Different day = different thoughts and questions:
LE insists that the last time the girls were seen was 12:15 which I believe is the time that grandma seen them on their bikes in the parking lot by that store that she could see from her house. Is it possible that the store has a surveillance camera and it has shown something to LE - like maybe the girls were taken from that back parking lot along with their bikes. Or maybe they met up with somebody in the parking lot and agreed to meet by the lake?
Is there a camera on that store in the parking lot where the girls were last seen by Grandma - Ollipop are you around?
Also LE are asking for tips from anybody who seen the two girls on that whole day on Friday the 13th and they are not confining the tips to the after 12:15 timeframe ... so I think they have seen something on some surveillance tapes from somewhere which is suspicious. Draining the lake is a smoke screen IMO.
The last time they were seen was at 12:15, about a block away from the Collin's home. The 12:15 time seems to be verifiable, so there probably was camera footage. The grandmother last saw them a bit earlier, possibly at 11:30. After 12:15, there doesn't seem to be any verifiable sighting.
I'm wondering if the girls encountered someone in the alley behind the store, where they were last seen. It's possible that someone they thought they recognized offered to give them a lift to a lake for a swim, or to Waterloo ... who knows ... some place that sounded good to them. Since there are no shoes lying on the pavement and no one saw an abduction of two girls, it's quite possible that they went willingly went with someone ... and willingly had their bikes loaded onto the back of a 1/2 ton truck or SUV.
The dad with the shadey past feels that police are focusing on him. I suspect that police are trying to determine whether someone he knows, perhaps an acquaintance from questionable places, may have taken the girls. I think it's quite possible that the bikes were left on the path to throw police off (as the parents have suggested) and that explains why the purse/phone were
tossed in the same area. The girls had to be quickly subdued in order for the bikes to be left on the trail by 3:30, so that suggests two people, or one person that used drugs or violence to subdue them.
I think police should look really closely at neighbors/acquaintances and also at anyone that the Lyric may have met in Waterloo the first time police were contacted about her being missing.