I was watching the ID Discovery thing on this case; I followed it loosely so don't know what would be wrong with my theories since I have not followed it that closely. But could it be that the girls were going there to meet a boy that they met on the internet or a boy they knew? Why would the girls go there on a school day? If it was someone they met on the internet that would explain why perhaps the video was taken -they realized that the person approaching was not a 14 year old boy.
However, I would think if there was internet chat they would have figured that out by now. If it was not someone from internet (I have also been watching "Web of Lies" and there are lots of stories with the internet and young girls), I don't think the video would have been deliberate. No adult - let alone a child - would, in a moment of danger be thinking to kick their shoes off to leave evidence or leave a video for someone to find them; it happens in a split second and no one would think through this chain of events.
I also think he had to have a weapon, a gun most likely, especially if it was a stranger. Otherwise how would he have been able to restrain two girls? He would have had to tie them up if no gun because otherwise one could have gotten away.
How deserted is the area? would anyone have heard them? It had to have taken some time to do the murders and clean up- would no one else have gone by? The bodies were not found in the same area- he would have had to march them somewhere since I doubt he could have carried 2 girls though the woods so he had to have some measure of control over them (through a weapon or really knowing them well, or have been in a position of authority over them like clergy or a teacher, otherwise I don't think then girls would have marched through the woods for an aquaintance); it looks like it was quite a distance, they would have run. He could have caught one but he could not catch two running girls. Wouldn't the video/audio have captured the murders?
This incident calls to mind something I saw on Oprah. they said never ever go to the second location. Nothing good ever comes from that second location.
I also think it had to have been planned; it would not be a random person that came across them right then. He either knew they would be there that day or else saw them earlier and planned on the spur of the moment. If it was not a populated location, why would someone go there with a gun or rope-if he wanted to do something that day, he would have went to a place where there would be more people around. It was just random chance if he was a predator that he would encounter the girls there on a school day in middle of winter no less.
And BG has to be the killer. What are the chances that there's a photo taken right at time of the murder in a deserted location? And if that person was there innocently, I would have thought they would have come forward, submitted DNA, etc. and cleared themselves.
The tone of the talking is odd. Would a random predator call the girls "guys"? It's a somewhat casual term.
And why isn't DNA solving this case? If it is someone close like LE imply couldn't they test many of the people in the town of 3,000 (so what maybe 500 age-appropriate males?) and at least through familial DNA find the perp?
You have lots of interesting ideas and questions in this post. Here are a few things I'd like to address BBM:
Even though it was a Monday it was not a school day. Schools were closed for a holiday based on an unused snow day.
Its hard to know for sure if Libby's video was deliberate or accidental. LE seem to give her credit for being a 'hero' in having the presence of mind to turn on her recording to capture the onset of criminal behaviour. We do know that the girls had been taking photos (SnapChat) and recording their conversation prior to BG (the 'girl talk') so I think it is possible Libby's phone just happened to be in record mode when they spotted BG on the bridge. Either way it is amazing that the girls have BG's image and voice on the phone. These are valuable clues for LE and have made this case very captivating for the public.
I agree with you about BG needing to have a weapon to control the girls. Libby and Abby were both smart and athletic. Their combined weight was 300 pounds. I don't see how he could have abducted/murdered them both at the same time without a weapon to induce fear.
I've never been to MHB but I get the impression that the area, although rural and naturalistic, is not as remote as some people imagine. It is only a few miles from town, it is bordered by the HH Highway and private properties, as well as a cemetary. According to KG there were several people at the bridge that day (it is a teen hangout), so BG definately took a chance on there being a witness or there being someone near by to hear the girls scream.
LE won't disclose whether the audio/video captures the actual murders. They have said that there is more unreleased recording but not its contents. Its possible the recording was shut off, timed out/battery died before the murder. I get the impression there isn't much more video of BG. I think Libby put the phone inside her clothing as he was approaching.
I disagree with you about BG not likely being a random stranger. Lots of rapes/murders involves victims being in the proverbial wrong place at the wrong time. If BG was a family member/acquaintance/SM link I think this case most likely would have already been solved. Stranger crimes are much more difficult to solve because there is literally no connection between suspect and victim.
I think the use of 'guys' is a casual greeting, which initially BG used to his advantage in connecting with the girls. When he greeted them in a friendly tone, they probably let their guard down for a just a split second, long enough for him to pull a weapon and change his tone to a more authoritative "down the hill". If he'd approached with his weapon already drawn, or yelling in an angry tone, the girls might have run away into the woods or towards the private drive. The use of "Guys" was strategic to 'hook' them.
I'm hopeful DNA will help solve this case in time. It is possible that LE has only a partial profile or simply no match. If BG hasn't committed significant crimes before or after the Delphi murders, than his DNA is not in the database for comparison.
All JMO