to bring relief and aid to our brothers and sisters on Grand Bahama Island -- our beloved second home. Together with first responders and volunteers, we were able to provide Bahamian residents with food, water, personal hygiene products, medical equipment, generators, and other desperately-needed supplies."
US Customs and Border Protection is working with the cruise line and will be processing the arrival of passengers.

The ship is expected to dock at the Port of Palm Beach early Saturday morning.

Live updates: Hurricane Dorian's aftermath in the Bahamas - CNN

 

[Gardener1850]

All evacuees are properly documented to enter the US: CBP
All the evacuees arriving at the Port of Palm Beach early Saturday morning are properly documented to enter the US, according to Customs and Border Protection.

CBP Public Affairs Liaison Michael Silva confirmed that all evacuees were either US Citizens, US residents, non-US Citizens with visas or had other proper documentation to enter the US.

In total, CBP said there were 1,437 evacuees arriving, which included 516 US citizens, 897 non-US citizens, 23 green card holders and one Medivac.

Live updates: Hurricane Dorian's aftermath in the Bahamas - CNN