So, thinking about what LE has said before, and Anna Williams says about the “one small thing” that could break this open:
What could be an example of a “small thing” that could crack the case? In other words, in other cases, what has been a “small thing” that suddenly happened or was discovered which made all the difference?
Thinking out loud, maybe a family member or friend of the suspect notices something isn’t right with someone, maybe for something else, not necessarily about Abby’s and Libby’s case and reports it. Or a man is arrested for DV, or something else, maybe even pulled over for something and LE thinks something is suspicious, and upon arrest for something else, say drugs or an outstanding warrant, a connection is somehow made.
What else? I suppose a “small thing” could unfold a number of ways.
I remember in Noelle Paquette’s case they found the suspect bc he sustained injuries and went to the hospital. If something like that happened here I would think they would have found him by now, assuming he went somewhere locally.
As we’ve discussed, and I’m not sure this would necessary be small, but if they have the killer’s DNA, maybe a new or old rape kit or DNA from another cold case could be tested and linked - as we know there are a lot of untested rape kits and evidence in cold cases which maybe haven’t been run lately when DNA technology is better is today than it was before.
Or as in Kara Nichol’s case, a family member comes forward.
What else, maybe someone who knows something gets arrested for something else and decides to snitch. That’s something common that happens, I think.
Maybe he commits another crime and this time gets caught and is linked. I’m not sure I would classify that as “small”.
If he had a gun, maybe ballistics makes a match.
Or a new entry into CODIS or AFIS provides a hit, again wouldn’t say this is small.
Or DNA technology improves and picks up someone that couldn’t be picked up before.
Or someone makes a new entry/application for familial DNA via ancestry.com or other genealogical site, and this produces a hit.
Or someone who hasn’t seen the BG video before finally recognizes him. I saw this recently in another case - a pedo was teaching English in China and after being on the run for years, a student saw his wanted poster on the FBI’s website.
Or maybe a fresh set of eyes on the case notices something previously overlooked. Or a current investigator goes back and notices something, and pursues a new avenue.
Or maybe someone who is a prior victim of sexual assault who was previously scared to come forward before finally comes forward. This could be someone either suspected by the victim to be BG, or perhaps completely unaware this is BG, if that victim is even following or knows about this case.
How else could this be solved, the options are infinite - maybe a guy moves out and the new tenants find something suspicious in the house or grounds.
Yeah infinite possibles I think, which I guess is a good thing.
Overall, I would say that based on Carter’s confidence (unless he is bluffing), I am optimistic. And maybe they really do know a lot, and just need that one last piece.
I’m thinking again they do not have a specific suspect in mind, but who knows.
