There are many people that have followed this case from the beginning, and there are several different opinions about the guilt or innocence of the suspect. Following the case from the beginning doesn't really mean anything in terms of "being in the know".
It's true that the evidence must be viewed in its totality, but it is important that the circumstantial evidence that is weighed actually implicates the suspect. In this case, one piece of circumstantial evidence is a camera that was moved. That camera cannot be connected to Jason. If Jason was going to move cameras to hide his movements, he should have moved all the cameras between the back door and his fourth floor room, but that didn't happen. Therefore, the moved camera isn't evidence of anything. Another piece of circumstantial evidence is a propped open door. We know that Jason had no reason to prop open the door because the door was unlocked at the time that he could have returned from a round trip home. Therefore, the propped door isn't evidence of anything. Now, we have two pieces of circumstantial evidence that don't exits. Next, we have the very questionable and coached testimony from the woman that has severe memory problems. I think we can eliminate that piece of circumstantial evidence. All of a sudden, there's very little in terms of circumstantial evidence. The dripping hose certainly doesn't mean anything. Evidence of the hotel room door being securely closed suggests that Jason was asleep in the room, but the prosecution implies that this is circumstantial evidence because the man that left the newspaper and the receipt was wrong when he said that the door was securely closed. In this case, it's simply incredulous that the prosecution argues that up is down. The door was closed. A witness testified that it was closed, yet the prosecution fabricates the argument that the door was not closed.
I don't think this is about Jason being "unlucky" but about a prosecutor that really wants to climb the corporate ladder and who is inclined to make connections that simply don't exist.